L’École des cotes

Al-Khaleej v Al-Ettifaq

Coup d’envoi : 2026-05-09 15:57 UTC

Score final : Al-Khaleej 0–5 Al-Ettifaq

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

31 opérateurs (6 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : IQM

Al-Khaleej (Local)

Prévision 33.67%2.97cote équitable
EV -2.37%
Avantage -0.816%
Kelly -1.25%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 2.90

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
32.25%33.59%33.79%37.30%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
2.352.592.552.9042.55%38.68%39.22%34.48%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Al-Ettifaq (Visiteur)

Prévision 40.95%2.44cote équitable
EV +1.55%
Avantage +0.626%
Kelly +1.05%
Croissance +0.016%

avec la cote maximale 2.48

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
37.17%40.96%40.85%42.73%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
2.082.312.302.4848.08%43.25%43.48%40.32%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Match nul

Prévision 25.39%3.94cote équitable
EV -3.54%
Avantage -0.931%
Kelly -1.26%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 3.80

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
24.35%25.44%25.36%27.36%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
3.103.533.603.8032.26%28.33%27.78%26.32%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Cotes des opérateurs (31 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocalVisiteur ▼Match nulMargeMise à jour
Unibet2.48I 40.32%NM 37.19%EV -16.51%E -6.66%K -11.15%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 37.19%EV +1.55%E +0.626%K +1.05%G +0.016%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.62%EV -8.61%E -2.39%K -3.31%G +0.000%8.4%2026-05-09 15:54
Unibet (SE)2.48I 40.32%NM 37.19%EV -16.51%E -6.66%K -11.15%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 37.19%EV +1.55%E +0.626%K +1.05%G +0.016%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.62%EV -8.61%E -2.39%K -3.31%G +0.000%8.4%2026-05-09 15:55
Grosvenor2.48I 40.32%NM 37.19%EV -16.51%E -6.66%K -11.15%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 37.19%EV +1.55%E +0.626%K +1.05%G +0.016%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.62%EV -8.61%E -2.39%K -3.31%G +0.000%8.4%2026-05-09 15:54
Unibet (NL)2.48I 40.32%NM 37.19%EV -16.51%E -6.66%K -11.15%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 37.19%EV +1.55%E +0.626%K +1.05%G +0.016%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.62%EV -8.61%E -2.39%K -3.31%G +0.000%8.4%2026-05-09 15:55
Svenska Spel2.48I 40.32%NM 37.19%EV -16.51%E -6.66%K -11.15%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 37.19%EV +1.55%E +0.626%K +1.05%G +0.016%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.62%EV -8.61%E -2.39%K -3.31%G +0.000%8.4%2026-05-09 15:54
ATG (SE)2.48I 40.32%NM 37.19%EV -16.51%E -6.66%K -11.15%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 37.19%EV +1.55%E +0.626%K +1.05%G +0.016%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.62%EV -8.61%E -2.39%K -3.31%G +0.000%8.4%2026-05-09 15:55
LeoVegas2.45I 40.82%NM 37.17%EV -17.52%E -7.15%K -12.08%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.17%EV +0.324%E +0.132%K +0.223%G +0.001%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.65%EV -9.88%E -2.78%K -3.88%G +0.000%9.8%2026-05-09 15:54
LeoVegas (SE)2.45I 40.82%NM 37.17%EV -17.52%E -7.15%K -12.08%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.17%EV +0.324%E +0.132%K +0.223%G +0.001%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.65%EV -9.88%E -2.78%K -3.88%G +0.000%9.8%2026-05-09 15:54
1xBet2.90I 34.48%NM 33.44%EV -2.37%E -0.816%K -1.25%G +0.000%2.42I 41.32%NM 40.07%EV -0.904%E -0.374%K -0.637%G +0.000%3.66I 27.32%NM 26.49%EV -7.09%E -1.94%K -2.67%G +0.000%3.1%2026-05-09 15:54
Coral2.70I 37.04%NM 35.03%EV -9.10%E -3.37%K -5.35%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.41%EV -1.72%E -0.718%K -1.23%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.56%EV -6.08%E -1.64%K -2.25%G +0.000%5.7%2026-05-09 15:55
Virgin Bet2.40I 41.67%NM 37.12%EV -19.20%E -8.00%K -13.71%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 37.43%EV -2.54%E -1.07%K -1.84%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.45%EV -11.15%E -3.19%K -4.46%G +0.000%12.3%2026-05-09 15:55
LiveScore Bet2.40I 41.67%NM 37.12%EV -19.20%E -8.00%K -13.71%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 37.43%EV -2.54%E -1.07%K -1.84%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.45%EV -11.15%E -3.19%K -4.46%G +0.000%12.3%2026-05-09 15:55
Ladbrokes (UK)2.70I 37.04%NM 34.86%EV -9.10%E -3.37%K -5.35%G +0.000%2.37I 42.19%NM 39.71%EV -2.95%E -1.25%K -2.15%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.44%EV -6.08%E -1.64%K -2.25%G +0.000%6.3%2026-05-09 15:54
PMU (FR)2.35I 42.55%NM 37.30%EV -20.88%E -8.89%K -15.47%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 37.30%EV -3.77%E -1.60%K -2.79%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 25.41%EV -12.42%E -3.60%K -5.07%G +0.000%14.1%2026-05-09 15:54
Pinnacle2.80I 35.71%NM 33.97%EV -5.73%E -2.05%K -3.19%G +0.000%2.32I 43.10%NM 41.00%EV -5.00%E -2.15%K -3.79%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 25.03%EV -3.54%E -0.931%K -1.26%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-09 15:54
Unibet (UK)2.70I 37.04%NM 34.20%EV -9.10%E -3.37%K -5.35%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.15%EV -5.82%E -2.53%K -4.48%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.65%EV -8.61%E -2.39%K -3.31%G +0.000%8.3%2026-05-09 15:54
betfred_uk2.62I 38.17%NM 34.88%EV -11.79%E -4.50%K -7.28%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 39.73%EV -5.82%E -2.53%K -4.48%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.39%EV -8.61%E -2.39%K -3.31%G +0.000%9.4%2026-05-09 15:54
SportsBet2.75I 36.36%NM 33.49%EV -7.42%E -2.70%K -4.24%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 40.93%EV -7.87%E -3.50%K -6.29%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.58%EV -8.61%E -2.39%K -3.31%G +0.000%8.6%2026-05-09 15:55
888sport2.62I 38.17%NM 33.80%EV -11.79%E -4.50%K -7.28%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 39.36%EV -7.87%E -3.50%K -6.29%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.84%EV -16.23%E -4.92%K -7.06%G +0.000%12.9%2026-05-09 15:54
William Hill2.50I 40.00%NM 34.86%EV -15.83%E -6.33%K -10.56%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 38.73%EV -7.87%E -3.50%K -6.29%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.41%EV -16.23%E -4.92%K -7.06%G +0.000%14.7%2026-05-09 15:54
Mr Green (SE)2.50I 40.00%NM 34.86%EV -15.83%E -6.33%K -10.56%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 38.73%EV -7.87%E -3.50%K -6.29%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.41%EV -16.23%E -4.92%K -7.06%G +0.000%14.7%2026-05-09 15:54
888sport (SE)2.50I 40.00%NM 34.86%EV -15.83%E -6.33%K -10.56%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 38.73%EV -7.87%E -3.50%K -6.29%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.41%EV -16.23%E -4.92%K -7.06%G +0.000%14.7%2026-05-09 15:54
Tipico (DE)2.80I 35.71%NM 32.78%EV -5.73%E -2.05%K -3.19%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 41.72%EV -9.91%E -4.51%K -8.26%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.50%EV -8.61%E -2.39%K -3.31%G +0.000%8.9%2026-05-09 15:55
Winamax (DE)2.70I 37.04%NM 33.59%EV -9.10%E -3.37%K -5.35%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 41.22%EV -9.91%E -4.51%K -8.26%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.19%EV -8.61%E -2.39%K -3.31%G +0.000%10.3%2026-05-09 15:54
Paddy Power2.70I 37.04%NM 33.59%EV -9.10%E -3.37%K -5.35%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 41.22%EV -9.91%E -4.51%K -8.26%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.19%EV -8.61%E -2.39%K -3.31%G +0.000%10.3%2026-05-09 15:54
Sky Bet2.70I 37.04%NM 33.35%EV -9.10%E -3.37%K -5.35%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 40.93%EV -9.91%E -4.51%K -8.26%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.73%EV -11.15%E -3.19%K -4.46%G +0.000%11.1%2026-05-09 15:54
Winamax (FR)2.65I 37.74%NM 33.89%EV -10.78%E -4.07%K -6.54%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 40.82%EV -9.91%E -4.51%K -8.26%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.30%EV -9.88%E -2.78%K -3.88%G +0.000%11.4%2026-05-09 15:54
Unibet (FR)2.55I 39.22%NM 34.06%EV -14.15%E -5.55%K -9.13%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 40.40%EV -11.96%E -5.56%K -10.40%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 25.54%EV -13.69%E -4.03%K -5.70%G +0.000%15.1%2026-05-09 15:54
BoyleSports2.50I 40.00%NM 34.18%EV -15.83%E -6.33%K -10.56%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 40.69%EV -14.01%E -6.67%K -12.73%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 25.13%EV -13.69%E -4.03%K -5.70%G +0.000%17.0%2026-05-09 15:54
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)2.63I 38.02%NM 32.25%EV -11.46%E -4.36%K -7.03%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 40.39%EV -14.01%E -6.67%K -12.73%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 27.36%EV -21.31%E -6.87%K -10.15%G +0.000%17.9%2026-05-09 15:54
Betclic (FR)2.70I 37.04%NM 32.92%EV -9.10%E -3.37%K -5.35%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 42.73%EV -14.83%E -7.13%K -13.73%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.35%EV -7.34%E -2.01%K -2.77%G +0.000%12.5%2026-05-09 15:53
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (5)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMatch nulMarge ▲Mise à jour
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.96I 33.78%NM 33.42%2.40I 41.67%NM 41.22%3.90I 25.64%NM 25.36%1.1%2026-05-09 15:54
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.96I 33.78%NM 33.42%2.40I 41.67%NM 41.22%3.90I 25.64%NM 25.36%1.1%2026-05-09 15:55
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.96I 33.78%NM 33.42%2.40I 41.67%NM 41.22%3.90I 25.64%NM 25.36%1.1%2026-05-09 15:55
Kalshi2.86I 34.97%NM 34.29%2.38I 42.02%NM 41.20%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.51%2.0%2026-05-09 15:55
Smarkets2.94I 34.01%NM 33.23%2.36I 42.37%NM 41.40%3.85I 25.97%NM 25.38%2.4%2026-05-09 15:55