默认模型四分位数间均值 (精选名单)

Al-Hilal v Al-Ittihad

开赛时间: 2026-02-21 19:00 UTC

收盘赔率 — 按所选模型,根据开赛前最后记录的赔率计算得出的概率和期望值。比赛已经开始,因此这些并非实时数据。 依据所有已完赛结果评估各模型概率预测的可靠性 →

胜负盘

24 家博彩公司 (5 家纳入分析 )

模型估计的各赛果概率:四分位数间均值 (精选名单)

Al-Hilal (主队)

预测 63.62%1.57公平赔率
EV -2.02%
优势 -1.31%
Kelly -3.75%
增长率 +0.000%

假设最高赔率为 1.54

博彩公司预测分布
61.32%63.55%63.74%65.57%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
1.391.431.441.5471.94%69.85%69.44%64.94%最小值均值中位数最大值

Al-Ittihad (客队)

预测 16.95%5.90公平赔率
EV +3.40%
优势 +0.557%
Kelly +0.666%
增长率 +0.023%

假设最高赔率为 6.10

博彩公司预测分布
15.30%16.76%16.81%18.22%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
4.755.385.506.1021.05%18.60%18.18%16.39%最小值均值中位数最大值

平局

预测 19.43%5.15公平赔率
EV -6.75%
优势 -1.41%
Kelly -1.78%
增长率 +0.000%

假设最高赔率为 4.80

博彩公司预测分布
19.02%19.69%19.45%22.93%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
3.754.454.504.8026.67%22.49%22.22%20.83%最小值均值中位数最大值

按开赛前最后一组赔率,四分位数间均值 (精选名单)对胜负盘的概率估计为:Al-Hilal (主队):63.62%;Al-Ittihad (客队):16.95%;平局:19.43%。 对于“Al-Ittihad (客队)”,该估计对应的公平十进制赔率为5.90。 当时有2家博彩公司提供高于该水平的收盘赔率;最佳赔率为6.10,对应+3.40%的正期望值。

博彩公司赔率 (24 家博彩公司)

我们与任何博彩公司均无关联,也不会从用户在这些公司进行的任何操作中获利。

博彩公司主队客队 ▼平局利润率更新时间
1xBet🎯1.54I 64.94%NM 63.00%EV -2.02%E -1.31%K -3.75%G +0.000%6.10I 16.39%NM 15.91%EV +3.40%E +0.557%K +0.666%G +0.023%4.60I 21.74%NM 21.09%EV -10.63%E -2.31%K -2.95%G +0.000%3.1%2026-02-21 18:55
Tipico (DE)🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 65.57%EV -10.93%E -7.81%K -27.32%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.30%EV +1.70%E +0.284%K +0.341%G +0.006%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.13%EV -6.75%E -1.41%K -1.78%G +0.000%8.9%2026-02-21 17:25
Unibet (UK)🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 63.74%EV -7.75%E -5.34%K -17.22%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.80%EV -6.77%E -1.23%K -1.50%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.46%EV -7.72%E -1.63%K -2.06%G +0.000%8.2%2026-02-21 18:05
Unibet🎯1.46I 68.49%NM 62.90%EV -7.11%E -4.87%K -15.46%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.70%EV -6.77%E -1.23%K -1.50%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.41%EV -12.58%E -2.79%K -3.59%G +0.000%8.9%2026-02-21 18:30
Unibet (NL)🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 63.06%EV -7.75%E -5.34%K -17.22%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.62%EV -6.77%E -1.23%K -1.50%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.32%EV -12.58%E -2.79%K -3.59%G +0.000%9.4%2026-02-21 18:30
Unibet (SE)🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 63.06%EV -7.75%E -5.34%K -17.22%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.62%EV -6.77%E -1.23%K -1.50%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.32%EV -12.58%E -2.79%K -3.59%G +0.000%9.4%2026-02-21 18:30
Grosvenor🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 63.06%EV -7.75%E -5.34%K -17.22%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.62%EV -6.77%E -1.23%K -1.50%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.32%EV -12.58%E -2.79%K -3.59%G +0.000%9.4%2026-02-21 18:30
Svenska Spel🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 63.06%EV -7.75%E -5.34%K -17.22%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.62%EV -6.77%E -1.23%K -1.50%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.32%EV -12.58%E -2.79%K -3.59%G +0.000%9.4%2026-02-21 18:30
ATG (SE)🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 63.06%EV -7.75%E -5.34%K -17.22%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.62%EV -6.77%E -1.23%K -1.50%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.32%EV -12.58%E -2.79%K -3.59%G +0.000%9.4%2026-02-21 18:30
LeoVegas🎯1.43I 69.93%NM 63.38%EV -9.02%E -6.31%K -20.98%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.48%EV -6.77%E -1.23%K -1.50%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.14%EV -12.58%E -2.79%K -3.59%G +0.000%10.3%2026-02-21 18:15
Paddy Power🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 63.87%EV -10.93%E -7.81%K -27.32%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.26%EV -6.77%E -1.23%K -1.50%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 19.87%EV -12.58%E -2.79%K -3.59%G +0.000%11.8%2026-02-21 18:30
Sky Bet🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 63.38%EV -10.93%E -7.81%K -27.32%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.13%EV -6.77%E -1.23%K -1.50%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 20.49%EV -15.88%E -3.67%K -4.77%G +0.000%12.7%2026-02-21 18:30
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 61.43%EV -10.93%E -7.81%K -27.32%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 15.64%EV -6.77%E -1.23%K -1.50%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 22.93%EV -27.15%E -7.24%K -9.87%G +0.000%16.3%2026-02-21 18:30
Betclic (FR)🎯1.39I 71.94%NM 64.12%EV -11.57%E -8.32%K -29.66%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 16.50%EV -8.47%E -1.57%K -1.92%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.38%EV -10.63%E -2.31%K -2.95%G +0.000%12.2%2026-02-21 18:34
Unibet (FR)🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 63.72%EV -10.93%E -7.81%K -27.32%G +0.000%5.35I 18.69%NM 16.67%EV -9.31%E -1.74%K -2.14%G +0.000%4.55I 21.98%NM 19.61%EV -11.60%E -2.55%K -3.27%G +0.000%12.1%2026-02-21 18:55
LiveScore Bet🎯1.41I 70.92%NM 63.03%EV -10.29%E -7.30%K -25.11%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 16.77%EV -10.16%E -1.92%K -2.36%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.20%EV -14.52%E -3.30%K -4.27%G +0.000%12.5%2026-02-21 18:05
Virgin Bet🎯1.41I 70.92%NM 63.03%EV -10.29%E -7.30%K -25.11%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 16.77%EV -10.16%E -1.92%K -2.36%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.20%EV -14.52%E -3.30%K -4.27%G +0.000%12.5%2026-02-21 18:05
Winamax (DE)🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 63.41%EV -8.38%E -5.82%K -19.06%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 17.56%EV -11.86%E -2.28%K -2.82%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.02%EV -6.75%E -1.41%K -1.78%G +0.000%9.5%2026-02-21 18:05
Winamax (FR)🎯1.42I 70.42%NM 63.01%EV -9.66%E -6.80%K -22.99%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 17.54%EV -13.55%E -2.66%K -3.31%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.45%EV -10.63%E -2.31%K -2.95%G +0.000%11.8%2026-02-21 18:15
William Hill🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 61.32%EV -8.38%E -5.82%K -19.06%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 17.66%EV -15.25%E -3.05%K -3.81%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.02%EV -18.40%E -4.38%K -5.75%G +0.000%13.3%2026-02-21 18:15
888sport🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 61.32%EV -8.38%E -5.82%K -19.06%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 17.66%EV -15.25%E -3.05%K -3.81%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.02%EV -18.40%E -4.38%K -5.75%G +0.000%13.3%2026-02-21 18:15
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 61.32%EV -8.38%E -5.82%K -19.06%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 17.66%EV -15.25%E -3.05%K -3.81%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.02%EV -18.40%E -4.38%K -5.75%G +0.000%13.3%2026-02-21 18:15
888sport (SE)🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 61.32%EV -8.38%E -5.82%K -19.06%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 17.66%EV -15.25%E -3.05%K -3.81%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.02%EV -18.40%E -4.38%K -5.75%G +0.000%13.3%2026-02-21 18:15
BoyleSports🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 61.80%EV -10.93%E -7.81%K -27.32%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 18.22%EV -19.48%E -4.10%K -5.20%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 19.98%EV -15.88%E -3.67%K -4.77%G +0.000%15.6%2026-02-21 18:15
利润率 = 利润率(超额概率) · I = 隐含概率 · NM = 无利润率概率 · EV = 期望值 · E = 优势 · K = Kelly 准则 · G = 资金增长率

更新时间 指各博彩公司最后一次调整赔率的时间,因此时间较早仅表示赔率一直未变,并不代表数据已经失效。通常,约 15 分钟内未收到更新的博彩公司会被移除;只有整个市场的数据源均无更新时,才会改为显示最后记录的赔率。

博彩交易所 (3)

博彩公司主队客队平局利润率 ▲更新时间
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.48I 67.57%NM 66.57%6.80I 14.71%NM 14.49%5.20I 19.23%NM 18.95%1.5%2026-02-21 18:55
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.48I 67.57%NM 66.57%6.80I 14.71%NM 14.49%5.20I 19.23%NM 18.95%1.5%2026-02-21 18:55
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.48I 67.57%NM 66.57%6.80I 14.71%NM 14.49%5.20I 19.23%NM 18.95%1.5%2026-02-21 18:55