Modello predefinitoMedia interquartile (Lista Curata)

Al-Fayha v Al-Riyadh

2026-10-11 13:40 UTC — Saudi Pro League

Testa a testa

25 bookmaker (5 nell’analisi )

Probabilità stimata di ciascun risultato secondo il modello: Media interquartile (Lista Curata)

Al-Fayha (Casa)

Previsione 42.92%2.33quota equa
EV -5.58%
Vantaggio -2.53%
Kelly -4.65%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 2.20

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
40.88%42.98%43.04%44.21%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.
Distribuzione delle quote
1.992.122.122.2050.25%47.13%47.17%45.45%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.

Al-Riyadh (Trasferta)

Previsione 28.11%3.56quota equa
EV -1.89%
Vantaggio -0.542%
Kelly -0.760%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 3.49

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
26.86%28.01%28.04%31.01%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.
Distribuzione delle quote
2.853.053.003.4935.09%32.78%33.33%28.65%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.

Pareggio

Previsione 28.97%3.45quota equa
EV -2.95%
Vantaggio -0.882%
Kelly -1.26%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 3.35

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
27.24%29.01%28.93%29.53%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.
Distribuzione delle quote
3.003.153.203.3533.33%31.71%31.25%29.85%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.

Per Testa a testa, Media interquartile (Lista Curata) stima queste probabilità: Al-Fayha (Casa): 42.92%; Al-Riyadh (Trasferta): 28.11%; Pareggio: 28.97%. Per Al-Riyadh (Trasferta), questa stima equivale a una quota decimale equa di 3.56. Nessun bookmaker idoneo offre una quota superiore a tale livello: la migliore quota disponibile è 3.49, con un valore atteso del -1.89%; non produce valore atteso positivo.

Quote dei bookmaker (25 bookmaker)

Non siamo affiliati ad alcun bookmaker e non ricaviamo nulla dalle operazioni svolte presso di essi.

BookmakerCasa ▼TrasfertaPareggioMargineAggiornamento
Unibet (UK)🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 42.11%EV -5.58%E -2.53%K -4.65%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.95%EV -10.04%E -3.14%K -4.57%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.95%EV -7.30%E -2.28%K -3.32%G +0.000%8.0%2026-10-04 14:45
Unibet🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 40.88%EV -5.58%E -2.53%K -4.65%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.01%EV -18.48%E -6.37%K -9.73%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.11%EV -7.30%E -2.28%K -3.32%G +0.000%11.2%2026-10-04 15:25
Grosvenor🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 40.88%EV -5.58%E -2.53%K -4.65%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.01%EV -18.48%E -6.37%K -9.73%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.11%EV -7.30%E -2.28%K -3.32%G +0.000%11.2%2026-10-04 15:24
Unibet (NL)🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 40.88%EV -5.58%E -2.53%K -4.65%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.01%EV -18.48%E -6.37%K -9.73%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.11%EV -7.30%E -2.28%K -3.32%G +0.000%11.2%2026-10-04 15:25
ATG (SE)🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 40.88%EV -5.58%E -2.53%K -4.65%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.01%EV -18.48%E -6.37%K -9.73%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.11%EV -7.30%E -2.28%K -3.32%G +0.000%11.2%2026-10-04 15:25
Unibet (SE)🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 40.88%EV -5.58%E -2.53%K -4.65%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.01%EV -18.48%E -6.37%K -9.73%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.11%EV -7.30%E -2.28%K -3.32%G +0.000%11.2%2026-10-04 15:24
Svenska Spel🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 40.88%EV -5.58%E -2.53%K -4.65%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.01%EV -18.48%E -6.37%K -9.73%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.11%EV -7.30%E -2.28%K -3.32%G +0.000%11.2%2026-10-04 15:25
LiveScore Bet🎯2.16I 46.30%NM 41.06%EV -7.29%E -3.38%K -6.29%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 30.79%EV -19.04%E -6.61%K -10.13%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.15%EV -8.75%E -2.78%K -4.07%G +0.000%12.8%2026-10-04 15:24
Virgin Bet🎯2.16I 46.30%NM 41.06%EV -7.29%E -3.38%K -6.29%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 30.79%EV -19.04%E -6.61%K -10.13%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.15%EV -8.75%E -2.78%K -4.07%G +0.000%12.8%2026-10-04 15:25
Tipico (DE)🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 43.04%EV -7.72%E -3.59%K -6.71%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.04%EV -7.23%E -2.19%K -3.15%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.92%EV -7.30%E -2.28%K -3.32%G +0.000%8.1%2026-10-04 15:15
betfred_uk🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 42.64%EV -7.72%E -3.59%K -6.71%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.57%EV -12.86%E -4.15%K -6.12%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.78%EV -4.40%E -1.33%K -1.91%G +0.000%9.1%2026-10-04 14:45
LeoVegas (SE)🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 41.04%EV -7.72%E -3.59%K -6.71%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 30.96%EV -19.88%E -6.98%K -10.75%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.01%EV -8.75%E -2.78%K -4.07%G +0.000%13.3%2026-10-04 15:24
Pinnacle🎯2.12I 47.17%NM 44.21%EV -9.01%E -4.25%K -8.04%G +0.000%3.49I 28.65%NM 26.86%EV -1.89%E -0.542%K -0.760%G +0.000%3.24I 30.86%NM 28.93%EV -6.14%E -1.90%K -2.74%G +0.000%6.7%2026-10-04 15:30
1xBet🎯2.12I 47.17%NM 44.06%EV -9.01%E -4.25%K -8.04%G +0.000%3.34I 29.94%NM 27.97%EV -6.11%E -1.83%K -2.61%G +0.000%3.34I 29.94%NM 27.97%EV -3.24%E -0.971%K -1.39%G +0.000%7.1%2026-10-04 14:55
SportsBet🎯2.12I 47.17%NM 43.16%EV -9.01%E -4.25%K -8.04%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.52%EV -12.86%E -4.15%K -6.12%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.32%EV -2.95%E -0.882%K -1.26%G +0.000%9.3%2026-10-04 14:45
Paddy Power🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 42.80%EV -9.87%E -4.70%K -8.97%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.96%EV -15.67%E -5.22%K -7.83%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.24%EV -4.40%E -1.33%K -1.91%G +0.000%11.3%2026-10-04 14:44
Winamax (DE)🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 41.85%EV -9.87%E -4.70%K -8.97%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 29.79%EV -17.07%E -5.79%K -8.76%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.35%EV -10.20%E -3.29%K -4.86%G +0.000%13.8%2026-10-04 14:45
Betclic (FR)🎯2.07I 48.31%NM 42.34%EV -11.16%E -5.39%K -10.43%G +0.000%3.03I 33.00%NM 28.93%EV -14.82%E -4.89%K -7.30%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 28.74%EV -11.64%E -3.82%K -5.68%G +0.000%14.1%2026-10-04 14:48
888sport🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 43.21%EV -12.01%E -5.86%K -11.44%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.26%EV -8.64%E -2.66%K -3.84%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.53%EV -13.09%E -4.36%K -6.55%G +0.000%12.9%2026-10-04 16:31
William Hill🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 43.21%EV -12.01%E -5.86%K -11.44%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.26%EV -8.64%E -2.66%K -3.84%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.53%EV -13.09%E -4.36%K -6.55%G +0.000%12.9%2026-10-04 16:30
Mr Green (SE)🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 43.21%EV -12.01%E -5.86%K -11.44%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.26%EV -8.64%E -2.66%K -3.84%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.53%EV -13.09%E -4.36%K -6.55%G +0.000%12.9%2026-10-04 16:31
888sport (SE)🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 43.21%EV -12.01%E -5.86%K -11.44%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.26%EV -8.64%E -2.66%K -3.84%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.53%EV -13.09%E -4.36%K -6.55%G +0.000%12.9%2026-10-04 16:31
Sky Bet🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 42.23%EV -12.01%E -5.86%K -11.44%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 29.85%EV -18.48%E -6.37%K -9.73%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 27.92%EV -10.20%E -3.29%K -4.86%G +0.000%15.5%2026-10-04 14:51
Winamax (FR)🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 42.22%EV -14.16%E -7.08%K -14.16%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 29.63%EV -19.88%E -6.98%K -10.75%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 28.15%EV -13.09%E -4.36%K -6.55%G +0.000%18.4%2026-10-04 14:45
Unibet (FR)🎯1.99I 50.25%NM 42.98%EV -14.59%E -7.33%K -14.74%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 28.51%EV -15.67%E -5.22%K -7.83%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 28.51%EV -13.09%E -4.36%K -6.55%G +0.000%16.9%2026-10-04 14:50
Margine = Margine (overround) · I = Probabilità implicita · NM = Probabilità senza margine · EV = Valore atteso · E = Vantaggio · K = Criterio di Kelly · G = Crescita del capitale

Aggiornamento indica quando ciascun bookmaker ha modificato la quota per l’ultima volta: un orario meno recente significa che la quota non si è mossa, non che sia obsoleta. I bookmaker assenti da circa 15 minuti vengono normalmente esclusi; solo se tace il flusso dell’intero mercato si mostrano le ultime quote registrate.

Borse di scommesse (2)

BookmakerCasaTrasfertaPareggioMargine ▲Aggiornamento
Kalshi◎2.17I 46.08%NM 44.26%3.57I 28.01%NM 26.90%3.33I 30.03%NM 28.84%4.1%2026-10-04 17:05
Smarkets◎2.06I 48.54%NM 41.73%2.94I 34.01%NM 29.24%2.96I 33.78%NM 29.04%16.3%2026-10-04 14:45