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默认模型四分位数间均值 (精选名单)
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Al-Hilal v Al-Faisaly KSA FC

开赛时间： 2026-08-14 18:02 UTC

收盘赔率 — 按所选模型，根据开赛前最后记录的赔率计算得出的概率和期望值。比赛已经开始，因此这些并非实时数据。 依据所有已完赛结果评估各模型概率预测的可靠性 →

胜负盘

22 家博彩公司 (5 家纳入分析 )

模型估计的各赛果概率：四分位数间均值 (精选名单)

Al-Hilal (主队)

预测 81.73%1.22公平赔率
EV -6.83%
优势 -5.99%
Kelly -48.77%
增长率 +0.000%

假设最高赔率为 1.14

博彩公司预测分布
80.51%81.86%81.43%83.90%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
1.081.111.121.1492.59%90.02%89.29%87.72%最小值均值中位数最大值

Al-Faisaly KSA FC (客队)

预测 6.25%15.99公平赔率
EV +1.60%
优势 +0.098%
Kelly +0.105%
增长率 +0.002%

假设最高赔率为 16.25

博彩公司预测分布
5.72%6.28%6.19%6.97%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
13.0014.0713.6316.257.69%7.11%7.34%6.15%最小值均值中位数最大值

平局

预测 12.02%8.32公平赔率
EV +10.92%
优势 +1.18%
Kelly +1.33%
增长率 +0.145%

假设最高赔率为 9.23

博彩公司预测分布
10.27%11.86%12.38%13.00%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
7.007.597.509.2314.29%13.18%13.33%10.83%最小值均值中位数最大值

按开赛前最后一组赔率，四分位数间均值 (精选名单)对胜负盘的概率估计为：Al-Hilal (主队)：81.73%；Al-Faisaly KSA FC (客队)：6.25%；平局：12.02%。 对于“平局”，该估计对应的公平十进制赔率为8.32。 当时有2家博彩公司提供高于该水平的收盘赔率；最佳赔率为9.23，对应+10.92%的正期望值。

博彩公司赔率 (22 家博彩公司)

我们与任何博彩公司均无关联，也不会从用户在这些公司进行的任何操作中获利。

博彩公司主队客队平局 ▼利润率更新时间
Pinnacle🎯1.13I 88.50%NM 83.90%EV -7.64%E -6.77%K -58.81%G +0.000%16.25I 6.15%NM 5.83%EV +1.60%E +0.098%K +0.105%G +0.002%9.23I 10.83%NM 10.27%EV +10.92%E +1.18%K +1.33%G +0.145%5.5%2026-08-14 17:59
Betclic (FR)🎯1.10I 90.91%NM 82.48%EV -10.10%E -9.18%K -100.97%G +0.000%13.25I 7.55%NM 6.85%EV -17.16%E -1.30%K -1.40%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 10.67%EV +2.15%E +0.253%K +0.287%G +0.006%10.2%2026-08-14 17:54
SportsBet🎯1.10I 90.91%NM 83.19%EV -10.10%E -9.18%K -100.97%G +0.000%16.00I 6.25%NM 5.72%EV +0.033%E +0.002%K +0.002%G +0.000%8.25I 12.12%NM 11.09%EV -0.856%E -0.104%K -0.118%G +0.000%9.3%2026-08-14 16:14
Paddy Power🎯1.08I 92.59%NM 82.85%EV -11.73%E -10.86%K -146.64%G +0.000%15.00I 6.67%NM 5.97%EV -6.22%E -0.415%K -0.444%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.18%EV -3.86%E -0.482%K -0.551%G +0.000%11.8%2026-08-14 16:14
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯1.08I 92.59%NM 82.85%EV -11.73%E -10.86%K -146.64%G +0.000%15.00I 6.67%NM 5.97%EV -6.22%E -0.415%K -0.444%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.18%EV -3.86%E -0.482%K -0.551%G +0.000%11.8%2026-08-14 17:49
Unibet (UK)🎯1.14I 87.72%NM 81.43%EV -6.83%E -5.99%K -48.77%G +0.000%15.00I 6.67%NM 6.19%EV -6.22%E -0.415%K -0.444%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.38%EV -9.87%E -1.32%K -1.52%G +0.000%7.7%2026-08-14 17:50
Winamax (DE)🎯1.12I 89.29%NM 81.70%EV -8.46%E -7.56%K -70.52%G +0.000%15.00I 6.67%NM 6.10%EV -6.22%E -0.415%K -0.444%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.20%EV -9.87%E -1.32%K -1.52%G +0.000%9.3%2026-08-14 18:00
Unibet🎯1.12I 89.29%NM 80.94%EV -8.46%E -7.56%K -70.52%G +0.000%13.00I 7.69%NM 6.97%EV -18.72%E -1.44%K -1.56%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.09%EV -9.87%E -1.32%K -1.52%G +0.000%10.3%2026-08-14 17:54
Grosvenor🎯1.12I 89.29%NM 80.94%EV -8.46%E -7.56%K -70.52%G +0.000%13.00I 7.69%NM 6.97%EV -18.72%E -1.44%K -1.56%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.09%EV -9.87%E -1.32%K -1.52%G +0.000%10.3%2026-08-14 17:54
Unibet (SE)🎯1.12I 89.29%NM 80.94%EV -8.46%E -7.56%K -70.52%G +0.000%13.00I 7.69%NM 6.97%EV -18.72%E -1.44%K -1.56%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.09%EV -9.87%E -1.32%K -1.52%G +0.000%10.3%2026-08-14 17:54
Unibet (NL)🎯1.12I 89.29%NM 80.94%EV -8.46%E -7.56%K -70.52%G +0.000%13.00I 7.69%NM 6.97%EV -18.72%E -1.44%K -1.56%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.09%EV -9.87%E -1.32%K -1.52%G +0.000%10.3%2026-08-14 17:54
ATG (SE)🎯1.12I 89.29%NM 80.94%EV -8.46%E -7.56%K -70.52%G +0.000%13.00I 7.69%NM 6.97%EV -18.72%E -1.44%K -1.56%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.09%EV -9.87%E -1.32%K -1.52%G +0.000%10.3%2026-08-14 17:54
Svenska Spel🎯1.12I 89.29%NM 80.94%EV -8.46%E -7.56%K -70.52%G +0.000%13.00I 7.69%NM 6.97%EV -18.72%E -1.44%K -1.56%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.09%EV -9.87%E -1.32%K -1.52%G +0.000%10.3%2026-08-14 17:54
Sky Bet🎯1.10I 90.91%NM 81.22%EV -10.10%E -9.18%K -100.97%G +0.000%13.00I 7.69%NM 6.87%EV -18.72%E -1.44%K -1.56%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 11.91%EV -9.87%E -1.32%K -1.52%G +0.000%11.9%2026-08-14 16:14
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.10I 90.91%NM 81.22%EV -10.10%E -9.18%K -100.97%G +0.000%13.00I 7.69%NM 6.87%EV -18.72%E -1.44%K -1.56%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 11.91%EV -9.87%E -1.32%K -1.52%G +0.000%11.9%2026-08-14 17:54
Virgin Bet🎯1.08I 92.59%NM 81.49%EV -11.73%E -10.86%K -146.64%G +0.000%13.00I 7.69%NM 6.77%EV -18.72%E -1.44%K -1.56%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 11.74%EV -9.87%E -1.32%K -1.52%G +0.000%13.6%2026-08-14 18:00
LiveScore Bet🎯1.08I 92.59%NM 81.49%EV -11.73%E -10.86%K -146.64%G +0.000%13.00I 7.69%NM 6.77%EV -18.72%E -1.44%K -1.56%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 11.74%EV -9.87%E -1.32%K -1.52%G +0.000%13.6%2026-08-14 18:00
Winamax (FR)🎯1.13I 88.50%NM 80.51%EV -7.64%E -6.77%K -58.81%G +0.000%14.00I 7.14%NM 6.50%EV -12.47%E -0.891%K -0.959%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.00%EV -15.88%E -2.27%K -2.65%G +0.000%9.9%2026-08-14 18:00
888sport🎯1.12I 89.29%NM 80.99%EV -8.46%E -7.56%K -70.52%G +0.000%15.00I 6.67%NM 6.05%EV -6.22%E -0.415%K -0.444%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 12.96%EV -15.88%E -2.27%K -2.65%G +0.000%10.2%2026-08-14 17:55
William Hill🎯1.12I 89.29%NM 80.99%EV -8.46%E -7.56%K -70.52%G +0.000%15.00I 6.67%NM 6.05%EV -6.22%E -0.415%K -0.444%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 12.96%EV -15.88%E -2.27%K -2.65%G +0.000%10.2%2026-08-14 17:54
888sport (SE)🎯1.12I 89.29%NM 80.99%EV -8.46%E -7.56%K -70.52%G +0.000%15.00I 6.67%NM 6.05%EV -6.22%E -0.415%K -0.444%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 12.96%EV -15.88%E -2.27%K -2.65%G +0.000%10.2%2026-08-14 17:54
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.12I 89.29%NM 80.99%EV -8.46%E -7.56%K -70.52%G +0.000%15.00I 6.67%NM 6.05%EV -6.22%E -0.415%K -0.444%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 12.96%EV -15.88%E -2.27%K -2.65%G +0.000%10.2%2026-08-14 17:54
利润率 = 利润率（超额概率） · I = 隐含概率 · NM = 无利润率概率 · EV = 期望值 · E = 优势 · K = Kelly 准则 · G = 资金增长率

更新时间 指各博彩公司最后一次调整赔率的时间，因此时间较早仅表示赔率一直未变，并不代表数据已经失效。通常，约 15 分钟内未收到更新的博彩公司会被移除；只有整个市场的数据源均无更新时，才会改为显示最后记录的赔率。

博彩交易所 (4)

博彩公司主队客队平局利润率 ▲更新时间
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎1.16I 86.21%NM 85.89%24.00I 4.17%NM 4.15%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.96%0.4%2026-08-14 17:40
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎1.16I 86.21%NM 85.53%24.00I 4.17%NM 4.13%9.60I 10.42%NM 10.33%0.8%2026-08-14 18:00
Kalshi◎1.15I 86.96%NM 86.13%25.00I 4.00%NM 3.96%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.91%1.0%2026-08-14 18:00
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎1.16I 86.21%NM 84.73%24.00I 4.17%NM 4.10%8.80I 11.36%NM 11.17%1.7%2026-08-14 18:00