L’École des cotes

Al-Hazem v Al-Kholood

Coup d’envoi : 2026-03-12 19:00 UTC

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

29 opérateurs (6 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : IQM

Al-Hazem (Local)

Prévision 32.77%3.05cote équitable
EV -3.00%
Avantage -1.01%
Kelly -1.53%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 2.96

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
32.17%32.80%32.78%35.72%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
2.502.692.702.9640.00%37.18%37.04%33.78%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Al-Kholood (Visiteur)

Prévision 40.18%2.49cote équitable
EV -0.344%
Avantage -0.139%
Kelly -0.233%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 2.48

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
37.15%40.08%40.10%41.12%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
2.152.342.302.4846.51%42.81%43.48%40.32%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Match nul

Prévision 27.05%3.70cote équitable
EV -2.63%
Avantage -0.731%
Kelly -1.01%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 3.60

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
26.18%27.12%27.13%29.38%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
2.883.343.403.6034.72%29.93%29.41%27.78%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Cotes des opérateurs (29 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocal ▼VisiteurMatch nulMargeMise à jour
Pinnacle2.96I 33.78%NM 32.18%EV -3.00%E -1.01%K -1.53%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.53%EV -5.57%E -2.37%K -4.12%G +0.000%3.49I 28.65%NM 27.29%EV -5.61%E -1.61%K -2.25%G +0.000%5.0%2026-03-12 18:55
Coral2.90I 34.48%NM 32.61%EV -4.97%E -1.71%K -2.62%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.12%EV -7.58%E -3.29%K -5.83%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.27%EV -2.63%E -0.731%K -1.01%G +0.000%5.7%2026-03-12 18:25
1xBet2.88I 34.72%NM 33.69%EV -5.62%E -1.95%K -2.99%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 39.13%EV -0.344%E -0.139%K -0.233%G +0.000%3.57I 28.01%NM 27.18%EV -3.44%E -0.964%K -1.34%G +0.000%3.1%2026-03-12 18:55
Ladbrokes (UK)2.87I 34.84%NM 32.84%EV -5.95%E -2.07%K -3.18%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.98%EV -7.58%E -3.29%K -5.83%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.18%EV -2.63%E -0.731%K -1.01%G +0.000%6.1%2026-03-12 18:25
Unibet (UK)2.80I 35.71%NM 32.88%EV -8.25%E -2.94%K -4.58%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.03%EV -7.58%E -3.29%K -5.83%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.08%EV -8.04%E -2.36%K -3.35%G +0.000%8.6%2026-03-12 18:25
Tipico (DE)2.80I 35.71%NM 32.88%EV -8.25%E -2.94%K -4.58%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.03%EV -7.58%E -3.29%K -5.83%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.08%EV -8.04%E -2.36%K -3.35%G +0.000%8.6%2026-03-12 18:30
Betclic (FR)2.80I 35.71%NM 32.49%EV -8.25%E -2.94%K -4.58%G +0.000%2.22I 45.05%NM 40.98%EV -10.79%E -4.86%K -8.85%G +0.000%3.43I 29.15%NM 26.52%EV -7.23%E -2.11%K -2.97%G +0.000%9.9%2026-03-12 18:35
SportsBet2.75I 36.36%NM 33.28%EV -9.88%E -3.59%K -5.65%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 39.80%EV -7.58%E -3.29%K -5.83%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.92%EV -8.04%E -2.36%K -3.35%G +0.000%9.3%2026-03-12 18:30
Unibet (FR)2.75I 36.36%NM 32.70%EV -9.88%E -3.59%K -5.65%G +0.000%2.21I 45.25%NM 40.69%EV -11.19%E -5.07%K -9.25%G +0.000%3.38I 29.59%NM 26.61%EV -8.58%E -2.54%K -3.61%G +0.000%11.2%2026-03-12 18:25
Winamax (DE)2.70I 37.04%NM 33.53%EV -11.52%E -4.27%K -6.78%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 40.23%EV -9.59%E -4.26%K -7.67%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.24%EV -6.69%E -1.94%K -2.73%G +0.000%10.5%2026-03-12 18:25
Paddy Power2.70I 37.04%NM 33.42%EV -11.52%E -4.27%K -6.78%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 39.23%EV -7.58%E -3.29%K -5.83%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.34%EV -10.75%E -3.26%K -4.67%G +0.000%10.8%2026-03-12 18:30
Sky Bet2.70I 37.04%NM 32.99%EV -11.52%E -4.27%K -6.78%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 39.59%EV -9.59%E -4.26%K -7.67%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.41%EV -12.10%E -3.72%K -5.38%G +0.000%12.3%2026-03-12 18:30
888sport2.70I 37.04%NM 32.56%EV -11.52%E -4.27%K -6.78%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 39.08%EV -9.59%E -4.26%K -7.67%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.36%EV -16.15%E -5.21%K -7.69%G +0.000%13.7%2026-03-12 18:55
William Hill2.70I 37.04%NM 32.56%EV -11.52%E -4.27%K -6.78%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 39.08%EV -9.59%E -4.26%K -7.67%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.36%EV -16.15%E -5.21%K -7.69%G +0.000%13.7%2026-03-12 18:55
Mr Green (SE)2.70I 37.04%NM 32.56%EV -11.52%E -4.27%K -6.78%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 39.08%EV -9.59%E -4.26%K -7.67%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.36%EV -16.15%E -5.21%K -7.69%G +0.000%13.7%2026-03-12 18:55
888sport (SE)2.70I 37.04%NM 32.56%EV -11.52%E -4.27%K -6.78%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 39.08%EV -9.59%E -4.26%K -7.67%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.36%EV -16.15%E -5.21%K -7.69%G +0.000%13.7%2026-03-12 18:55
Winamax (FR)2.65I 37.74%NM 33.82%EV -13.16%E -4.97%K -7.98%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 39.83%EV -9.59%E -4.26%K -7.67%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.36%EV -8.04%E -2.36%K -3.35%G +0.000%11.6%2026-03-12 18:25
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)2.63I 38.02%NM 32.17%EV -13.82%E -5.25%K -8.48%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 38.46%EV -11.60%E -5.27%K -9.66%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 29.38%EV -22.10%E -7.68%K -11.76%G +0.000%18.2%2026-03-12 18:45
Unibet2.60I 38.46%NM 35.55%EV -14.80%E -5.69%K -9.25%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 37.27%EV -0.344%E -0.139%K -0.233%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.18%EV -8.04%E -2.36%K -3.35%G +0.000%8.2%2026-03-12 18:25
Unibet (NL)2.60I 38.46%NM 35.55%EV -14.80%E -5.69%K -9.25%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 37.27%EV -0.344%E -0.139%K -0.233%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.18%EV -8.04%E -2.36%K -3.35%G +0.000%8.2%2026-03-12 18:25
Unibet (SE)2.60I 38.46%NM 35.55%EV -14.80%E -5.69%K -9.25%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 37.27%EV -0.344%E -0.139%K -0.233%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.18%EV -8.04%E -2.36%K -3.35%G +0.000%8.2%2026-03-12 18:25
Grosvenor2.60I 38.46%NM 35.55%EV -14.80%E -5.69%K -9.25%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 37.27%EV -0.344%E -0.139%K -0.233%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.18%EV -8.04%E -2.36%K -3.35%G +0.000%8.2%2026-03-12 18:25
Svenska Spel2.60I 38.46%NM 35.55%EV -14.80%E -5.69%K -9.25%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 37.27%EV -0.344%E -0.139%K -0.233%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.18%EV -8.04%E -2.36%K -3.35%G +0.000%8.2%2026-03-12 18:25
ATG (SE)2.60I 38.46%NM 35.55%EV -14.80%E -5.69%K -9.25%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 37.27%EV -0.344%E -0.139%K -0.233%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.18%EV -8.04%E -2.36%K -3.35%G +0.000%8.2%2026-03-12 18:30
BoyleSports2.60I 38.46%NM 33.23%EV -14.80%E -5.69%K -9.25%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 40.19%EV -13.61%E -6.33%K -11.83%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 26.58%EV -12.10%E -3.72%K -5.38%G +0.000%15.7%2026-03-12 18:35
LeoVegas (SE)2.55I 39.22%NM 35.69%EV -16.44%E -6.45%K -10.61%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.15%EV -1.55%E -0.633%K -1.07%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.17%EV -9.39%E -2.80%K -4.00%G +0.000%9.9%2026-03-12 18:25
LeoVegas2.55I 39.22%NM 35.69%EV -16.44%E -6.45%K -10.61%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.15%EV -1.55%E -0.633%K -1.07%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.17%EV -9.39%E -2.80%K -4.00%G +0.000%9.9%2026-03-12 18:30
LiveScore Bet2.50I 40.00%NM 35.72%EV -18.08%E -7.23%K -12.05%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 37.21%EV -3.56%E -1.48%K -2.54%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.06%EV -10.75%E -3.26%K -4.67%G +0.000%12.0%2026-03-12 18:25
Virgin Bet2.50I 40.00%NM 35.72%EV -18.08%E -7.23%K -12.05%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 37.21%EV -3.56%E -1.48%K -2.54%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.06%EV -10.75%E -3.26%K -4.67%G +0.000%12.0%2026-03-12 18:25
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (5)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMatch nulMarge ▲Mise à jour
Betfair Exchange (UK)3.00I 33.33%NM 32.88%2.46I 40.65%NM 40.10%3.65I 27.40%NM 27.02%1.4%2026-03-12 18:50
Betfair Exchange (AU)3.00I 33.33%NM 32.77%2.44I 40.98%NM 40.29%3.65I 27.40%NM 26.94%1.7%2026-03-12 18:55
Betfair Exchange (EU)3.00I 33.33%NM 32.77%2.44I 40.98%NM 40.29%3.65I 27.40%NM 26.94%1.7%2026-03-12 18:55
Kalshi2.86I 34.97%NM 34.31%2.44I 40.98%NM 40.21%3.85I 25.97%NM 25.48%1.9%2026-03-12 18:20
Smarkets2.98I 33.56%NM 32.69%2.42I 41.32%NM 40.25%3.60I 27.78%NM 27.06%2.7%2026-03-12 18:30