L’École des cotesFrançais
Al-Fayha v Al-Ettifaq
Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →
Résultat du match
Al-Fayha (Local)
Prévision 40.53%2.47cote équitable
EV -2.72%
Avantage -1.13%
Kelly -1.94%
Croissance +0.000%
avec la cote maximale 2.40
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
39.55%40.60%40.53%42.31%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
2.102.232.212.4047.62%44.90%45.15%41.67%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Al-Ettifaq (Visiteur)
Prévision 31.18%3.21cote équitable
EV -3.03%
Avantage -0.975%
Kelly -1.44%
Croissance +0.000%
avec la cote maximale 3.11
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
29.92%31.39%31.18%33.69%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
2.702.932.953.1137.04%34.16%33.90%32.15%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Match nul
Prévision 28.29%3.53cote équitable
EV -3.25%
Avantage -0.951%
Kelly -1.34%
Croissance +0.000%
avec la cote maximale 3.42
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
26.76%28.00%28.29%29.55%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
2.903.243.303.4234.48%30.85%30.30%29.24%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Cotes des opérateurs (28 opérateurs)
Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.
| Opérateur | Local ▼ | Visiteur | Match nul | Marge | Mise à jour |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet | 2.40I 41.67%NM 40.39%EV -2.72%E -1.13%K -1.94%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 31.27%EV -3.35%E -1.08%K -1.59%G +0.000% | 3.42I 29.24%NM 28.34%EV -3.25%E -0.951%K -1.34%G +0.000% | 3.2% | 2026-03-13 18:59 |
| Coral | 2.37I 42.19%NM 40.21%EV -3.94%E -1.66%K -2.87%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.76%EV -6.46%E -2.15%K -3.23%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 28.03%EV -3.82%E -1.12%K -1.59%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-03-13 19:00 |
| Pinnacle | 2.36I 42.37%NM 40.35%EV -4.34%E -1.84%K -3.19%G +0.000% | 3.11I 32.15%NM 30.62%EV -3.03%E -0.975%K -1.44%G +0.000% | 3.28I 30.49%NM 29.03%EV -7.21%E -2.20%K -3.16%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-03-13 18:59 |
| Ladbrokes (UK) | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.59%EV -6.78%E -2.95%K -5.21%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.12%EV -6.46%E -2.15%K -3.23%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.29%EV -6.65%E -2.01%K -2.89%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-03-13 19:00 |
| Unibet (UK) | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.20%EV -6.78%E -2.95%K -5.21%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.35%EV -8.02%E -2.72%K -4.11%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.45%EV -8.06%E -2.48%K -3.58%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-03-13 19:00 |
| Tipico (DE) | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.55%EV -6.78%E -2.95%K -5.21%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.69%EV -15.82%E -5.86%K -9.30%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.76%EV -3.82%E -1.12%K -1.59%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-03-13 19:00 |
| Unibet (SE) | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.29%EV -8.80%E -3.91%K -7.04%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.97%EV -6.46%E -2.15%K -3.23%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.73%EV -5.23%E -1.56%K -2.23%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-03-13 19:00 |
| Svenska Spel | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.29%EV -8.80%E -3.91%K -7.04%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.97%EV -6.46%E -2.15%K -3.23%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.73%EV -5.23%E -1.56%K -2.23%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-03-13 19:00 |
| ATG (SE) | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.29%EV -8.80%E -3.91%K -7.04%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.97%EV -6.46%E -2.15%K -3.23%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.73%EV -5.23%E -1.56%K -2.23%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-03-13 19:00 |
| SportsBet | 2.25I 44.44%NM 40.69%EV -8.80%E -3.91%K -7.04%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.57%EV -9.58%E -3.30%K -5.04%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.74%EV -6.65%E -2.01%K -2.89%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-03-13 19:00 |
| Winamax (DE) | 2.25I 44.44%NM 40.46%EV -8.80%E -3.91%K -7.04%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 31.95%EV -11.14%E -3.91%K -6.02%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.59%EV -6.65%E -2.01%K -2.89%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-03-13 19:00 |
| Sky Bet | 2.25I 44.44%NM 40.43%EV -8.80%E -3.91%K -7.04%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 31.58%EV -10.20%E -3.54%K -5.43%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.99%EV -8.06%E -2.48%K -3.58%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-03-13 19:00 |
| Paddy Power | 2.25I 44.44%NM 40.43%EV -8.80%E -3.91%K -7.04%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 31.58%EV -10.20%E -3.54%K -5.43%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.99%EV -8.06%E -2.48%K -3.58%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-03-13 19:00 |
| Virgin Bet | 2.23I 44.84%NM 41.51%EV -9.61%E -4.31%K -7.82%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.86%EV -6.46%E -2.15%K -3.23%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.63%EV -5.23%E -1.56%K -2.23%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-03-13 19:00 |
| Unibet | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.84%EV -10.83%E -4.92%K -9.02%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.68%EV -6.46%E -2.15%K -3.23%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.48%EV -5.23%E -1.56%K -2.23%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-03-13 19:00 |
| Grosvenor | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.45%EV -10.83%E -4.92%K -9.02%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 30.91%EV -8.02%E -2.72%K -4.11%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.63%EV -6.65%E -2.01%K -2.89%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-03-13 19:00 |
| LiveScore Bet | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.45%EV -10.83%E -4.92%K -9.02%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 30.91%EV -8.02%E -2.72%K -4.11%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.63%EV -6.65%E -2.01%K -2.89%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-03-13 19:00 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.45%EV -10.83%E -4.92%K -9.02%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 30.91%EV -8.02%E -2.72%K -4.11%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.63%EV -6.65%E -2.01%K -2.89%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-03-13 19:00 |
| William Hill | 2.20I 45.45%NM 40.13%EV -10.83%E -4.92%K -9.02%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 30.44%EV -9.58%E -3.30%K -5.04%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.43%EV -15.13%E -5.04%K -7.57%G +0.000% | 13.3% | 2026-03-13 18:59 |
| 888sport (SE) | 2.20I 45.45%NM 40.13%EV -10.83%E -4.92%K -9.02%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 30.44%EV -9.58%E -3.30%K -5.04%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.43%EV -15.13%E -5.04%K -7.57%G +0.000% | 13.3% | 2026-03-13 18:59 |
| Unibet (NL) | 2.18I 45.87%NM 41.85%EV -11.64%E -5.34%K -9.86%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 30.92%EV -8.02%E -2.72%K -4.11%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.23%EV -5.23%E -1.56%K -2.23%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-03-13 19:00 |
| LeoVegas | 2.18I 45.87%NM 41.67%EV -11.64%E -5.34%K -9.86%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 30.80%EV -8.02%E -2.72%K -4.11%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.53%EV -6.65%E -2.01%K -2.89%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-03-13 19:00 |
| BoyleSports | 2.15I 46.51%NM 40.02%EV -12.86%E -5.98%K -11.18%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 31.29%EV -14.26%E -5.18%K -8.15%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 28.68%EV -15.13%E -5.04%K -7.57%G +0.000% | 16.2% | 2026-03-13 18:59 |
| 888sport | 2.15I 46.51%NM 39.85%EV -12.86%E -5.98%K -11.18%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 30.60%EV -12.70%E -4.54%K -7.06%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 29.55%EV -17.96%E -6.19%K -9.45%G +0.000% | 16.7% | 2026-03-13 19:00 |
| Mr Green (SE) | 2.15I 46.51%NM 39.85%EV -12.86%E -5.98%K -11.18%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 30.60%EV -12.70%E -4.54%K -7.06%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 29.55%EV -17.96%E -6.19%K -9.45%G +0.000% | 16.7% | 2026-03-13 19:00 |
| Unibet (FR) | 2.14I 46.73%NM 42.08%EV -13.26%E -6.20%K -11.63%G +0.000% | 2.98I 33.56%NM 30.22%EV -7.09%E -2.38%K -3.58%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.71%EV -8.06%E -2.48%K -3.58%G +0.000% | 11.1% | 2026-03-13 19:00 |
| Betclic (FR) | 2.10I 47.62%NM 42.31%EV -14.88%E -7.09%K -13.53%G +0.000% | 2.97I 33.67%NM 29.92%EV -7.40%E -2.49%K -3.76%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 27.77%EV -9.48%E -2.96%K -4.31%G +0.000% | 12.5% | 2026-03-13 18:52 |
| Winamax (FR) | 2.10I 47.62%NM 40.78%EV -14.88%E -7.09%K -13.53%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 31.14%EV -14.26%E -5.18%K -8.15%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 28.08%EV -13.72%E -4.50%K -6.69%G +0.000% | 16.8% | 2026-03-13 19:00 |
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu
Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.
Plateformes d’échange (5)
| Opérateur | Local | Visiteur | Match nul | Marge ▲ | Mise à jour |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 2.44I 40.98%NM 40.46% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 31.34% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 28.20% | 1.3% | 2026-03-13 19:00 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 2.44I 40.98%NM 40.46% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 31.34% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 28.20% | 1.3% | 2026-03-13 19:00 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 2.44I 40.98%NM 40.46% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 31.34% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 28.20% | 1.3% | 2026-03-13 19:00 |
| Kalshi | 2.44I 40.98%NM 39.40% | 3.03I 33.00%NM 31.73% | 3.33I 30.03%NM 28.87% | 4.0% | 2026-03-13 19:00 |
| Smarkets | 1.02I 98.04%NM 43.48% | 1.02I 98.04%NM 43.48% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 13.04% | 125.5% | 2026-03-13 19:00 |