L’École des cotesFrançais
Al-Fateh v Damac
Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →
Résultat du match
Al-Fateh (Local)
Prévision 45.52%2.20cote équitable
EV -4.40%
Avantage -2.10%
Kelly -4.00%
Croissance +0.000%
avec la cote maximale 2.10
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
44.42%45.54%45.52%50.23%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.811.941.952.1055.25%51.51%51.28%47.62%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Damac (Visiteur)
Prévision 27.13%3.69cote équitable
EV +4.45%
Avantage +1.16%
Kelly +1.56%
Croissance +0.069%
avec la cote maximale 3.85
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
23.88%27.03%27.14%28.22%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
3.103.493.503.8532.26%28.64%28.57%25.97%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Match nul
Prévision 27.35%3.66cote équitable
EV -2.92%
Avantage -0.822%
Kelly -1.14%
Croissance +0.000%
avec la cote maximale 3.55
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
25.89%27.43%27.34%28.66%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
3.003.323.353.5533.33%30.15%29.85%28.17%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Cotes des opérateurs (29 opérateurs)
Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.
| Opérateur | Local | Visiteur ▼ | Match nul | Marge | Mise à jour |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Unibet | 1.83I 54.64%NM 50.23%EV -16.69%E -9.12%K -20.11%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 23.88%EV +4.45%E +1.16%K +1.56%G +0.069% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.89%EV -2.92%E -0.822%K -1.14%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-02-26 18:55 |
| Grosvenor | 1.87I 53.48%NM 49.00%EV -14.87%E -7.95%K -17.09%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.44%EV +1.74%E +0.463%K +0.631%G +0.011% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.56%EV -5.65%E -1.64%K -2.31%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-02-26 18:55 |
| Unibet (NL) | 1.87I 53.48%NM 49.00%EV -14.87%E -7.95%K -17.09%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.44%EV +1.74%E +0.463%K +0.631%G +0.011% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.56%EV -5.65%E -1.64%K -2.31%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-02-26 18:55 |
| Unibet (SE) | 1.87I 53.48%NM 49.00%EV -14.87%E -7.95%K -17.09%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.44%EV +1.74%E +0.463%K +0.631%G +0.011% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.56%EV -5.65%E -1.64%K -2.31%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-02-26 18:55 |
| ATG (SE) | 1.87I 53.48%NM 49.00%EV -14.87%E -7.95%K -17.09%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.44%EV +1.74%E +0.463%K +0.631%G +0.011% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.56%EV -5.65%E -1.64%K -2.31%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-02-26 18:55 |
| Svenska Spel | 1.87I 53.48%NM 49.00%EV -14.87%E -7.95%K -17.09%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.44%EV +1.74%E +0.463%K +0.631%G +0.011% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.56%EV -5.65%E -1.64%K -2.31%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-02-26 18:55 |
| LeoVegas | 1.85I 54.05%NM 48.92%EV -15.78%E -8.53%K -18.57%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.46%EV +0.380%E +0.103%K +0.141%G +0.001% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.62%EV -7.02%E -2.06%K -2.92%G +0.000% | 10.5% | 2026-02-26 18:55 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 1.85I 54.05%NM 48.92%EV -15.78%E -8.53%K -18.57%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.46%EV +0.380%E +0.103%K +0.141%G +0.001% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.62%EV -7.02%E -2.06%K -2.92%G +0.000% | 10.5% | 2026-02-26 18:55 |
| Tipico (DE) | 1.95I 51.28%NM 47.28%EV -11.23%E -5.76%K -11.82%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.61%EV -2.33%E -0.648%K -0.897%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.11%EV -7.02%E -2.06%K -2.92%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-02-26 18:55 |
| Virgin Bet | 1.81I 55.25%NM 48.95%EV -17.60%E -9.73%K -21.73%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 24.61%EV -2.33%E -0.648%K -0.897%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 26.45%EV -8.39%E -2.50%K -3.57%G +0.000% | 12.9% | 2026-02-26 18:55 |
| LiveScore Bet | 1.81I 55.25%NM 48.95%EV -17.60%E -9.73%K -21.73%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 24.61%EV -2.33%E -0.648%K -0.897%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 26.45%EV -8.39%E -2.50%K -3.57%G +0.000% | 12.9% | 2026-02-26 18:55 |
| Pinnacle | 2.08I 48.08%NM 45.76%EV -5.31%E -2.55%K -4.92%G +0.000% | 3.57I 28.01%NM 26.66%EV -3.15%E -0.881%K -1.22%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.59%EV -5.65%E -1.64%K -2.31%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-02-26 18:55 |
| Coral | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.09%EV -4.40%E -2.10%K -4.00%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.06%EV -5.05%E -1.44%K -2.02%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.85%EV -7.02%E -2.06%K -2.92%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-02-26 18:55 |
| Ladbrokes (UK) | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.72%EV -4.40%E -2.10%K -4.00%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.83%EV -5.05%E -1.44%K -2.02%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.46%EV -9.75%E -2.96%K -4.24%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-02-26 18:55 |
| SportsBet | 1.95I 51.28%NM 46.55%EV -11.23%E -5.76%K -11.82%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.94%EV -5.05%E -1.44%K -2.02%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.51%EV -9.75%E -2.96%K -4.24%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-02-26 18:55 |
| Paddy Power | 1.95I 51.28%NM 46.55%EV -11.23%E -5.76%K -11.82%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.94%EV -5.05%E -1.44%K -2.02%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.51%EV -9.75%E -2.96%K -4.24%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-02-26 18:55 |
| 1xBet | 1.98I 50.51%NM 45.89%EV -9.86%E -4.98%K -10.07%G +0.000% | 3.44I 29.07%NM 26.41%EV -6.67%E -1.94%K -2.74%G +0.000% | 3.28I 30.49%NM 27.70%EV -10.30%E -3.14%K -4.52%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-02-26 18:55 |
| Unibet (UK) | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.15%EV -6.68%E -3.26%K -6.36%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.22%EV -7.76%E -2.28%K -3.23%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.63%EV -8.39%E -2.50%K -3.57%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-02-26 18:55 |
| Sky Bet | 1.91I 52.36%NM 46.33%EV -13.05%E -6.83%K -14.34%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.02%EV -7.76%E -2.28%K -3.23%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 27.65%EV -12.49%E -3.90%K -5.68%G +0.000% | 13.0% | 2026-02-26 18:56 |
| Betclic (FR) | 1.93I 51.81%NM 46.28%EV -12.14%E -6.29%K -13.05%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 26.66%EV -9.12%E -2.72%K -3.88%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.06%EV -9.75%E -2.96%K -4.24%G +0.000% | 12.0% | 2026-02-26 18:53 |
| Unibet (FR) | 1.96I 51.02%NM 45.52%EV -10.78%E -5.50%K -11.22%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.03%EV -10.47%E -3.17%K -4.55%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.45%EV -11.12%E -3.42%K -4.94%G +0.000% | 12.1% | 2026-02-26 18:55 |
| 888sport | 2.00I 50.00%NM 44.42%EV -8.95%E -4.48%K -8.95%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 26.92%EV -10.47%E -3.17%K -4.55%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.66%EV -15.22%E -4.91%K -7.25%G +0.000% | 12.6% | 2026-02-26 18:55 |
| William Hill | 2.00I 50.00%NM 44.42%EV -8.95%E -4.48%K -8.95%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 26.92%EV -10.47%E -3.17%K -4.55%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.66%EV -15.22%E -4.91%K -7.25%G +0.000% | 12.6% | 2026-02-26 18:55 |
| 888sport (SE) | 2.00I 50.00%NM 44.42%EV -8.95%E -4.48%K -8.95%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 26.92%EV -10.47%E -3.17%K -4.55%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.66%EV -15.22%E -4.91%K -7.25%G +0.000% | 12.6% | 2026-02-26 18:55 |
| Mr Green (SE) | 2.00I 50.00%NM 44.42%EV -8.95%E -4.48%K -8.95%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 26.92%EV -10.47%E -3.17%K -4.55%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.66%EV -15.22%E -4.91%K -7.25%G +0.000% | 12.6% | 2026-02-26 18:55 |
| Winamax (DE) | 2.00I 50.00%NM 45.38%EV -8.95%E -4.48%K -8.95%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.93%EV -11.83%E -3.64%K -5.26%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.69%EV -7.02%E -2.06%K -2.92%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-02-26 18:55 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK) | 1.91I 52.36%NM 44.96%EV -13.05%E -6.83%K -14.34%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 26.42%EV -11.83%E -3.64%K -5.26%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 28.62%EV -17.96%E -5.99%K -8.98%G +0.000% | 16.5% | 2026-02-26 18:55 |
| Winamax (FR) | 1.98I 50.51%NM 45.07%EV -9.86%E -4.98%K -10.07%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 27.89%EV -13.18%E -4.12%K -5.99%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.04%EV -9.75%E -2.96%K -4.24%G +0.000% | 12.1% | 2026-02-26 18:55 |
| BoyleSports | 1.95I 51.28%NM 44.86%EV -11.23%E -5.76%K -11.82%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.22%EV -15.90%E -5.13%K -7.57%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 26.92%EV -11.12%E -3.42%K -4.94%G +0.000% | 14.3% | 2026-02-26 18:55 |
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu
Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.
Plateformes d’échange (4)
| Opérateur | Local | Visiteur | Match nul | Marge ▲ | Mise à jour |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 2.08I 48.08%NM 47.21% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 25.51% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 27.28% | 1.8% | 2026-02-26 18:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 2.08I 48.08%NM 47.06% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 25.76% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 27.19% | 2.2% | 2026-02-26 18:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 2.08I 48.08%NM 47.06% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 25.76% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 27.19% | 2.2% | 2026-02-26 18:55 |
| Smarkets | 2.06I 48.54%NM 47.27% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 25.29% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 27.43% | 2.7% | 2026-02-26 18:55 |