La scuola delle quote

Al-Hazem v Al-Kholood

Inizio: 2026-03-12 19:00 UTC

Quote di chiusura — probabilità e valore atteso calcolati dalle ultime quote registrate prima dell’inizio secondo il modello selezionato. L’incontro è iniziato, quindi non sono dati in tempo reale. Valuti l’affidabilità delle previsioni probabilistiche di ciascun modello rispetto a tutti i risultati definitivi →

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29 bookmaker (6 nell’analisi )

Probabilità stimata di ciascun risultato secondo il modello: IQM

Al-Hazem (Casa)

Previsione 32.77%3.05quota equa
EV -3.00%
Vantaggio -1.01%
Kelly -1.53%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 2.96

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
32.17%32.80%32.78%35.72%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
2.502.692.702.9640.00%37.18%37.04%33.78%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

Al-Kholood (Trasferta)

Previsione 40.18%2.49quota equa
EV -0.344%
Vantaggio -0.139%
Kelly -0.233%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 2.48

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
37.15%40.08%40.10%41.12%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
2.152.342.302.4846.51%42.81%43.48%40.32%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

Pareggio

Previsione 27.05%3.70quota equa
EV -2.63%
Vantaggio -0.731%
Kelly -1.01%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 3.60

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
26.18%27.12%27.13%29.38%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
2.883.343.403.6034.72%29.93%29.41%27.78%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

Quote dei bookmaker (29 bookmaker)

Non siamo affiliati ad alcun bookmaker e non ricaviamo nulla dalle operazioni svolte presso di essi.

BookmakerCasa ▼TrasfertaPareggioMargineAggiornamento
Pinnacle2.96I 33.78%NM 32.18%EV -3.00%E -1.01%K -1.53%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.53%EV -5.57%E -2.37%K -4.12%G +0.000%3.49I 28.65%NM 27.29%EV -5.61%E -1.61%K -2.25%G +0.000%5.0%2026-03-12 18:55
Coral2.90I 34.48%NM 32.61%EV -4.97%E -1.71%K -2.62%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.12%EV -7.58%E -3.29%K -5.83%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.27%EV -2.63%E -0.731%K -1.01%G +0.000%5.7%2026-03-12 18:25
1xBet2.88I 34.72%NM 33.69%EV -5.62%E -1.95%K -2.99%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 39.13%EV -0.344%E -0.139%K -0.233%G +0.000%3.57I 28.01%NM 27.18%EV -3.44%E -0.964%K -1.34%G +0.000%3.1%2026-03-12 18:55
Ladbrokes (UK)2.87I 34.84%NM 32.84%EV -5.95%E -2.07%K -3.18%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.98%EV -7.58%E -3.29%K -5.83%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.18%EV -2.63%E -0.731%K -1.01%G +0.000%6.1%2026-03-12 18:25
Unibet (UK)2.80I 35.71%NM 32.88%EV -8.25%E -2.94%K -4.58%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.03%EV -7.58%E -3.29%K -5.83%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.08%EV -8.04%E -2.36%K -3.35%G +0.000%8.6%2026-03-12 18:25
Tipico (DE)2.80I 35.71%NM 32.88%EV -8.25%E -2.94%K -4.58%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.03%EV -7.58%E -3.29%K -5.83%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.08%EV -8.04%E -2.36%K -3.35%G +0.000%8.6%2026-03-12 18:30
Betclic (FR)2.80I 35.71%NM 32.49%EV -8.25%E -2.94%K -4.58%G +0.000%2.22I 45.05%NM 40.98%EV -10.79%E -4.86%K -8.85%G +0.000%3.43I 29.15%NM 26.52%EV -7.23%E -2.11%K -2.97%G +0.000%9.9%2026-03-12 18:35
SportsBet2.75I 36.36%NM 33.28%EV -9.88%E -3.59%K -5.65%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 39.80%EV -7.58%E -3.29%K -5.83%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.92%EV -8.04%E -2.36%K -3.35%G +0.000%9.3%2026-03-12 18:30
Unibet (FR)2.75I 36.36%NM 32.70%EV -9.88%E -3.59%K -5.65%G +0.000%2.21I 45.25%NM 40.69%EV -11.19%E -5.07%K -9.25%G +0.000%3.38I 29.59%NM 26.61%EV -8.58%E -2.54%K -3.61%G +0.000%11.2%2026-03-12 18:25
Winamax (DE)2.70I 37.04%NM 33.53%EV -11.52%E -4.27%K -6.78%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 40.23%EV -9.59%E -4.26%K -7.67%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.24%EV -6.69%E -1.94%K -2.73%G +0.000%10.5%2026-03-12 18:25
Paddy Power2.70I 37.04%NM 33.42%EV -11.52%E -4.27%K -6.78%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 39.23%EV -7.58%E -3.29%K -5.83%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.34%EV -10.75%E -3.26%K -4.67%G +0.000%10.8%2026-03-12 18:30
Sky Bet2.70I 37.04%NM 32.99%EV -11.52%E -4.27%K -6.78%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 39.59%EV -9.59%E -4.26%K -7.67%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.41%EV -12.10%E -3.72%K -5.38%G +0.000%12.3%2026-03-12 18:30
888sport2.70I 37.04%NM 32.56%EV -11.52%E -4.27%K -6.78%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 39.08%EV -9.59%E -4.26%K -7.67%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.36%EV -16.15%E -5.21%K -7.69%G +0.000%13.7%2026-03-12 18:55
William Hill2.70I 37.04%NM 32.56%EV -11.52%E -4.27%K -6.78%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 39.08%EV -9.59%E -4.26%K -7.67%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.36%EV -16.15%E -5.21%K -7.69%G +0.000%13.7%2026-03-12 18:55
Mr Green (SE)2.70I 37.04%NM 32.56%EV -11.52%E -4.27%K -6.78%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 39.08%EV -9.59%E -4.26%K -7.67%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.36%EV -16.15%E -5.21%K -7.69%G +0.000%13.7%2026-03-12 18:55
888sport (SE)2.70I 37.04%NM 32.56%EV -11.52%E -4.27%K -6.78%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 39.08%EV -9.59%E -4.26%K -7.67%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.36%EV -16.15%E -5.21%K -7.69%G +0.000%13.7%2026-03-12 18:55
Winamax (FR)2.65I 37.74%NM 33.82%EV -13.16%E -4.97%K -7.98%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 39.83%EV -9.59%E -4.26%K -7.67%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.36%EV -8.04%E -2.36%K -3.35%G +0.000%11.6%2026-03-12 18:25
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)2.63I 38.02%NM 32.17%EV -13.82%E -5.25%K -8.48%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 38.46%EV -11.60%E -5.27%K -9.66%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 29.38%EV -22.10%E -7.68%K -11.76%G +0.000%18.2%2026-03-12 18:45
Unibet2.60I 38.46%NM 35.55%EV -14.80%E -5.69%K -9.25%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 37.27%EV -0.344%E -0.139%K -0.233%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.18%EV -8.04%E -2.36%K -3.35%G +0.000%8.2%2026-03-12 18:25
Unibet (NL)2.60I 38.46%NM 35.55%EV -14.80%E -5.69%K -9.25%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 37.27%EV -0.344%E -0.139%K -0.233%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.18%EV -8.04%E -2.36%K -3.35%G +0.000%8.2%2026-03-12 18:25
Unibet (SE)2.60I 38.46%NM 35.55%EV -14.80%E -5.69%K -9.25%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 37.27%EV -0.344%E -0.139%K -0.233%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.18%EV -8.04%E -2.36%K -3.35%G +0.000%8.2%2026-03-12 18:25
Grosvenor2.60I 38.46%NM 35.55%EV -14.80%E -5.69%K -9.25%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 37.27%EV -0.344%E -0.139%K -0.233%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.18%EV -8.04%E -2.36%K -3.35%G +0.000%8.2%2026-03-12 18:25
Svenska Spel2.60I 38.46%NM 35.55%EV -14.80%E -5.69%K -9.25%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 37.27%EV -0.344%E -0.139%K -0.233%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.18%EV -8.04%E -2.36%K -3.35%G +0.000%8.2%2026-03-12 18:25
ATG (SE)2.60I 38.46%NM 35.55%EV -14.80%E -5.69%K -9.25%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 37.27%EV -0.344%E -0.139%K -0.233%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.18%EV -8.04%E -2.36%K -3.35%G +0.000%8.2%2026-03-12 18:30
BoyleSports2.60I 38.46%NM 33.23%EV -14.80%E -5.69%K -9.25%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 40.19%EV -13.61%E -6.33%K -11.83%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 26.58%EV -12.10%E -3.72%K -5.38%G +0.000%15.7%2026-03-12 18:35
LeoVegas (SE)2.55I 39.22%NM 35.69%EV -16.44%E -6.45%K -10.61%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.15%EV -1.55%E -0.633%K -1.07%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.17%EV -9.39%E -2.80%K -4.00%G +0.000%9.9%2026-03-12 18:25
LeoVegas2.55I 39.22%NM 35.69%EV -16.44%E -6.45%K -10.61%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.15%EV -1.55%E -0.633%K -1.07%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.17%EV -9.39%E -2.80%K -4.00%G +0.000%9.9%2026-03-12 18:30
LiveScore Bet2.50I 40.00%NM 35.72%EV -18.08%E -7.23%K -12.05%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 37.21%EV -3.56%E -1.48%K -2.54%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.06%EV -10.75%E -3.26%K -4.67%G +0.000%12.0%2026-03-12 18:25
Virgin Bet2.50I 40.00%NM 35.72%EV -18.08%E -7.23%K -12.05%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 37.21%EV -3.56%E -1.48%K -2.54%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.06%EV -10.75%E -3.26%K -4.67%G +0.000%12.0%2026-03-12 18:25
Margine = Margine (overround) · I = Probabilità implicita · NM = Probabilità senza margine · EV = Valore atteso · E = Vantaggio · K = Criterio di Kelly · G = Crescita del capitale

Aggiornamento indica quando ciascun bookmaker ha modificato la quota per l’ultima volta: un orario meno recente significa che la quota non si è mossa, non che sia obsoleta. I bookmaker assenti da circa 15 minuti vengono normalmente esclusi; solo se tace il flusso dell’intero mercato si mostrano le ultime quote registrate.

Borse di scommesse (5)

BookmakerCasaTrasfertaPareggioMargine ▲Aggiornamento
Betfair Exchange (UK)3.00I 33.33%NM 32.88%2.46I 40.65%NM 40.10%3.65I 27.40%NM 27.02%1.4%2026-03-12 18:50
Betfair Exchange (AU)3.00I 33.33%NM 32.77%2.44I 40.98%NM 40.29%3.65I 27.40%NM 26.94%1.7%2026-03-12 18:55
Betfair Exchange (EU)3.00I 33.33%NM 32.77%2.44I 40.98%NM 40.29%3.65I 27.40%NM 26.94%1.7%2026-03-12 18:55
Kalshi2.86I 34.97%NM 34.31%2.44I 40.98%NM 40.21%3.85I 25.97%NM 25.48%1.9%2026-03-12 18:20
Smarkets2.98I 33.56%NM 32.69%2.42I 41.32%NM 40.25%3.60I 27.78%NM 27.06%2.7%2026-03-12 18:30