L’École des cotes

Al-Fayha v Neom

Coup d’envoi : 2026-02-25 19:00 UTC

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

29 opérateurs (7 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : IQM

Al-Fayha (Local)

Prévision 34.52%2.90cote équitable
EV -1.62%
Avantage -0.569%
Kelly -0.876%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 2.85

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
32.44%34.47%34.52%37.17%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
2.502.692.702.8540.00%37.11%37.04%35.09%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Neom (Visiteur)

Prévision 35.57%2.81cote équitable
EV +2.44%
Avantage +0.849%
Kelly +1.30%
Croissance +0.032%

avec la cote maximale 2.88

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
33.69%35.65%35.38%37.74%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
2.372.512.502.8842.19%39.84%40.00%34.72%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Match nul

Prévision 29.91%3.34cote équitable
EV -0.400%
Avantage -0.120%
Kelly -0.172%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 3.33

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
28.92%29.87%30.10%31.24%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
2.753.043.053.3336.36%32.85%32.79%30.03%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Cotes des opérateurs (29 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocalVisiteur ▼Match nulMargeMise à jour
1xBet2.61I 38.31%NM 37.17%EV -9.91%E -3.80%K -6.15%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 33.69%EV +2.44%E +0.849%K +1.30%G +0.032%3.33I 30.03%NM 29.14%EV -0.400%E -0.120%K -0.172%G +0.000%3.1%2026-02-25 18:55
Pinnacle2.72I 36.76%NM 35.03%EV -6.11%E -2.25%K -3.55%G +0.000%2.73I 36.63%NM 34.91%EV -2.89%E -1.06%K -1.67%G +0.000%3.17I 31.55%NM 30.06%EV -5.19%E -1.64%K -2.39%G +0.000%4.9%2026-02-25 18:50
Ladbrokes (UK)2.75I 36.36%NM 34.28%EV -5.07%E -1.84%K -2.90%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.26%EV -7.52%E -2.89%K -4.70%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.46%EV -4.29%E -1.34%K -1.95%G +0.000%6.1%2026-02-25 18:05
Coral2.75I 36.36%NM 34.28%EV -5.07%E -1.84%K -2.90%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.26%EV -7.52%E -2.89%K -4.70%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.46%EV -4.29%E -1.34%K -1.95%G +0.000%6.1%2026-02-25 18:10
Unibet (UK)2.75I 36.36%NM 34.12%EV -5.07%E -1.84%K -2.90%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.09%EV -7.52%E -2.89%K -4.70%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.79%EV -5.78%E -1.84%K -2.69%G +0.000%6.6%2026-02-25 18:10
Tipico (DE)2.70I 37.04%NM 34.03%EV -6.80%E -2.52%K -4.00%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.34%EV -7.52%E -2.89%K -4.70%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.63%EV -10.27%E -3.42%K -5.14%G +0.000%8.8%2026-02-25 18:35
888sport2.50I 40.00%NM 35.42%EV -13.70%E -5.48%K -9.13%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 34.05%EV -7.52%E -2.89%K -4.70%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.53%EV -13.26%E -4.57%K -6.98%G +0.000%12.9%2026-02-25 18:55
888sport (SE)2.50I 40.00%NM 35.42%EV -13.70%E -5.48%K -9.13%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 34.05%EV -7.52%E -2.89%K -4.70%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.53%EV -13.26%E -4.57%K -6.98%G +0.000%12.9%2026-02-25 18:55
Mr Green (SE)2.50I 40.00%NM 35.42%EV -13.70%E -5.48%K -9.13%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 34.05%EV -7.52%E -2.89%K -4.70%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.53%EV -13.26%E -4.57%K -6.98%G +0.000%12.9%2026-02-25 18:55
SportsBet2.70I 37.04%NM 33.80%EV -6.80%E -2.52%K -4.00%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 35.79%EV -9.29%E -3.64%K -6.00%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.42%EV -10.27%E -3.42%K -5.14%G +0.000%9.6%2026-02-25 18:10
Winamax (DE)2.65I 37.74%NM 34.47%EV -8.52%E -3.22%K -5.17%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.54%EV -11.07%E -4.43%K -7.38%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.00%EV -5.78%E -1.84%K -2.69%G +0.000%9.5%2026-02-25 18:09
Paddy Power2.62I 38.17%NM 34.23%EV -9.56%E -3.65%K -5.90%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 35.87%EV -11.07%E -4.43%K -7.38%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.90%EV -10.27%E -3.42%K -5.14%G +0.000%11.5%2026-02-25 18:10
Sky Bet2.63I 38.02%NM 33.80%EV -9.21%E -3.50%K -5.65%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 35.55%EV -11.07%E -4.43%K -7.38%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.65%EV -13.26%E -4.57%K -6.98%G +0.000%12.5%2026-02-25 18:09
William Hill2.50I 40.00%NM 34.94%EV -13.70%E -5.48%K -9.13%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 34.94%EV -11.07%E -4.43%K -7.38%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.12%EV -13.26%E -4.57%K -6.98%G +0.000%14.5%2026-02-25 18:55
BoyleSports2.50I 40.00%NM 34.94%EV -13.70%E -5.48%K -9.13%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 34.94%EV -11.07%E -4.43%K -7.38%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.12%EV -13.26%E -4.57%K -6.98%G +0.000%14.5%2026-02-25 18:10
Unibet2.85I 35.09%NM 32.44%EV -1.62%E -0.569%K -0.876%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.74%EV -12.85%E -5.25%K -8.86%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.82%EV -7.28%E -2.35%K -3.47%G +0.000%8.2%2026-02-25 18:30
Unibet (NL)2.85I 35.09%NM 32.44%EV -1.62%E -0.569%K -0.876%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.74%EV -12.85%E -5.25%K -8.86%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.82%EV -7.28%E -2.35%K -3.47%G +0.000%8.2%2026-02-25 18:30
Grosvenor2.85I 35.09%NM 32.44%EV -1.62%E -0.569%K -0.876%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.74%EV -12.85%E -5.25%K -8.86%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.82%EV -7.28%E -2.35%K -3.47%G +0.000%8.2%2026-02-25 18:29
Unibet (SE)2.85I 35.09%NM 32.44%EV -1.62%E -0.569%K -0.876%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.74%EV -12.85%E -5.25%K -8.86%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.82%EV -7.28%E -2.35%K -3.47%G +0.000%8.2%2026-02-25 18:30
Svenska Spel2.85I 35.09%NM 32.44%EV -1.62%E -0.569%K -0.876%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.74%EV -12.85%E -5.25%K -8.86%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.82%EV -7.28%E -2.35%K -3.47%G +0.000%8.2%2026-02-25 18:29
ATG (SE)2.85I 35.09%NM 32.44%EV -1.62%E -0.569%K -0.876%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.74%EV -12.85%E -5.25%K -8.86%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.82%EV -7.28%E -2.35%K -3.47%G +0.000%8.2%2026-02-25 18:30
Winamax (FR)2.60I 38.46%NM 34.48%EV -10.25%E -3.94%K -6.41%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 36.59%EV -12.85%E -5.25%K -8.86%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.92%EV -7.28%E -2.35%K -3.47%G +0.000%11.5%2026-02-25 18:10
LeoVegas2.80I 35.71%NM 32.57%EV -3.35%E -1.20%K -1.86%G +0.000%2.43I 41.15%NM 37.53%EV -13.56%E -5.58%K -9.48%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.90%EV -8.77%E -2.88%K -4.28%G +0.000%9.7%2026-02-25 18:19
LeoVegas (SE)2.80I 35.71%NM 32.57%EV -3.35%E -1.20%K -1.86%G +0.000%2.43I 41.15%NM 37.53%EV -13.56%E -5.58%K -9.48%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.90%EV -8.77%E -2.88%K -4.28%G +0.000%9.7%2026-02-25 18:19
Unibet (FR)2.65I 37.74%NM 33.69%EV -8.52%E -3.22%K -5.17%G +0.000%2.41I 41.49%NM 37.04%EV -14.27%E -5.92%K -10.12%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.27%EV -8.77%E -2.88%K -4.28%G +0.000%12.0%2026-02-25 18:54
Virgin Bet2.75I 36.36%NM 32.55%EV -5.07%E -1.84%K -2.90%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 37.61%EV -15.34%E -6.45%K -11.12%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.84%EV -10.27%E -3.42%K -5.14%G +0.000%11.7%2026-02-25 18:30
LiveScore Bet2.75I 36.36%NM 32.55%EV -5.07%E -1.84%K -2.90%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 37.61%EV -15.34%E -6.45%K -11.12%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.84%EV -10.27%E -3.42%K -5.14%G +0.000%11.7%2026-02-25 18:29
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)2.63I 38.02%NM 32.66%EV -9.21%E -3.50%K -5.65%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 36.10%EV -15.34%E -6.45%K -11.12%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 31.24%EV -17.75%E -6.45%K -10.14%G +0.000%16.4%2026-02-25 18:10
Betclic (FR)2.68I 37.31%NM 33.29%EV -7.49%E -2.79%K -4.46%G +0.000%2.37I 42.19%NM 37.65%EV -15.70%E -6.62%K -11.46%G +0.000%3.07I 32.57%NM 29.06%EV -8.18%E -2.66%K -3.95%G +0.000%12.1%2026-02-25 18:33
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (4)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMatch nulMarge ▲Mise à jour
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.86I 34.97%NM 34.56%2.86I 34.97%NM 34.56%3.20I 31.25%NM 30.89%1.2%2026-02-25 18:55
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.86I 34.97%NM 34.56%2.86I 34.97%NM 34.56%3.20I 31.25%NM 30.89%1.2%2026-02-25 18:55
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.86I 34.97%NM 34.47%2.84I 35.21%NM 34.72%3.20I 31.25%NM 30.81%1.4%2026-02-25 18:55
Smarkets2.84I 35.21%NM 34.46%2.84I 35.21%NM 34.46%3.15I 31.75%NM 31.07%2.2%2026-02-25 18:55