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Al-Ittihad v Neom

2026-11-06 17:30 UTC — Saudi Pro League

Head to Head

21 sportsbooks (3 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Al-Ittihad (Local)

Prediction 47.66%2.10fair odd
EV -7.07%
Edge -3.62%
Kelly -7.44%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.95

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
46.63%47.66%47.68%48.67%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.711.891.911.9558.48%52.83%52.36%51.28%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Neom (Visit)

Prediction 27.35%3.66fair odd
EV -4.54%
Edge -1.30%
Kelly -1.82%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 3.49

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
26.76%27.35%27.25%28.50%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.003.223.203.4933.33%31.07%31.25%28.65%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Draw

Prediction 24.99%4.00fair odd
EV -6.04%
Edge -1.61%
Kelly -2.19%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 3.76

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
24.48%24.99%25.07%25.51%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.403.603.653.7629.41%27.80%27.40%26.60%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

For Head to Head, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimates these probabilities: Al-Ittihad (Local): 47.66%; Neom (Visit): 27.35%; Draw: 24.99%. For Neom (Visit), that estimate is equivalent to fair decimal odds of 3.66. No eligible bookmaker offers odds above that level: the best available odds are 3.49, with an expected value of -4.54%; they do not produce positive expected value.

Sportsbook Odds (21 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitDrawMarginUpdated
betfred_uk🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 46.69%EV -7.07%E -3.62%K -7.44%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.02%EV -11.10%E -3.42%K -4.94%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.29%EV -10.04%E -2.79%K -3.86%G +0.000%9.8%2026-10-30 19:00
Unibet🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 46.65%EV -7.07%E -3.62%K -7.44%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.43%EV -12.47%E -3.90%K -5.67%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.92%EV -8.79%E -2.41%K -3.32%G +0.000%9.9%2026-10-30 17:50
Pinnacle🎯1.94I 51.55%NM 47.82%EV -7.54%E -3.89%K -8.03%G +0.000%3.43I 29.15%NM 27.04%EV -6.18%E -1.80%K -2.54%G +0.000%3.69I 27.10%NM 25.14%EV -7.79%E -2.11%K -2.89%G +0.000%7.8%2026-10-30 19:00
Grosvenor🎯1.94I 51.55%NM 46.78%EV -7.54%E -3.89%K -8.03%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.36%EV -12.47%E -3.90%K -5.67%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.86%EV -8.79%E -2.41%K -3.32%G +0.000%10.2%2026-10-30 17:50
Unibet (SE)🎯1.94I 51.55%NM 46.78%EV -7.54%E -3.89%K -8.03%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.36%EV -12.47%E -3.90%K -5.67%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.86%EV -8.79%E -2.41%K -3.32%G +0.000%10.2%2026-10-30 17:50
Unibet (NL)🎯1.94I 51.55%NM 46.78%EV -7.54%E -3.89%K -8.03%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.36%EV -12.47%E -3.90%K -5.67%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.86%EV -8.79%E -2.41%K -3.32%G +0.000%10.2%2026-10-30 17:50
Svenska Spel🎯1.94I 51.55%NM 46.78%EV -7.54%E -3.89%K -8.03%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.36%EV -12.47%E -3.90%K -5.67%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.86%EV -8.79%E -2.41%K -3.32%G +0.000%10.2%2026-10-30 17:50
ATG (SE)🎯1.94I 51.55%NM 46.78%EV -7.54%E -3.89%K -8.03%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.36%EV -12.47%E -3.90%K -5.67%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.86%EV -8.79%E -2.41%K -3.32%G +0.000%10.2%2026-10-30 17:50
1xBet🎯1.93I 51.81%NM 48.40%EV -8.02%E -4.16%K -8.62%G +0.000%3.49I 28.65%NM 26.76%EV -4.54%E -1.30%K -1.82%G +0.000%3.76I 26.60%NM 24.84%EV -6.04%E -1.61%K -2.19%G +0.000%7.1%2026-10-30 19:10
Unibet (UK)🎯1.93I 51.81%NM 47.47%EV -8.02%E -4.16%K -8.62%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.76%EV -9.74%E -2.95%K -4.23%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.76%EV -7.54%E -2.04%K -2.79%G +0.000%9.1%2026-10-30 18:35
LiveScore Bet🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 46.63%EV -8.97%E -4.70%K -9.86%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.28%EV -13.84%E -4.39%K -6.44%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.09%EV -11.29%E -3.18%K -4.43%G +0.000%12.3%2026-10-30 17:50
Virgin Bet🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 46.63%EV -8.97%E -4.70%K -9.86%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.28%EV -13.84%E -4.39%K -6.44%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.09%EV -11.29%E -3.18%K -4.43%G +0.000%12.3%2026-10-30 17:50
SportsBet🎯1.90I 52.63%NM 48.61%EV -9.45%E -4.97%K -10.50%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.77%EV -5.63%E -1.63%K -2.30%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.63%EV -6.29%E -1.68%K -2.29%G +0.000%8.3%2026-10-30 19:00
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.89I 52.91%NM 46.68%EV -9.93%E -5.25%K -11.15%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.46%EV -15.21%E -4.91%K -7.24%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 24.85%EV -11.29%E -3.18%K -4.43%G +0.000%13.3%2026-10-30 17:50
Paddy Power🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 48.65%EV -10.88%E -5.82%K -12.51%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.76%EV -7.00%E -2.06%K -2.92%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.59%EV -7.54%E -2.04%K -2.79%G +0.000%9.9%2026-10-30 19:00
Winamax (DE)🎯1.86I 53.76%NM 47.46%EV -11.36%E -6.11%K -13.21%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.02%EV -13.84%E -4.39%K -6.44%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.52%EV -10.04%E -2.79%K -3.86%G +0.000%13.3%2026-10-30 18:34
Betclic (FR)🎯1.84I 54.35%NM 47.68%EV -12.31%E -6.69%K -14.65%G +0.000%3.22I 31.06%NM 27.25%EV -11.93%E -3.70%K -5.37%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.07%EV -12.53%E -3.58%K -5.01%G +0.000%14.0%2026-10-30 18:34
Sky Bet🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 47.39%EV -12.79%E -6.99%K -15.41%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.10%EV -12.47%E -3.90%K -5.67%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 25.51%EV -15.03%E -4.42%K -6.26%G +0.000%15.3%2026-10-30 19:02
PMU (FR)🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 46.72%EV -12.79%E -6.99%K -15.41%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 28.50%EV -17.94%E -5.98%K -8.97%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 24.78%EV -13.78%E -4.00%K -5.63%G +0.000%17.0%2026-10-30 17:50
Winamax (FR)🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 47.13%EV -14.22%E -7.90%K -17.77%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 28.28%EV -17.94%E -5.98%K -8.97%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 24.59%EV -13.78%E -4.00%K -5.63%G +0.000%17.9%2026-10-30 18:35
Unibet (FR)🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 48.67%EV -18.51%E -10.82%K -26.06%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 26.85%EV -15.21%E -4.91%K -7.24%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 24.48%EV -15.03%E -4.42%K -6.26%G +0.000%20.1%2026-10-30 18:35
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (2)

BookmakerLocalVisitDrawMargin ▲Updated
Smarkets◎1.83I 54.64%NM 46.59%3.05I 32.79%NM 27.96%3.35I 29.85%NM 25.45%17.3%2026-10-30 18:35
Kalshi◎1.28I 78.13%NM 42.69%1.79I 55.87%NM 30.53%2.04I 49.02%NM 26.79%83.0%2026-10-30 19:10