La scuola delle quote

Al-Hilal v Al-Ittihad

Inizio: 2026-02-21 19:00 UTC

Quote di chiusura — probabilità e valore atteso calcolati dalle ultime quote registrate prima dell’inizio secondo il modello selezionato. L’incontro è iniziato, quindi non sono dati in tempo reale. Valuti l’affidabilità delle previsioni probabilistiche di ciascun modello rispetto a tutti i risultati definitivi →

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24 bookmaker (5 nell’analisi )

Probabilità stimata di ciascun risultato secondo il modello: IQM

Al-Hilal (Casa)

Previsione 63.62%1.57quota equa
EV -2.02%
Vantaggio -1.31%
Kelly -3.75%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 1.54

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
61.32%63.55%63.74%65.57%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
1.391.431.441.5471.94%69.85%69.44%64.94%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

Al-Ittihad (Trasferta)

Previsione 16.95%5.90quota equa
EV +3.40%
Vantaggio +0.557%
Kelly +0.666%
Crescita +0.023%

ipotizzando la quota massima 6.10

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
15.30%16.76%16.81%18.22%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
4.755.385.506.1021.05%18.60%18.18%16.39%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

Pareggio

Previsione 19.43%5.15quota equa
EV -6.75%
Vantaggio -1.41%
Kelly -1.78%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 4.80

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
19.02%19.69%19.45%22.93%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
3.754.454.504.8026.67%22.49%22.22%20.83%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

Quote dei bookmaker (24 bookmaker)

Non siamo affiliati ad alcun bookmaker e non ricaviamo nulla dalle operazioni svolte presso di essi.

BookmakerCasaTrasferta ▼PareggioMargineAggiornamento
1xBet1.54I 64.94%NM 63.00%EV -2.02%E -1.31%K -3.75%G +0.000%6.10I 16.39%NM 15.91%EV +3.40%E +0.557%K +0.666%G +0.023%4.60I 21.74%NM 21.09%EV -10.63%E -2.31%K -2.95%G +0.000%3.1%2026-02-21 18:55
Tipico (DE)1.40I 71.43%NM 65.57%EV -10.93%E -7.81%K -27.32%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.30%EV +1.70%E +0.284%K +0.341%G +0.006%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.13%EV -6.75%E -1.41%K -1.78%G +0.000%8.9%2026-02-21 17:25
Unibet (UK)1.45I 68.97%NM 63.74%EV -7.75%E -5.34%K -17.22%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.80%EV -6.77%E -1.23%K -1.50%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.46%EV -7.72%E -1.63%K -2.06%G +0.000%8.2%2026-02-21 18:05
Unibet1.46I 68.49%NM 62.90%EV -7.11%E -4.87%K -15.46%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.70%EV -6.77%E -1.23%K -1.50%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.41%EV -12.58%E -2.79%K -3.59%G +0.000%8.9%2026-02-21 18:30
Unibet (NL)1.45I 68.97%NM 63.06%EV -7.75%E -5.34%K -17.22%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.62%EV -6.77%E -1.23%K -1.50%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.32%EV -12.58%E -2.79%K -3.59%G +0.000%9.4%2026-02-21 18:30
Unibet (SE)1.45I 68.97%NM 63.06%EV -7.75%E -5.34%K -17.22%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.62%EV -6.77%E -1.23%K -1.50%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.32%EV -12.58%E -2.79%K -3.59%G +0.000%9.4%2026-02-21 18:30
Grosvenor1.45I 68.97%NM 63.06%EV -7.75%E -5.34%K -17.22%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.62%EV -6.77%E -1.23%K -1.50%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.32%EV -12.58%E -2.79%K -3.59%G +0.000%9.4%2026-02-21 18:30
Svenska Spel1.45I 68.97%NM 63.06%EV -7.75%E -5.34%K -17.22%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.62%EV -6.77%E -1.23%K -1.50%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.32%EV -12.58%E -2.79%K -3.59%G +0.000%9.4%2026-02-21 18:30
ATG (SE)1.45I 68.97%NM 63.06%EV -7.75%E -5.34%K -17.22%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.62%EV -6.77%E -1.23%K -1.50%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.32%EV -12.58%E -2.79%K -3.59%G +0.000%9.4%2026-02-21 18:30
LeoVegas1.43I 69.93%NM 63.38%EV -9.02%E -6.31%K -20.98%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.48%EV -6.77%E -1.23%K -1.50%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.14%EV -12.58%E -2.79%K -3.59%G +0.000%10.3%2026-02-21 18:15
Paddy Power1.40I 71.43%NM 63.87%EV -10.93%E -7.81%K -27.32%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.26%EV -6.77%E -1.23%K -1.50%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 19.87%EV -12.58%E -2.79%K -3.59%G +0.000%11.8%2026-02-21 18:30
Sky Bet1.40I 71.43%NM 63.38%EV -10.93%E -7.81%K -27.32%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.13%EV -6.77%E -1.23%K -1.50%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 20.49%EV -15.88%E -3.67%K -4.77%G +0.000%12.7%2026-02-21 18:30
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.40I 71.43%NM 61.43%EV -10.93%E -7.81%K -27.32%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 15.64%EV -6.77%E -1.23%K -1.50%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 22.93%EV -27.15%E -7.24%K -9.87%G +0.000%16.3%2026-02-21 18:30
Betclic (FR)1.39I 71.94%NM 64.12%EV -11.57%E -8.32%K -29.66%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 16.50%EV -8.47%E -1.57%K -1.92%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.38%EV -10.63%E -2.31%K -2.95%G +0.000%12.2%2026-02-21 18:34
Unibet (FR)1.40I 71.43%NM 63.72%EV -10.93%E -7.81%K -27.32%G +0.000%5.35I 18.69%NM 16.67%EV -9.31%E -1.74%K -2.14%G +0.000%4.55I 21.98%NM 19.61%EV -11.60%E -2.55%K -3.27%G +0.000%12.1%2026-02-21 18:55
LiveScore Bet1.41I 70.92%NM 63.03%EV -10.29%E -7.30%K -25.11%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 16.77%EV -10.16%E -1.92%K -2.36%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.20%EV -14.52%E -3.30%K -4.27%G +0.000%12.5%2026-02-21 18:05
Virgin Bet1.41I 70.92%NM 63.03%EV -10.29%E -7.30%K -25.11%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 16.77%EV -10.16%E -1.92%K -2.36%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.20%EV -14.52%E -3.30%K -4.27%G +0.000%12.5%2026-02-21 18:05
Winamax (DE)1.44I 69.44%NM 63.41%EV -8.38%E -5.82%K -19.06%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 17.56%EV -11.86%E -2.28%K -2.82%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.02%EV -6.75%E -1.41%K -1.78%G +0.000%9.5%2026-02-21 18:05
Winamax (FR)1.42I 70.42%NM 63.01%EV -9.66%E -6.80%K -22.99%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 17.54%EV -13.55%E -2.66%K -3.31%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.45%EV -10.63%E -2.31%K -2.95%G +0.000%11.8%2026-02-21 18:15
William Hill1.44I 69.44%NM 61.32%EV -8.38%E -5.82%K -19.06%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 17.66%EV -15.25%E -3.05%K -3.81%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.02%EV -18.40%E -4.38%K -5.75%G +0.000%13.3%2026-02-21 18:15
888sport1.44I 69.44%NM 61.32%EV -8.38%E -5.82%K -19.06%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 17.66%EV -15.25%E -3.05%K -3.81%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.02%EV -18.40%E -4.38%K -5.75%G +0.000%13.3%2026-02-21 18:15
Mr Green (SE)1.44I 69.44%NM 61.32%EV -8.38%E -5.82%K -19.06%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 17.66%EV -15.25%E -3.05%K -3.81%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.02%EV -18.40%E -4.38%K -5.75%G +0.000%13.3%2026-02-21 18:15
888sport (SE)1.44I 69.44%NM 61.32%EV -8.38%E -5.82%K -19.06%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 17.66%EV -15.25%E -3.05%K -3.81%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.02%EV -18.40%E -4.38%K -5.75%G +0.000%13.3%2026-02-21 18:15
BoyleSports1.40I 71.43%NM 61.80%EV -10.93%E -7.81%K -27.32%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 18.22%EV -19.48%E -4.10%K -5.20%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 19.98%EV -15.88%E -3.67%K -4.77%G +0.000%15.6%2026-02-21 18:15
Margine = Margine (overround) · I = Probabilità implicita · NM = Probabilità senza margine · EV = Valore atteso · E = Vantaggio · K = Criterio di Kelly · G = Crescita del capitale

Aggiornamento indica quando ciascun bookmaker ha modificato la quota per l’ultima volta: un orario meno recente significa che la quota non si è mossa, non che sia obsoleta. I bookmaker assenti da circa 15 minuti vengono normalmente esclusi; solo se tace il flusso dell’intero mercato si mostrano le ultime quote registrate.

Borse di scommesse (3)

BookmakerCasaTrasfertaPareggioMargine ▲Aggiornamento
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.48I 67.57%NM 66.57%6.80I 14.71%NM 14.49%5.20I 19.23%NM 18.95%1.5%2026-02-21 18:55
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.48I 67.57%NM 66.57%6.80I 14.71%NM 14.49%5.20I 19.23%NM 18.95%1.5%2026-02-21 18:55
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.48I 67.57%NM 66.57%6.80I 14.71%NM 14.49%5.20I 19.23%NM 18.95%1.5%2026-02-21 18:55