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默认模型四分位数间均值 (精选名单)
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Al-Ettifaq v Diriyah Club

开赛时间： 2026-08-29 18:01 UTC

最终结果： Al-Ettifaq 0–3 Diriyah Club

收盘赔率 — 按所选模型，根据开赛前最后记录的赔率计算得出的概率和期望值。比赛已经开始，因此这些并非实时数据。 依据所有已完赛结果评估各模型概率预测的可靠性 →

胜负盘

30 家博彩公司 (5 家纳入分析 )

模型估计的各赛果概率：四分位数间均值 (精选名单)

Al-Ettifaq (主队)

预测 29.92%3.34公平赔率
EV -2.47%
优势 -0.757%
Kelly -1.09%
增长率 +0.000%

假设最高赔率为 3.26

博彩公司预测分布
29.08%30.18%29.85%32.30%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
2.803.013.003.2635.71%33.21%33.33%30.67%最小值均值中位数最大值

Diriyah Club (客队)

预测 44.13%2.27公平赔率
EV -0.257%
优势 -0.114%
Kelly -0.204%
增长率 +0.000%

假设最高赔率为 2.26

博彩公司预测分布
42.82%44.05%44.07%45.45%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
1.902.052.052.2652.63%48.83%48.78%44.25%最小值均值中位数最大值

平局

预测 25.95%3.85公平赔率
EV +1.72%
优势 +0.438%
Kelly +0.588%
增长率 +0.010%

假设最高赔率为 3.92

博彩公司预测分布
24.24%25.77%26.08%26.63%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
3.253.483.403.9230.77%28.75%29.41%25.51%最小值均值中位数最大值

按开赛前最后一组赔率，四分位数间均值 (精选名单)对胜负盘的概率估计为：Al-Ettifaq (主队)：29.92%；Diriyah Club (客队)：44.13%；平局：25.95%。 对于“平局”，该估计对应的公平十进制赔率为3.85。 当时有1家博彩公司提供高于该水平的收盘赔率；最佳赔率为3.92，对应+1.72%的正期望值。

博彩公司赔率 (30 家博彩公司)

我们与任何博彩公司均无关联，也不会从用户在这些公司进行的任何操作中获利。

博彩公司主队客队平局 ▼利润率更新时间
1xBet🎯3.01I 33.22%NM 32.26%EV -9.95%E -3.31%K -4.95%G +0.000%2.26I 44.25%NM 42.97%EV -0.257%E -0.114%K -0.204%G +0.000%3.92I 25.51%NM 24.77%EV +1.72%E +0.438%K +0.588%G +0.010%3.0%2026-08-29 17:59
Winamax (DE)🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 30.30%EV -10.25%E -3.42%K -5.12%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 45.45%EV -11.73%E -5.87%K -11.73%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.24%EV -2.69%E -0.718%K -0.980%G +0.000%10.0%2026-08-29 18:00
Tipico (DE)🎯2.85I 35.09%NM 32.30%EV -14.74%E -5.17%K -7.96%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 42.82%EV -5.11%E -2.38%K -4.44%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.88%EV -3.99%E -1.08%K -1.48%G +0.000%8.6%2026-08-29 18:00
Pinnacle🎯3.26I 30.67%NM 29.17%EV -2.47%E -0.757%K -1.09%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 44.85%EV -6.44%E -3.04%K -5.75%G +0.000%3.66I 27.32%NM 25.98%EV -5.03%E -1.37%K -1.89%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-29 17:55
Coral🎯3.20I 31.25%NM 29.61%EV -4.26%E -1.33%K -1.94%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.07%EV -5.11%E -2.38%K -4.44%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.32%EV -6.59%E -1.83%K -2.53%G +0.000%5.5%2026-08-29 18:00
betfred_uk🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 30.66%EV -10.25%E -3.42%K -5.12%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 43.80%EV -7.32%E -3.48%K -6.65%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.55%EV -6.59%E -1.83%K -2.53%G +0.000%8.7%2026-08-29 17:55
SportsBet🎯3.05I 32.79%NM 30.11%EV -8.75%E -2.87%K -4.27%G +0.000%2.07I 48.31%NM 44.37%EV -8.64%E -4.17%K -8.08%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.51%EV -6.59%E -1.83%K -2.53%G +0.000%8.9%2026-08-29 17:55
Betclic (FR)🎯3.12I 32.05%NM 29.08%EV -6.66%E -2.13%K -3.14%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 45.36%EV -11.73%E -5.87%K -11.73%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.56%EV -7.88%E -2.22%K -3.09%G +0.000%10.2%2026-08-29 17:34
Winamax (FR)🎯2.85I 35.09%NM 30.28%EV -14.74%E -5.17%K -7.96%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 45.42%EV -16.14%E -8.50%K -17.94%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 24.31%EV -7.88%E -2.22%K -3.09%G +0.000%15.9%2026-08-29 18:00
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 30.05%EV -7.26%E -2.34%K -3.46%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.33%EV -5.11%E -2.38%K -4.44%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.62%EV -9.18%E -2.62%K -3.67%G +0.000%7.3%2026-08-29 18:00
Unibet (UK)🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 29.75%EV -7.26%E -2.34%K -3.46%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 43.91%EV -7.32%E -3.48%K -6.65%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.35%EV -9.18%E -2.62%K -3.67%G +0.000%8.4%2026-08-29 17:20
Paddy Power🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 30.12%EV -10.25%E -3.42%K -5.12%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 44.07%EV -9.52%E -4.65%K -9.07%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.81%EV -9.18%E -2.62%K -3.67%G +0.000%10.7%2026-08-29 17:55
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 30.12%EV -10.25%E -3.42%K -5.12%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 44.07%EV -9.52%E -4.65%K -9.07%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.81%EV -9.18%E -2.62%K -3.67%G +0.000%10.7%2026-08-29 17:55
Unibet🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 29.21%EV -7.26%E -2.34%K -3.46%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 44.17%EV -9.52%E -4.65%K -9.07%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.63%EV -11.78%E -3.46%K -4.91%G +0.000%10.5%2026-08-29 18:00
Unibet (SE)🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 29.21%EV -7.26%E -2.34%K -3.46%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 44.17%EV -9.52%E -4.65%K -9.07%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.63%EV -11.78%E -3.46%K -4.91%G +0.000%10.5%2026-08-29 18:00
Grosvenor🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 29.21%EV -7.26%E -2.34%K -3.46%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 44.17%EV -9.52%E -4.65%K -9.07%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.63%EV -11.78%E -3.46%K -4.91%G +0.000%10.5%2026-08-29 18:00
Unibet (NL)🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 29.21%EV -7.26%E -2.34%K -3.46%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 44.17%EV -9.52%E -4.65%K -9.07%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.63%EV -11.78%E -3.46%K -4.91%G +0.000%10.5%2026-08-29 18:00
ATG (SE)🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 29.21%EV -7.26%E -2.34%K -3.46%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 44.17%EV -9.52%E -4.65%K -9.07%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.63%EV -11.78%E -3.46%K -4.91%G +0.000%10.5%2026-08-29 18:00
Svenska Spel🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 29.21%EV -7.26%E -2.34%K -3.46%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 44.17%EV -9.52%E -4.65%K -9.07%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.63%EV -11.78%E -3.46%K -4.91%G +0.000%10.5%2026-08-29 18:00
888sport🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 30.60%EV -13.24%E -4.57%K -6.97%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 43.29%EV -9.52%E -4.65%K -9.07%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.10%EV -11.78%E -3.46%K -4.91%G +0.000%12.7%2026-08-29 17:55
William Hill🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 30.60%EV -13.24%E -4.57%K -6.97%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 43.29%EV -9.52%E -4.65%K -9.07%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.10%EV -11.78%E -3.46%K -4.91%G +0.000%12.7%2026-08-29 17:55
888sport (SE)🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 30.60%EV -13.24%E -4.57%K -6.97%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 43.29%EV -9.52%E -4.65%K -9.07%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.10%EV -11.78%E -3.46%K -4.91%G +0.000%12.7%2026-08-29 17:55
Mr Green (SE)🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 30.60%EV -13.24%E -4.57%K -6.97%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 43.29%EV -9.52%E -4.65%K -9.07%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.10%EV -11.78%E -3.46%K -4.91%G +0.000%12.7%2026-08-29 17:55
Sky Bet🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 30.60%EV -13.24%E -4.57%K -6.97%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 43.29%EV -9.52%E -4.65%K -9.07%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.10%EV -11.78%E -3.46%K -4.91%G +0.000%12.7%2026-08-29 17:55
Unibet (FR)🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 29.23%EV -10.25%E -3.42%K -5.12%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 44.97%EV -13.94%E -7.15%K -14.67%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 25.79%EV -11.78%E -3.46%K -4.91%G +0.000%14.0%2026-08-29 17:36
BoyleSports🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 30.68%EV -16.23%E -5.80%K -9.02%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 44.05%EV -13.94%E -7.15%K -14.67%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 25.27%EV -11.78%E -3.46%K -4.91%G +0.000%16.4%2026-08-29 18:00
LeoVegas (SE)🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 29.45%EV -10.25%E -3.42%K -5.12%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 44.18%EV -11.73%E -5.87%K -11.73%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.37%EV -13.07%E -3.90%K -5.56%G +0.000%13.2%2026-08-29 18:00
Virgin Bet🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 29.20%EV -10.25%E -3.42%K -5.12%G +0.000%1.98I 50.51%NM 44.25%EV -12.61%E -6.37%K -12.87%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.55%EV -14.37%E -4.35%K -6.25%G +0.000%14.1%2026-08-29 18:00
LiveScore Bet🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 29.20%EV -10.25%E -3.42%K -5.12%G +0.000%1.98I 50.51%NM 44.25%EV -12.61%E -6.37%K -12.87%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.55%EV -14.37%E -4.35%K -6.25%G +0.000%14.1%2026-08-29 18:00
PMU (FR)🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 29.46%EV -13.24%E -4.57%K -6.97%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 44.26%EV -14.82%E -7.68%K -15.94%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 26.28%EV -15.67%E -4.82%K -6.96%G +0.000%17.1%2026-08-29 18:00
利润率 = 利润率（超额概率） · I = 隐含概率 · NM = 无利润率概率 · EV = 期望值 · E = 优势 · K = Kelly 准则 · G = 资金增长率

更新时间 指各博彩公司最后一次调整赔率的时间，因此时间较早仅表示赔率一直未变，并不代表数据已经失效。通常，约 15 分钟内未收到更新的博彩公司会被移除；只有整个市场的数据源均无更新时，才会改为显示最后记录的赔率。

博彩交易所 (5)

博彩公司主队客队平局利润率 ▲更新时间
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎3.30I 30.30%NM 29.79%2.20I 45.45%NM 44.68%3.85I 25.97%NM 25.53%1.7%2026-08-29 17:45
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎3.30I 30.30%NM 29.79%2.20I 45.45%NM 44.68%3.85I 25.97%NM 25.53%1.7%2026-08-29 17:51
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎3.30I 30.30%NM 29.79%2.20I 45.45%NM 44.68%3.85I 25.97%NM 25.53%1.7%2026-08-29 17:45
Smarkets◎3.25I 30.77%NM 29.39%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.48%3.80I 26.32%NM 25.13%4.7%2026-08-29 18:00
Kalshi◎3.12I 32.05%NM 29.91%2.08I 48.08%NM 44.87%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.22%7.2%2026-08-29 18:00