Language:English
Al-Faisaly KSA FC v Al-Hazem
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Al-Faisaly KSA FC (Local)
Prediction 39.43%2.54fair odd
EV +0.538%
Edge +0.211%
Kelly +0.347%
Growth +0.002%
assuming max odds 2.55
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
35.43%39.40%39.61%39.95%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.152.382.382.5546.51%42.04%42.02%39.22%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Al-Hazem (Visit)
Prediction 33.68%2.97fair odd
EV -4.00%
Edge -1.41%
Kelly -2.16%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 2.85
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
32.23%33.59%33.75%37.20%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.302.562.602.8543.48%39.10%38.46%35.09%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Draw
Prediction 26.89%3.72fair odd
EV -3.19%
Edge -0.887%
Kelly -1.23%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 3.60
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
25.92%27.01%26.64%27.83%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.153.353.303.6031.75%29.86%30.30%27.78%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Al-Faisaly KSA FC (Local): 39.43%; Al-Hazem (Visit): 33.68%; Draw: 26.89%. For Al-Faisaly KSA FC (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.54. 6 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 2.55, corresponding to a positive expected value of +0.538%.
Sportsbook Odds (29 sportsbooks)
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| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Draw | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Unibet🎯 | 2.55I 39.22%NM 35.43%EV +0.538%E +0.211%K +0.347%G +0.002% | 2.43I 41.15%NM 37.18%EV -18.15%E -7.47%K -12.69%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.38%EV -11.26%E -3.41%K -4.90%G +0.000% | 10.7% | 2026-08-29 16:05 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 2.55I 39.22%NM 35.43%EV +0.538%E +0.211%K +0.347%G +0.002% | 2.43I 41.15%NM 37.18%EV -18.15%E -7.47%K -12.69%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.38%EV -11.26%E -3.41%K -4.90%G +0.000% | 10.7% | 2026-08-29 16:05 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 2.55I 39.22%NM 35.43%EV +0.538%E +0.211%K +0.347%G +0.002% | 2.43I 41.15%NM 37.18%EV -18.15%E -7.47%K -12.69%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.38%EV -11.26%E -3.41%K -4.90%G +0.000% | 10.7% | 2026-08-29 16:05 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 2.55I 39.22%NM 35.43%EV +0.538%E +0.211%K +0.347%G +0.002% | 2.43I 41.15%NM 37.18%EV -18.15%E -7.47%K -12.69%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.38%EV -11.26%E -3.41%K -4.90%G +0.000% | 10.7% | 2026-08-29 16:05 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 2.55I 39.22%NM 35.43%EV +0.538%E +0.211%K +0.347%G +0.002% | 2.43I 41.15%NM 37.18%EV -18.15%E -7.47%K -12.69%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.38%EV -11.26%E -3.41%K -4.90%G +0.000% | 10.7% | 2026-08-29 16:05 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 2.55I 39.22%NM 35.43%EV +0.538%E +0.211%K +0.347%G +0.002% | 2.43I 41.15%NM 37.18%EV -18.15%E -7.47%K -12.69%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.38%EV -11.26%E -3.41%K -4.90%G +0.000% | 10.7% | 2026-08-29 16:05 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 2.48I 40.32%NM 35.65%EV -2.22%E -0.896%K -1.50%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 37.15%EV -19.84%E -8.33%K -14.37%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.20%EV -12.60%E -3.88%K -5.60%G +0.000% | 13.1% | 2026-08-29 16:05 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 35.61%EV -3.40%E -1.39%K -2.35%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 37.13%EV -20.85%E -8.87%K -15.44%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 27.26%EV -13.95%E -4.36%K -6.34%G +0.000% | 14.6% | 2026-08-29 16:05 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 35.61%EV -3.40%E -1.39%K -2.35%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 37.13%EV -20.85%E -8.87%K -15.44%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 27.26%EV -13.95%E -4.36%K -6.34%G +0.000% | 14.6% | 2026-08-29 16:05 |
| Coral🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.38%EV -5.38%E -2.24%K -3.84%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -7.37%E -2.68%K -4.21%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.25%EV -3.19%E -0.887%K -1.23%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-09-04 08:15 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.13%EV -5.38%E -2.24%K -3.84%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.78%EV -9.06%E -3.35%K -5.33%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.09%EV -3.19%E -0.887%K -1.23%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-09-03 08:40 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.84%EV -5.38%E -2.24%K -3.84%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.53%EV -9.06%E -3.35%K -5.33%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.63%EV -5.88%E -1.68%K -2.35%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-09-04 08:15 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 35.65%EV -5.38%E -2.24%K -3.84%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 37.20%EV -22.53%E -9.80%K -17.33%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 27.16%EV -15.29%E -4.86%K -7.11%G +0.000% | 16.9% | 2026-08-29 16:05 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.04%EV -6.16%E -2.59%K -4.47%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.41%EV -9.06%E -3.35%K -5.33%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.55%EV -5.88%E -1.68%K -2.35%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-09-02 15:50 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 2.38I 42.02%NM 38.63%EV -6.16%E -2.59%K -4.47%G +0.000% | 2.62I 38.17%NM 35.09%EV -11.75%E -4.49%K -7.25%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.27%EV -5.88%E -1.68%K -2.35%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-09-03 23:10 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 39.91%EV -7.35%E -3.13%K -5.44%G +0.000% | 2.78I 35.97%NM 33.74%EV -6.36%E -2.29%K -3.57%G +0.000% | 3.56I 28.09%NM 26.35%EV -4.27%E -1.20%K -1.67%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-09-01 16:30 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 38.83%EV -7.35%E -3.13%K -5.44%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.10%EV -12.43%E -4.78%K -7.77%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.07%EV -5.88%E -1.68%K -2.35%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-09-03 08:40 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.94%EV -9.32%E -4.05%K -7.17%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.23%EV -4.00%E -1.41%K -2.16%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.83%EV -11.26%E -3.41%K -4.90%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-09-04 10:15 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.61%EV -9.32%E -4.05%K -7.17%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.75%EV -9.06%E -3.35%K -5.33%G +0.000% | 3.42I 29.24%NM 26.64%EV -8.03%E -2.35%K -3.32%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-09-03 15:51 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.45%EV -9.32%E -4.05%K -7.17%G +0.000% | 2.62I 38.17%NM 34.63%EV -11.75%E -4.49%K -7.25%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.92%EV -5.88%E -1.68%K -2.35%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-09-03 08:40 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.20%EV -9.32%E -4.05%K -7.17%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 34.67%EV -12.43%E -4.78%K -7.77%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.13%EV -7.23%E -2.09%K -2.95%G +0.000% | 10.9% | 2026-09-02 16:35 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 38.51%EV -9.32%E -4.05%K -7.17%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 35.43%EV -15.79%E -6.32%K -10.53%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.05%EV -8.57%E -2.52%K -3.57%G +0.000% | 12.9% | 2026-09-03 08:40 |
| 888sport🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 38.51%EV -9.32%E -4.05%K -7.17%G +0.000% | 2.62I 38.17%NM 33.81%EV -11.75%E -4.49%K -7.25%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 27.68%EV -13.95%E -4.36%K -6.34%G +0.000% | 12.9% | 2026-09-02 01:55 |
| William Hill🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 38.51%EV -9.32%E -4.05%K -7.17%G +0.000% | 2.62I 38.17%NM 33.81%EV -11.75%E -4.49%K -7.25%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 27.68%EV -13.95%E -4.36%K -6.34%G +0.000% | 12.9% | 2026-09-02 01:55 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 38.51%EV -9.32%E -4.05%K -7.17%G +0.000% | 2.62I 38.17%NM 33.81%EV -11.75%E -4.49%K -7.25%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 27.68%EV -13.95%E -4.36%K -6.34%G +0.000% | 12.9% | 2026-09-02 01:55 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 38.51%EV -9.32%E -4.05%K -7.17%G +0.000% | 2.62I 38.17%NM 33.81%EV -11.75%E -4.49%K -7.25%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 27.68%EV -13.95%E -4.36%K -6.34%G +0.000% | 12.9% | 2026-09-02 01:55 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 39.95%EV -13.26%E -6.03%K -11.05%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 33.81%EV -12.43%E -4.78%K -7.77%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 26.24%EV -9.92%E -2.96%K -4.22%G +0.000% | 13.8% | 2026-09-03 15:50 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 39.27%EV -13.26%E -6.03%K -11.05%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 34.55%EV -15.79%E -6.32%K -10.53%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 26.18%EV -11.26%E -3.41%K -4.90%G +0.000% | 15.8% | 2026-09-02 16:35 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 39.66%EV -15.23%E -7.08%K -13.25%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 34.11%EV -15.79%E -6.32%K -10.53%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 26.24%EV -12.60%E -3.88%K -5.60%G +0.000% | 17.3% | 2026-09-01 15:24 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (5)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Draw | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kalshi◎ | 2.44I 40.98%NM 39.42% | 2.86I 34.97%NM 33.63% | 3.57I 28.01%NM 26.94% | 4.0% | 2026-09-04 14:30 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.33% | 2.76I 36.23%NM 33.92% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.75% | 6.8% | 2026-09-04 06:25 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.33% | 2.76I 36.23%NM 33.92% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.75% | 6.8% | 2026-09-04 14:05 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.33% | 2.76I 36.23%NM 33.92% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.75% | 6.8% | 2026-09-04 14:10 |
| Smarkets◎ | 2.28I 43.86%NM 38.98% | 2.64I 37.88%NM 33.67% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.35% | 12.5% | 2026-09-04 11:10 |