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默认模型四分位数间均值 (精选名单)
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Al-Fateh v Al-Ettifaq

开赛时间： 2026-08-22 15:45 UTC

最终结果： Al-Fateh 0–1 Al-Ettifaq

收盘赔率 — 按所选模型，根据开赛前最后记录的赔率计算得出的概率和期望值。比赛已经开始，因此这些并非实时数据。 依据所有已完赛结果评估各模型概率预测的可靠性 →

胜负盘

30 家博彩公司 (6 家纳入分析 )

模型估计的各赛果概率：四分位数间均值 (精选名单)

Al-Fateh (主队)

预测 39.68%2.52公平赔率
EV -4.77%
优势 -1.99%
Kelly -3.41%
增长率 +0.000%

假设最高赔率为 2.40

博彩公司预测分布
38.35%39.59%39.67%41.47%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
2.142.272.252.4046.73%44.04%44.44%41.67%最小值均值中位数最大值

Al-Ettifaq (客队)

预测 34.05%2.94公平赔率
EV -1.92%
优势 -0.668%
Kelly -1.02%
增长率 +0.000%

假设最高赔率为 2.88

博彩公司预测分布
33.05%34.18%34.17%36.09%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
2.502.662.652.8840.00%37.65%37.74%34.72%最小值均值中位数最大值

平局

预测 26.27%3.81公平赔率
EV -5.43%
优势 -1.51%
Kelly -2.09%
增长率 +0.000%

假设最高赔率为 3.60

博彩公司预测分布
25.13%26.23%26.15%27.37%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
3.253.463.503.6030.77%28.90%28.57%27.78%最小值均值中位数最大值

按开赛前最后一组赔率，四分位数间均值 (精选名单)对胜负盘的概率估计为：Al-Fateh (主队)：39.68%；Al-Ettifaq (客队)：34.05%；平局：26.27%。 对于“Al-Ettifaq (客队)”，该估计对应的公平十进制赔率为2.94。 当时没有符合条件的博彩公司提供高于该水平的收盘赔率：最佳赔率为2.88，期望值为-1.92%，未产生正期望值。

博彩公司赔率 (30 家博彩公司)

我们与任何博彩公司均无关联，也不会从用户在这些公司进行的任何操作中获利。

博彩公司主队 ▼客队平局利润率更新时间
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 39.13%EV -4.77%E -1.99%K -3.41%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.78%EV -8.05%E -2.98%K -4.74%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.09%EV -5.43%E -1.51%K -2.09%G +0.000%6.5%2026-08-22 05:45
Coral🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 39.13%EV -4.77%E -1.99%K -3.41%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.78%EV -8.05%E -2.98%K -4.74%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.09%EV -5.43%E -1.51%K -2.09%G +0.000%6.5%2026-08-22 11:05
Tipico (DE)🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 38.35%EV -4.77%E -1.99%K -3.41%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.09%EV -13.16%E -5.16%K -8.49%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.56%EV -5.43%E -1.51%K -2.09%G +0.000%8.7%2026-08-22 15:14
Pinnacle🎯2.39I 41.84%NM 39.83%EV -5.17%E -2.16%K -3.72%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 33.05%EV -1.92%E -0.668%K -1.02%G +0.000%3.51I 28.49%NM 27.12%EV -7.80%E -2.22%K -3.11%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-22 15:05
1xBet🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 39.75%EV -6.76%E -2.88%K -5.01%G +0.000%2.81I 35.59%NM 33.25%EV -4.31%E -1.53%K -2.38%G +0.000%3.46I 28.90%NM 27.00%EV -9.11%E -2.63%K -3.70%G +0.000%7.0%2026-08-22 15:03
Unibet (UK)🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 39.34%EV -6.76%E -2.88%K -5.01%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.24%EV -8.05%E -2.98%K -4.74%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.42%EV -8.06%E -2.30%K -3.22%G +0.000%8.2%2026-08-22 05:50
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 40.40%EV -8.74%E -3.80%K -6.72%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.79%EV -6.35%E -2.31%K -3.63%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.81%EV -5.43%E -1.51%K -2.09%G +0.000%7.6%2026-08-22 15:00
betfred_uk🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 40.10%EV -8.74%E -3.80%K -6.72%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.54%EV -6.35%E -2.31%K -3.63%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.35%EV -8.06%E -2.30%K -3.22%G +0.000%8.4%2026-08-22 14:59
SportsBet🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 39.86%EV -8.74%E -3.80%K -6.72%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.95%EV -8.05%E -2.98%K -4.74%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.19%EV -8.06%E -2.30%K -3.22%G +0.000%9.1%2026-08-22 15:00
William Hill🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 38.68%EV -8.74%E -3.80%K -6.72%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 33.95%EV -10.78%E -4.11%K -6.65%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.37%EV -14.63%E -4.50%K -6.50%G +0.000%12.4%2026-08-22 05:45
888sport🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 38.68%EV -8.74%E -3.80%K -6.72%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 33.95%EV -10.78%E -4.11%K -6.65%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.37%EV -14.63%E -4.50%K -6.50%G +0.000%12.4%2026-08-22 05:45
888sport (SE)🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 38.68%EV -8.74%E -3.80%K -6.72%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 33.95%EV -10.78%E -4.11%K -6.65%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.37%EV -14.63%E -4.50%K -6.50%G +0.000%12.4%2026-08-22 05:45
Mr Green (SE)🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 38.68%EV -8.74%E -3.80%K -6.72%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 33.95%EV -10.78%E -4.11%K -6.65%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.37%EV -14.63%E -4.50%K -6.50%G +0.000%12.4%2026-08-22 05:45
Winamax (DE)🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 40.42%EV -10.73%E -4.77%K -8.58%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 34.32%EV -9.76%E -3.68%K -5.91%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.26%EV -5.43%E -1.51%K -2.09%G +0.000%10.0%2026-08-22 15:00
Unibet🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 40.13%EV -10.73%E -4.77%K -8.58%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 34.07%EV -9.76%E -3.68%K -5.91%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.80%EV -8.06%E -2.30%K -3.22%G +0.000%10.8%2026-08-22 15:04
Unibet (NL)🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 40.13%EV -10.73%E -4.77%K -8.58%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 34.07%EV -9.76%E -3.68%K -5.91%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.80%EV -8.06%E -2.30%K -3.22%G +0.000%10.8%2026-08-22 15:05
Unibet (SE)🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 40.13%EV -10.73%E -4.77%K -8.58%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 34.07%EV -9.76%E -3.68%K -5.91%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.80%EV -8.06%E -2.30%K -3.22%G +0.000%10.8%2026-08-22 15:05
Grosvenor🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 40.13%EV -10.73%E -4.77%K -8.58%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 34.07%EV -9.76%E -3.68%K -5.91%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.80%EV -8.06%E -2.30%K -3.22%G +0.000%10.8%2026-08-22 15:04
ATG (SE)🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 40.13%EV -10.73%E -4.77%K -8.58%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 34.07%EV -9.76%E -3.68%K -5.91%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.80%EV -8.06%E -2.30%K -3.22%G +0.000%10.8%2026-08-22 15:05
Svenska Spel🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 40.13%EV -10.73%E -4.77%K -8.58%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 34.07%EV -9.76%E -3.68%K -5.91%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.80%EV -8.06%E -2.30%K -3.22%G +0.000%10.8%2026-08-22 15:05
Paddy Power🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 39.97%EV -10.73%E -4.77%K -8.58%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 34.33%EV -10.78%E -4.11%K -6.65%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.70%EV -8.06%E -2.30%K -3.22%G +0.000%11.2%2026-08-22 15:04
Sky Bet🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 39.73%EV -10.73%E -4.77%K -8.58%G +0.000%2.63I 38.02%NM 33.99%EV -10.44%E -3.97%K -6.40%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.29%EV -10.69%E -3.14%K -4.45%G +0.000%11.9%2026-08-22 15:00
Betclic (FR)🎯2.23I 44.84%NM 40.79%EV -11.52%E -5.17%K -9.36%G +0.000%2.72I 36.76%NM 33.44%EV -7.37%E -2.71%K -4.29%G +0.000%3.53I 28.33%NM 25.77%EV -7.27%E -2.06%K -2.87%G +0.000%9.9%2026-08-22 15:20
Unibet (FR)🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 41.47%EV -12.71%E -5.78%K -10.59%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.18%EV -6.35%E -2.31%K -3.63%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.35%EV -5.43%E -1.51%K -2.09%G +0.000%9.6%2026-08-22 05:50
Winamax (FR)🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 40.55%EV -12.71%E -5.78%K -10.59%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 34.31%EV -11.46%E -4.41%K -7.16%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.13%EV -6.75%E -1.90%K -2.65%G +0.000%12.1%2026-08-22 15:00
LeoVegas (SE)🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 40.11%EV -12.71%E -5.78%K -10.59%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 33.94%EV -11.46%E -4.41%K -7.16%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 25.95%EV -10.69%E -3.14%K -4.45%G +0.000%13.3%2026-08-22 15:04
Virgin Bet🎯2.18I 45.87%NM 40.33%EV -13.50%E -6.19%K -11.44%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 33.81%EV -11.46%E -4.41%K -7.16%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 25.86%EV -10.69%E -3.14%K -4.45%G +0.000%13.7%2026-08-22 15:05
LiveScore Bet🎯2.18I 45.87%NM 40.33%EV -13.50%E -6.19%K -11.44%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 33.81%EV -11.46%E -4.41%K -7.16%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 25.86%EV -10.69%E -3.14%K -4.45%G +0.000%13.7%2026-08-22 15:05
BoyleSports🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 39.66%EV -14.69%E -6.83%K -12.78%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 34.11%EV -14.86%E -5.95%K -9.91%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 26.24%EV -14.63%E -4.50%K -6.50%G +0.000%17.3%2026-08-22 15:05
PMU (FR)🎯2.14I 46.73%NM 39.93%EV -15.09%E -7.05%K -13.24%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 34.18%EV -14.86%E -5.95%K -9.91%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 25.89%EV -13.32%E -4.03%K -5.79%G +0.000%17.0%2026-08-22 15:04
利润率 = 利润率（超额概率） · I = 隐含概率 · NM = 无利润率概率 · EV = 期望值 · E = 优势 · K = Kelly 准则 · G = 资金增长率

更新时间 指各博彩公司最后一次调整赔率的时间，因此时间较早仅表示赔率一直未变，并不代表数据已经失效。通常，约 15 分钟内未收到更新的博彩公司会被移除；只有整个市场的数据源均无更新时，才会改为显示最后记录的赔率。

博彩交易所 (5)

博彩公司主队客队平局利润率 ▲更新时间
Kalshi◎2.50I 40.00%NM 39.59%2.94I 34.01%NM 33.66%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.75%1.0%2026-08-22 11:05
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎2.46I 40.65%NM 39.93%2.90I 34.48%NM 33.87%3.75I 26.67%NM 26.20%1.8%2026-08-22 15:15
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎2.46I 40.65%NM 39.93%2.90I 34.48%NM 33.87%3.75I 26.67%NM 26.20%1.8%2026-08-22 15:15
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎2.46I 40.65%NM 39.93%2.90I 34.48%NM 33.87%3.75I 26.67%NM 26.20%1.8%2026-08-22 15:15
Smarkets◎2.42I 41.32%NM 40.09%2.88I 34.72%NM 33.69%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.22%3.1%2026-08-22 15:20