默认模型四分位数间均值 (精选名单)

Al-Ittihad v Al-Kholood

开赛时间: 2026-08-15 18:01 UTC

最终结果: Al-Ittihad 1–1 Al-Kholood

收盘赔率 — 按所选模型,根据开赛前最后记录的赔率计算得出的概率和期望值。比赛已经开始,因此这些并非实时数据。 依据所有已完赛结果评估各模型概率预测的可靠性 →

胜负盘

30 家博彩公司 (5 家纳入分析 )

模型估计的各赛果概率:四分位数间均值 (精选名单)

Al-Ittihad (主队)

预测 58.50%1.71公平赔率
EV -2.30%
优势 -1.38%
Kelly -3.44%
增长率 +0.000%

假设最高赔率为 1.67

博彩公司预测分布
56.72%58.33%58.41%60.24%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
1.431.541.541.6769.93%65.03%64.72%59.88%最小值均值中位数最大值

Al-Kholood (客队)

预测 18.35%5.45公平赔率
EV +2.20%
优势 +0.395%
Kelly +0.482%
增长率 +0.011%

假设最高赔率为 5.57

博彩公司预测分布
17.22%18.27%18.34%19.15%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
4.605.015.005.5721.74%19.97%20.00%17.95%最小值均值中位数最大值

平局

预测 23.15%4.32公平赔率
EV -2.77%
优势 -0.660%
Kelly -0.866%
增长率 +0.000%

假设最高赔率为 4.20

博彩公司预测分布
22.04%23.39%23.25%24.73%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
3.603.944.004.2027.78%25.40%25.00%23.81%最小值均值中位数最大值

按开赛前最后一组赔率,四分位数间均值 (精选名单)对胜负盘的概率估计为:Al-Ittihad (主队):58.50%;Al-Kholood (客队):18.35%;平局:23.15%。 对于“Al-Kholood (客队)”,该估计对应的公平十进制赔率为5.45。 当时有1家博彩公司提供高于该水平的收盘赔率;最佳赔率为5.57,对应+2.20%的正期望值。

博彩公司赔率 (30 家博彩公司)

我们与任何博彩公司均无关联,也不会从用户在这些公司进行的任何操作中获利。

博彩公司主队客队 ▼平局利润率更新时间
1xBet🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 58.12%EV -2.30%E -1.38%K -3.44%G +0.000%5.57I 17.95%NM 17.43%EV +2.20%E +0.395%K +0.482%G +0.011%3.97I 25.19%NM 24.45%EV -8.09%E -2.04%K -2.73%G +0.000%3.0%2026-08-15 17:45
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 58.66%EV -6.40%E -4.00%K -10.66%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.88%EV -3.67%E -0.699%K -0.863%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.46%EV -7.40%E -1.85%K -2.47%G +0.000%6.5%2026-08-15 17:44
Tipico (DE)🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 59.33%EV -9.32%E -6.01%K -16.95%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 17.68%EV -4.59%E -0.882%K -1.09%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.99%EV -7.40%E -1.85%K -2.47%G +0.000%8.7%2026-08-15 17:45
Pinnacle🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 58.41%EV -5.23%E -3.23%K -8.43%G +0.000%5.16I 19.38%NM 18.34%EV -5.32%E -1.03%K -1.28%G +0.000%4.07I 24.57%NM 23.25%EV -5.78%E -1.42%K -1.88%G +0.000%5.7%2026-08-15 17:55
Unibet🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 60.24%EV -12.25%E -8.17%K -24.50%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 17.72%EV -6.42%E -1.26%K -1.57%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.04%EV -5.09%E -1.24%K -1.64%G +0.000%10.7%2026-08-15 17:34
Grosvenor🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 60.24%EV -12.25%E -8.17%K -24.50%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 17.72%EV -6.42%E -1.26%K -1.57%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.04%EV -5.09%E -1.24%K -1.64%G +0.000%10.7%2026-08-15 17:35
Unibet (NL)🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 60.24%EV -12.25%E -8.17%K -24.50%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 17.72%EV -6.42%E -1.26%K -1.57%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.04%EV -5.09%E -1.24%K -1.64%G +0.000%10.7%2026-08-15 17:34
Svenska Spel🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 60.24%EV -12.25%E -8.17%K -24.50%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 17.72%EV -6.42%E -1.26%K -1.57%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.04%EV -5.09%E -1.24%K -1.64%G +0.000%10.7%2026-08-15 17:35
ATG (SE)🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 60.24%EV -12.25%E -8.17%K -24.50%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 17.72%EV -6.42%E -1.26%K -1.57%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.04%EV -5.09%E -1.24%K -1.64%G +0.000%10.7%2026-08-15 17:35
Unibet (SE)🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 60.24%EV -12.25%E -8.17%K -24.50%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 17.72%EV -6.42%E -1.26%K -1.57%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.04%EV -5.09%E -1.24%K -1.64%G +0.000%10.7%2026-08-15 17:35
Coral🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 58.04%EV -3.47%E -2.10%K -5.34%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 19.15%EV -8.26%E -1.65%K -2.06%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.80%EV -2.77%E -0.660%K -0.866%G +0.000%4.4%2026-08-15 17:59
Unibet (UK)🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 58.14%EV -6.40%E -4.00%K -10.66%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.60%EV -8.26%E -1.65%K -2.06%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.26%EV -7.40%E -1.85%K -2.47%G +0.000%7.5%2026-08-15 17:55
SportsBet🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 58.60%EV -8.15%E -5.19%K -14.30%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.40%EV -8.26%E -1.65%K -2.06%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.00%EV -7.40%E -1.85%K -2.47%G +0.000%8.7%2026-08-15 18:00
betfred_uk🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 58.60%EV -8.15%E -5.19%K -14.30%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.40%EV -8.26%E -1.65%K -2.06%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.00%EV -7.40%E -1.85%K -2.47%G +0.000%8.7%2026-08-15 16:00
Betclic (FR)🎯1.54I 64.94%NM 59.07%EV -9.91%E -6.43%K -18.35%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.19%EV -8.26%E -1.65%K -2.06%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.74%EV -7.40%E -1.85%K -2.47%G +0.000%9.9%2026-08-15 17:54
Unibet (FR)🎯1.54I 64.94%NM 59.07%EV -9.91%E -6.43%K -18.35%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.19%EV -8.26%E -1.65%K -2.06%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.74%EV -7.40%E -1.85%K -2.47%G +0.000%9.9%2026-08-15 17:55
Paddy Power🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 57.90%EV -8.15%E -5.19%K -14.30%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.18%EV -8.26%E -1.65%K -2.06%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.92%EV -12.03%E -3.17%K -4.30%G +0.000%10.0%2026-08-15 18:00
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 58.57%EV -9.32%E -6.01%K -16.95%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.16%EV -8.26%E -1.65%K -2.06%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.28%EV -9.72%E -2.49%K -3.35%G +0.000%10.2%2026-08-15 18:00
Winamax (DE)🎯1.52I 65.79%NM 59.71%EV -11.08%E -7.29%K -21.30%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.15%EV -8.26%E -1.65%K -2.06%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.14%EV -5.09%E -1.24%K -1.64%G +0.000%10.2%2026-08-15 18:00
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 59.86%EV -13.42%E -9.07%K -27.95%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 17.72%EV -8.26%E -1.65%K -2.06%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 22.43%EV -8.56%E -2.17%K -2.90%G +0.000%12.9%2026-08-15 17:59
LiveScore Bet🎯1.46I 68.49%NM 60.18%EV -14.59%E -9.99%K -31.71%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 17.57%EV -8.26%E -1.65%K -2.06%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 22.24%EV -8.56%E -2.17%K -2.90%G +0.000%13.8%2026-08-15 17:35
Virgin Bet🎯1.46I 68.49%NM 60.18%EV -14.59%E -9.99%K -31.71%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 17.57%EV -8.26%E -1.65%K -2.06%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 22.24%EV -8.56%E -2.17%K -2.90%G +0.000%13.8%2026-08-15 17:35
BoyleSports🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 59.81%EV -15.76%E -10.94%K -35.81%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 17.22%EV -8.26%E -1.65%K -2.06%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 22.97%EV -13.19%E -3.52%K -4.80%G +0.000%16.1%2026-08-15 17:54
PMU (FR)🎯1.43I 69.93%NM 60.12%EV -16.34%E -11.43%K -38.01%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 17.55%EV -10.09%E -2.06%K -2.59%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 22.33%EV -10.87%E -2.82%K -3.82%G +0.000%16.3%2026-08-15 17:35
888sport🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 56.72%EV -8.15%E -5.19%K -14.30%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 18.55%EV -11.93%E -2.48%K -3.14%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.73%EV -16.66%E -4.63%K -6.41%G +0.000%12.3%2026-08-15 17:45
William Hill🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 56.72%EV -8.15%E -5.19%K -14.30%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 18.55%EV -11.93%E -2.48%K -3.14%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.73%EV -16.66%E -4.63%K -6.41%G +0.000%12.3%2026-08-15 17:45
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 56.72%EV -8.15%E -5.19%K -14.30%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 18.55%EV -11.93%E -2.48%K -3.14%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.73%EV -16.66%E -4.63%K -6.41%G +0.000%12.3%2026-08-15 17:44
888sport (SE)🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 56.72%EV -8.15%E -5.19%K -14.30%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 18.55%EV -11.93%E -2.48%K -3.14%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.73%EV -16.66%E -4.63%K -6.41%G +0.000%12.3%2026-08-15 17:44
Sky Bet🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 57.48%EV -9.32%E -6.01%K -16.95%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 18.76%EV -12.84%E -2.70%K -3.43%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.76%EV -13.19%E -3.52%K -4.80%G +0.000%12.2%2026-08-15 17:59
Winamax (FR)🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 58.61%EV -13.42%E -9.07%K -27.95%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 18.86%EV -15.60%E -3.39%K -4.33%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 22.53%EV -10.87%E -2.82%K -3.82%G +0.000%15.3%2026-08-15 18:00
利润率 = 利润率(超额概率) · I = 隐含概率 · NM = 无利润率概率 · EV = 期望值 · E = 优势 · K = Kelly 准则 · G = 资金增长率

更新时间 指各博彩公司最后一次调整赔率的时间,因此时间较早仅表示赔率一直未变,并不代表数据已经失效。通常,约 15 分钟内未收到更新的博彩公司会被移除;只有整个市场的数据源均无更新时,才会改为显示最后记录的赔率。

博彩交易所 (5)

博彩公司主队客队平局利润率 ▲更新时间
Kalshi◎1.64I 60.98%NM 61.60%5.88I 17.01%NM 17.18%4.76I 21.01%NM 21.22%-1.0%2026-08-15 17:55
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎1.66I 60.24%NM 59.44%5.60I 17.86%NM 17.62%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.95%1.4%2026-08-15 17:55
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎1.66I 60.24%NM 59.44%5.60I 17.86%NM 17.62%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.95%1.4%2026-08-15 17:55
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎1.66I 60.24%NM 59.44%5.60I 17.86%NM 17.62%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.95%1.4%2026-08-15 18:00
Smarkets◎1.64I 60.98%NM 59.22%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.66%4.20I 23.81%NM 23.12%3.0%2026-08-15 18:00