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默认模型四分位数间均值 (精选名单)
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Al-Ettifaq v Al-Riyadh

开赛时间： 2026-08-14 18:00 UTC

最终结果： Al-Ettifaq 4–2 Al-Riyadh

收盘赔率 — 按所选模型，根据开赛前最后记录的赔率计算得出的概率和期望值。比赛已经开始，因此这些并非实时数据。 依据所有已完赛结果评估各模型概率预测的可靠性 →

胜负盘

30 家博彩公司 (7 家纳入分析 )

模型估计的各赛果概率：四分位数间均值 (精选名单)

Al-Ettifaq (主队)

预测 35.22%2.84公平赔率
EV -3.15%
优势 -1.15%
Kelly -1.80%
增长率 +0.000%

假设最高赔率为 2.75

博彩公司预测分布
33.86%35.61%35.43%39.57%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
2.202.512.522.7545.45%39.86%39.60%36.36%最小值均值中位数最大值

Al-Riyadh (客队)

预测 38.12%2.62公平赔率
EV +0.259%
优势 +0.099%
Kelly +0.159%
增长率 +0.000%

假设最高赔率为 2.63

博彩公司预测分布
34.82%37.81%38.05%39.45%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
2.302.452.452.6343.48%40.83%40.82%38.02%最小值均值中位数最大值

平局

预测 26.66%3.75公平赔率
EV -1.89%
优势 -0.513%
Kelly -0.704%
增长率 +0.000%

假设最高赔率为 3.68

博彩公司预测分布
25.61%26.58%26.52%27.68%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
3.203.363.353.6831.25%29.74%29.85%27.17%最小值均值中位数最大值

按开赛前最后一组赔率，四分位数间均值 (精选名单)对胜负盘的概率估计为：Al-Ettifaq (主队)：35.22%；Al-Riyadh (客队)：38.12%；平局：26.66%。 对于“Al-Riyadh (客队)”，该估计对应的公平十进制赔率为2.62。 当时有1家博彩公司提供高于该水平的收盘赔率；最佳赔率为2.63，对应+0.259%的正期望值。

博彩公司赔率 (30 家博彩公司)

我们与任何博彩公司均无关联，也不会从用户在这些公司进行的任何操作中获利。

博彩公司主队客队 ▼平局利润率更新时间
1xBet🎯2.73I 36.63%NM 35.49%EV -3.86%E -1.41%K -2.23%G +0.000%2.63I 38.02%NM 36.84%EV +0.259%E +0.099%K +0.159%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.68%EV -6.69%E -1.91%K -2.67%G +0.000%3.2%2026-08-14 17:55
Unibet🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 37.63%EV -15.48%E -6.45%K -11.06%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 35.41%EV -2.79%E -1.09%K -1.80%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.96%EV -10.68%E -3.19%K -4.55%G +0.000%10.7%2026-08-14 17:39
Grosvenor🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 37.63%EV -15.48%E -6.45%K -11.06%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 35.41%EV -2.79%E -1.09%K -1.80%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.96%EV -10.68%E -3.19%K -4.55%G +0.000%10.7%2026-08-14 17:40
Unibet (NL)🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 37.63%EV -15.48%E -6.45%K -11.06%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 35.41%EV -2.79%E -1.09%K -1.80%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.96%EV -10.68%E -3.19%K -4.55%G +0.000%10.7%2026-08-14 17:40
Svenska Spel🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 37.63%EV -15.48%E -6.45%K -11.06%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 35.41%EV -2.79%E -1.09%K -1.80%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.96%EV -10.68%E -3.19%K -4.55%G +0.000%10.7%2026-08-14 17:40
ATG (SE)🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 37.63%EV -15.48%E -6.45%K -11.06%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 35.41%EV -2.79%E -1.09%K -1.80%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.96%EV -10.68%E -3.19%K -4.55%G +0.000%10.7%2026-08-14 17:40
Unibet (SE)🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 37.63%EV -15.48%E -6.45%K -11.06%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 35.41%EV -2.79%E -1.09%K -1.80%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.96%EV -10.68%E -3.19%K -4.55%G +0.000%10.7%2026-08-14 17:40
Unibet (UK)🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 35.65%EV -8.44%E -3.24%K -5.27%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.08%EV -4.70%E -1.88%K -3.13%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.27%EV -9.35%E -2.75%K -3.90%G +0.000%7.9%2026-08-14 17:50
SportsBet🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 36.10%EV -10.20%E -4.00%K -6.58%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.82%EV -4.70%E -1.88%K -3.13%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.08%EV -9.35%E -2.75%K -3.90%G +0.000%8.6%2026-08-14 17:44
LeoVegas (SE)🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 37.71%EV -17.24%E -7.34%K -12.77%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 35.44%EV -4.70%E -1.88%K -3.13%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.85%EV -12.02%E -3.64%K -5.22%G +0.000%12.9%2026-08-14 17:49
BoyleSports🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 39.57%EV -22.52%E -10.24%K -18.77%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 34.82%EV -4.70%E -1.88%K -3.13%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 25.61%EV -9.35%E -2.75%K -3.90%G +0.000%14.9%2026-08-14 17:44
Pinnacle🎯2.67I 37.45%NM 35.69%EV -5.97%E -2.24%K -3.58%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 38.42%EV -5.46%E -2.20%K -3.69%G +0.000%3.68I 27.17%NM 25.89%EV -1.89%E -0.513%K -0.704%G +0.000%4.9%2026-08-14 17:45
LiveScore Bet🎯2.33I 42.92%NM 37.64%EV -17.94%E -7.70%K -13.49%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 35.37%EV -5.46%E -2.20%K -3.69%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 26.99%EV -13.35%E -4.11%K -5.93%G +0.000%14.0%2026-08-14 17:50
Virgin Bet🎯2.33I 42.92%NM 37.64%EV -17.94%E -7.70%K -13.49%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 35.37%EV -5.46%E -2.20%K -3.69%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 26.99%EV -13.35%E -4.11%K -5.93%G +0.000%14.0%2026-08-14 17:50
Coral🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 34.39%EV -3.15%E -1.15%K -1.80%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.60%EV -6.60%E -2.69%K -4.55%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.02%EV -6.69%E -1.91%K -2.67%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-14 17:50
Unibet (FR)🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 35.83%EV -10.20%E -4.00%K -6.58%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.29%EV -6.60%E -2.69%K -4.55%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.87%EV -9.35%E -2.75%K -3.90%G +0.000%9.4%2026-08-14 17:49
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 36.00%EV -11.96%E -4.78%K -7.97%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 36.73%EV -6.60%E -2.69%K -4.55%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.27%EV -12.02%E -3.64%K -5.22%G +0.000%11.1%2026-08-14 17:45
Paddy Power🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 36.00%EV -11.96%E -4.78%K -7.97%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 36.73%EV -6.60%E -2.69%K -4.55%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.27%EV -12.02%E -3.64%K -5.22%G +0.000%11.1%2026-08-14 17:44
Sky Bet🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 36.31%EV -13.72%E -5.60%K -9.46%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 36.31%EV -6.60%E -2.69%K -4.55%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.37%EV -13.35%E -4.11%K -5.93%G +0.000%12.4%2026-08-14 17:44
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 34.53%EV -4.91%E -1.82%K -2.89%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.84%EV -8.51%E -3.55%K -6.08%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.63%EV -6.69%E -1.91%K -2.67%G +0.000%7.3%2026-08-14 17:49
betfred_uk🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 35.38%EV -8.44%E -3.24%K -5.27%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.33%EV -8.51%E -3.55%K -6.08%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.28%EV -6.69%E -1.91%K -2.67%G +0.000%8.7%2026-08-14 17:54
Tipico (DE)🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 34.68%EV -6.67%E -2.52%K -4.05%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.29%EV -8.51%E -3.55%K -6.08%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.03%EV -9.35%E -2.75%K -3.90%G +0.000%8.8%2026-08-14 17:50
Winamax (DE)🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 35.69%EV -10.20%E -4.00%K -6.58%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 37.92%EV -8.51%E -3.55%K -6.08%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.38%EV -8.02%E -2.32%K -3.27%G +0.000%9.9%2026-08-14 17:50
PMU (FR)🎯2.28I 43.86%NM 37.56%EV -19.70%E -8.64%K -15.39%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 35.68%EV -8.51%E -3.55%K -6.08%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 26.76%EV -14.68%E -4.59%K -6.67%G +0.000%16.8%2026-08-14 17:40
Winamax (FR)🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 35.73%EV -11.96%E -4.78%K -7.97%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 38.01%EV -10.41%E -4.43%K -7.71%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.27%EV -9.35%E -2.75%K -3.90%G +0.000%12.0%2026-08-14 17:50
Betclic (FR)🎯2.68I 37.31%NM 33.86%EV -5.62%E -2.10%K -3.34%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 39.45%EV -12.32%E -5.36%K -9.48%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.69%EV -9.35%E -2.75%K -3.90%G +0.000%10.2%2026-08-14 17:54
888sport🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 34.12%EV -8.44%E -3.24%K -5.27%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 38.58%EV -12.32%E -5.36%K -9.48%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.30%EV -13.35%E -4.11%K -5.93%G +0.000%12.7%2026-08-14 17:50
888sport (SE)🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 34.12%EV -8.44%E -3.24%K -5.27%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 38.58%EV -12.32%E -5.36%K -9.48%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.30%EV -13.35%E -4.11%K -5.93%G +0.000%12.7%2026-08-14 17:49
Mr Green (SE)🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 34.12%EV -8.44%E -3.24%K -5.27%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 38.58%EV -12.32%E -5.36%K -9.48%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.30%EV -13.35%E -4.11%K -5.93%G +0.000%12.7%2026-08-14 17:50
William Hill🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 34.12%EV -8.44%E -3.24%K -5.27%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 38.58%EV -12.32%E -5.36%K -9.48%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.30%EV -13.35%E -4.11%K -5.93%G +0.000%12.7%2026-08-14 17:49
利润率 = 利润率（超额概率） · I = 隐含概率 · NM = 无利润率概率 · EV = 期望值 · E = 优势 · K = Kelly 准则 · G = 资金增长率

更新时间 指各博彩公司最后一次调整赔率的时间，因此时间较早仅表示赔率一直未变，并不代表数据已经失效。通常，约 15 分钟内未收到更新的博彩公司会被移除；只有整个市场的数据源均无更新时，才会改为显示最后记录的赔率。

博彩交易所 (5)

博彩公司主队客队平局利润率 ▲更新时间
Kalshi◎2.86I 34.97%NM 34.60%2.56I 39.06%NM 38.65%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.74%1.1%2026-08-14 17:50
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎2.90I 34.48%NM 34.08%2.52I 39.68%NM 39.21%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.71%1.2%2026-08-14 17:55
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎2.88I 34.72%NM 34.23%2.52I 39.68%NM 39.12%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.65%1.4%2026-08-14 17:55
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎2.88I 34.72%NM 34.23%2.52I 39.68%NM 39.12%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.65%1.4%2026-08-14 17:55
Smarkets◎2.76I 36.23%NM 34.96%2.50I 40.00%NM 38.60%3.65I 27.40%NM 26.44%3.6%2026-08-14 17:55