La scuola delle quote

Al-Hazem v Al-Fayha

Inizio: 2026-04-11 16:07 UTC

Quote di chiusura — probabilità e valore atteso calcolati dalle ultime quote registrate prima dell’inizio secondo il modello selezionato. L’incontro è iniziato, quindi non sono dati in tempo reale. Valuti l’affidabilità delle previsioni probabilistiche di ciascun modello rispetto a tutti i risultati definitivi →

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30 bookmaker (5 nell’analisi )

Probabilità stimata di ciascun risultato secondo il modello: IQM

Al-Hazem (Casa)

Previsione 30.03%3.33quota equa
EV -4.52%
Vantaggio -1.42%
Kelly -2.07%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 3.18

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
29.60%30.02%29.94%32.56%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
2.702.922.903.1837.04%34.31%34.48%31.45%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

Al-Fayha (Trasferta)

Previsione 41.69%2.40quota equa
EV -1.60%
Vantaggio -0.678%
Kelly -1.18%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 2.36

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
38.99%41.64%41.63%42.34%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
2.052.242.252.3648.78%44.69%44.44%42.37%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

Pareggio

Previsione 28.28%3.54quota equa
EV -2.72%
Vantaggio -0.790%
Kelly -1.11%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 3.44

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
27.63%28.35%28.43%29.66%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
2.883.183.203.4434.72%31.48%31.25%29.07%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

Quote dei bookmaker (30 bookmaker)

Non siamo affiliati ad alcun bookmaker e non ricaviamo nulla dalle operazioni svolte presso di essi.

BookmakerCasa ▼TrasfertaPareggioMargineAggiornamento
1xBet3.18I 31.45%NM 30.49%EV -4.52%E -1.42%K -2.07%G +0.000%2.36I 42.37%NM 41.08%EV -1.60%E -0.678%K -1.18%G +0.000%3.41I 29.33%NM 28.43%EV -3.57%E -1.05%K -1.48%G +0.000%3.1%2026-04-11 16:04
Pinnacle3.18I 31.45%NM 29.96%EV -4.52%E -1.42%K -2.07%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.34%EV -6.19%E -2.75%K -4.95%G +0.000%3.44I 29.07%NM 27.70%EV -2.72%E -0.790%K -1.11%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-11 16:04
Tipico (DE)3.10I 32.26%NM 29.60%EV -6.92%E -2.23%K -3.30%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 41.72%EV -8.27%E -3.76%K -6.89%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.68%EV -9.50%E -2.97%K -4.32%G +0.000%9.0%2026-04-11 16:04
Unibet (UK)3.05I 32.79%NM 30.36%EV -8.42%E -2.76%K -4.11%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.15%EV -6.19%E -2.75%K -4.95%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.49%EV -8.09%E -2.49%K -3.60%G +0.000%8.0%2026-04-11 16:04
Betclic (FR)3.03I 33.00%NM 30.00%EV -9.02%E -2.98%K -4.44%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 42.28%EV -10.36%E -4.82%K -9.01%G +0.000%3.28I 30.49%NM 27.72%EV -7.24%E -2.21%K -3.18%G +0.000%10.0%2026-04-11 16:04
Coral3.00I 33.33%NM 31.38%EV -9.92%E -3.31%K -4.96%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.93%EV -4.10%E -1.78%K -3.16%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.69%EV -3.85%E -1.13%K -1.60%G +0.000%6.2%2026-04-11 16:05
Ladbrokes (UK)3.00I 33.33%NM 31.12%EV -9.92%E -3.31%K -4.96%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.59%EV -4.10%E -1.78%K -3.16%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.29%EV -6.68%E -2.02%K -2.90%G +0.000%7.1%2026-04-11 16:04
SportsBet3.00I 33.33%NM 30.56%EV -9.92%E -3.31%K -4.96%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 41.67%EV -8.27%E -3.76%K -6.89%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.78%EV -6.68%E -2.02%K -2.90%G +0.000%9.1%2026-04-11 16:04
Unibet (FR)3.00I 33.33%NM 30.29%EV -9.92%E -3.31%K -4.96%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 41.31%EV -8.27%E -3.76%K -6.89%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.40%EV -9.50%E -2.97%K -4.32%G +0.000%10.0%2026-04-11 16:03
Paddy Power3.00I 33.33%NM 30.13%EV -9.92%E -3.31%K -4.96%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 42.05%EV -10.36%E -4.82%K -9.01%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.82%EV -8.09%E -2.49%K -3.60%G +0.000%10.6%2026-04-11 16:03
Winamax (DE)2.95I 33.90%NM 30.91%EV -11.43%E -3.87%K -5.86%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 41.45%EV -8.27%E -3.76%K -6.89%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.63%EV -6.68%E -2.02%K -2.90%G +0.000%9.7%2026-04-11 16:04
Sky Bet2.90I 34.48%NM 30.45%EV -12.93%E -4.46%K -6.80%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 41.07%EV -10.36%E -4.82%K -9.01%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.48%EV -12.33%E -3.98%K -5.87%G +0.000%13.3%2026-04-11 16:04
888sport2.90I 34.48%NM 30.16%EV -12.93%E -4.46%K -6.80%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 40.68%EV -10.36%E -4.82%K -9.01%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.16%EV -15.16%E -5.05%K -7.58%G +0.000%14.3%2026-04-11 16:04
William Hill2.90I 34.48%NM 30.16%EV -12.93%E -4.46%K -6.80%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 40.68%EV -10.36%E -4.82%K -9.01%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.16%EV -15.16%E -5.05%K -7.58%G +0.000%14.3%2026-04-11 16:05
888sport (SE)2.90I 34.48%NM 30.16%EV -12.93%E -4.46%K -6.80%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 40.68%EV -10.36%E -4.82%K -9.01%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.16%EV -15.16%E -5.05%K -7.58%G +0.000%14.3%2026-04-11 16:04
Mr Green (SE)2.90I 34.48%NM 30.16%EV -12.93%E -4.46%K -6.80%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 40.68%EV -10.36%E -4.82%K -9.01%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.16%EV -15.16%E -5.05%K -7.58%G +0.000%14.3%2026-04-11 16:04
BoyleSports2.88I 34.72%NM 29.99%EV -13.53%E -4.70%K -7.20%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 42.14%EV -14.53%E -7.09%K -13.83%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 27.87%EV -12.33%E -3.98%K -5.87%G +0.000%15.8%2026-04-11 16:04
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)2.88I 34.72%NM 29.66%EV -13.53%E -4.70%K -7.20%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 40.68%EV -12.44%E -5.92%K -11.31%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 29.66%EV -18.55%E -6.44%K -9.87%G +0.000%17.1%2026-04-11 16:04
Unibet2.85I 35.09%NM 32.22%EV -14.43%E -5.06%K -7.80%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 39.08%EV -2.02%E -0.859%K -1.49%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.70%EV -9.50%E -2.97%K -4.32%G +0.000%8.9%2026-04-11 16:05
Unibet (SE)2.85I 35.09%NM 32.22%EV -14.43%E -5.06%K -7.80%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 39.08%EV -2.02%E -0.859%K -1.49%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.70%EV -9.50%E -2.97%K -4.32%G +0.000%8.9%2026-04-11 16:05
Unibet (NL)2.85I 35.09%NM 32.22%EV -14.43%E -5.06%K -7.80%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 39.08%EV -2.02%E -0.859%K -1.49%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.70%EV -9.50%E -2.97%K -4.32%G +0.000%8.9%2026-04-11 16:02
Grosvenor2.85I 35.09%NM 32.22%EV -14.43%E -5.06%K -7.80%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 39.08%EV -2.02%E -0.859%K -1.49%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.70%EV -9.50%E -2.97%K -4.32%G +0.000%8.9%2026-04-11 16:01
Svenska Spel2.85I 35.09%NM 32.22%EV -14.43%E -5.06%K -7.80%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 39.08%EV -2.02%E -0.859%K -1.49%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.70%EV -9.50%E -2.97%K -4.32%G +0.000%8.9%2026-04-11 16:04
ATG (SE)2.85I 35.09%NM 32.22%EV -14.43%E -5.06%K -7.80%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 39.08%EV -2.02%E -0.859%K -1.49%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.70%EV -9.50%E -2.97%K -4.32%G +0.000%8.9%2026-04-11 16:04
LeoVegas2.80I 35.71%NM 32.50%EV -15.93%E -5.69%K -8.85%G +0.000%2.33I 42.92%NM 39.06%EV -2.85%E -1.22%K -2.14%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.44%EV -9.50%E -2.97%K -4.32%G +0.000%9.9%2026-04-11 16:02
LeoVegas (SE)2.80I 35.71%NM 32.50%EV -15.93%E -5.69%K -8.85%G +0.000%2.33I 42.92%NM 39.06%EV -2.85%E -1.22%K -2.14%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.44%EV -9.50%E -2.97%K -4.32%G +0.000%9.9%2026-04-11 16:04
Winamax (FR)2.80I 35.71%NM 30.61%EV -15.93%E -5.69%K -8.85%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 40.82%EV -12.44%E -5.92%K -11.31%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 28.57%EV -15.16%E -5.05%K -7.58%G +0.000%16.7%2026-04-11 16:05
LiveScore Bet2.75I 36.36%NM 32.33%EV -17.43%E -6.34%K -9.96%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 38.99%EV -4.94%E -2.17%K -3.86%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.68%EV -12.33%E -3.98%K -5.87%G +0.000%12.5%2026-04-11 16:04
Virgin Bet2.75I 36.36%NM 32.33%EV -17.43%E -6.34%K -9.96%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 38.99%EV -4.94%E -2.17%K -3.86%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.68%EV -12.33%E -3.98%K -5.87%G +0.000%12.5%2026-04-11 16:04
PMU (FR)2.70I 37.04%NM 32.56%EV -18.93%E -7.01%K -11.14%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 39.08%EV -6.19%E -2.75%K -4.95%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.36%EV -12.33%E -3.98%K -5.87%G +0.000%13.7%2026-04-11 16:02
Margine = Margine (overround) · I = Probabilità implicita · NM = Probabilità senza margine · EV = Valore atteso · E = Vantaggio · K = Criterio di Kelly · G = Crescita del capitale

Aggiornamento indica quando ciascun bookmaker ha modificato la quota per l’ultima volta: un orario meno recente significa che la quota non si è mossa, non che sia obsoleta. I bookmaker assenti da circa 15 minuti vengono normalmente esclusi; solo se tace il flusso dell’intero mercato si mostrano le ultime quote registrate.

Borse di scommesse (5)

BookmakerCasaTrasfertaPareggioMargine ▲Aggiornamento
Betfair Exchange (UK)3.30I 30.30%NM 29.94%2.34I 42.74%NM 42.23%3.55I 28.17%NM 27.83%1.2%2026-04-11 16:05
Betfair Exchange (AU)3.30I 30.30%NM 29.94%2.34I 42.74%NM 42.23%3.55I 28.17%NM 27.83%1.2%2026-04-11 16:05
Smarkets3.25I 30.77%NM 29.91%2.32I 43.10%NM 41.91%3.45I 28.99%NM 28.18%2.9%2026-04-11 16:05
Kalshi3.23I 30.96%NM 30.05%2.27I 44.05%NM 42.76%3.57I 28.01%NM 27.19%3.0%2026-04-11 16:05
Betfair Exchange (EU)3.20I 31.25%NM 30.22%2.34I 42.74%NM 41.33%3.40I 29.41%NM 28.45%3.4%2026-04-11 16:05