L’École des cotesFrançais
Al-Ettifaq v Al-Najma
Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →
Résultat du match
Al-Ettifaq (Local)
Prévision 64.58%1.55cote équitable
EV -2.48%
Avantage -1.64%
Kelly -4.86%
Croissance +0.000%
avec la cote maximale 1.51
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
62.85%64.45%64.67%65.79%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.361.421.421.5173.53%70.26%70.42%66.23%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Al-Najma (Visiteur)
Prévision 16.10%6.21cote équitable
EV -1.49%
Avantage -0.243%
Kelly -0.291%
Croissance +0.000%
avec la cote maximale 6.12
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
15.38%16.20%15.98%17.60%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
5.005.565.506.1220.00%18.00%18.18%16.34%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Match nul
Prévision 19.32%5.18cote équitable
EV -2.24%
Avantage -0.442%
Kelly -0.551%
Croissance +0.000%
avec la cote maximale 5.06
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
18.64%19.35%19.35%20.51%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
4.334.574.505.0623.09%21.88%22.22%19.76%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Cotes des opérateurs (30 opérateurs)
Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.
| Opérateur | Local ▼ | Visiteur | Match nul | Marge | Mise à jour |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet | 1.51I 66.23%NM 64.22%EV -2.48%E -1.64%K -4.86%G +0.000% | 5.85I 17.09%NM 16.58%EV -5.84%E -0.998%K -1.20%G +0.000% | 5.05I 19.80%NM 19.20%EV -2.43%E -0.481%K -0.600%G +0.000% | 3.1% | 2026-05-04 17:55 |
| Coral | 1.48I 67.57%NM 64.31%EV -4.42%E -2.98%K -9.20%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.86%EV -3.42%E -0.570%K -0.684%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.83%EV -7.26%E -1.51%K -1.91%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-05-04 17:55 |
| Unibet | 1.46I 68.49%NM 62.90%EV -5.71%E -3.91%K -12.41%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.70%EV -11.47%E -2.09%K -2.55%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.41%EV -13.06%E -2.90%K -3.73%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-05-04 17:55 |
| Unibet (SE) | 1.45I 68.97%NM 63.06%EV -6.35%E -4.38%K -14.12%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.62%EV -11.47%E -2.09%K -2.55%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.32%EV -13.06%E -2.90%K -3.73%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-05-04 17:55 |
| Unibet (NL) | 1.45I 68.97%NM 63.06%EV -6.35%E -4.38%K -14.12%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.62%EV -11.47%E -2.09%K -2.55%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.32%EV -13.06%E -2.90%K -3.73%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-05-04 17:55 |
| Grosvenor | 1.45I 68.97%NM 63.06%EV -6.35%E -4.38%K -14.12%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.62%EV -11.47%E -2.09%K -2.55%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.32%EV -13.06%E -2.90%K -3.73%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-05-04 17:55 |
| ATG (SE) | 1.45I 68.97%NM 63.06%EV -6.35%E -4.38%K -14.12%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.62%EV -11.47%E -2.09%K -2.55%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.32%EV -13.06%E -2.90%K -3.73%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-05-04 17:55 |
| Svenska Spel | 1.45I 68.97%NM 63.06%EV -6.35%E -4.38%K -14.12%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.62%EV -11.47%E -2.09%K -2.55%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.32%EV -13.06%E -2.90%K -3.73%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-05-04 17:55 |
| Pinnacle | 1.44I 69.44%NM 65.79%EV -7.00%E -4.86%K -15.91%G +0.000% | 6.12I 16.34%NM 15.48%EV -1.49%E -0.243%K -0.291%G +0.000% | 5.06I 19.76%NM 18.72%EV -2.24%E -0.442%K -0.551%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-05-04 17:55 |
| Ladbrokes (UK) | 1.44I 69.44%NM 64.94%EV -7.00%E -4.86%K -15.91%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.58%EV -3.42%E -0.570%K -0.684%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.48%EV -7.26%E -1.51%K -1.91%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-05-04 17:54 |
| betfred_uk | 1.44I 69.44%NM 64.10%EV -7.00%E -4.86%K -15.91%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.38%EV -3.42%E -0.570%K -0.684%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.51%EV -13.06%E -2.90%K -3.73%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-05-04 17:55 |
| LeoVegas | 1.44I 69.44%NM 63.03%EV -7.00%E -4.86%K -15.91%G +0.000% | 5.40I 18.52%NM 16.81%EV -13.08%E -2.42%K -2.97%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.17%EV -13.06%E -2.90%K -3.73%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-05-04 17:55 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 1.44I 69.44%NM 63.03%EV -7.00%E -4.86%K -15.91%G +0.000% | 5.40I 18.52%NM 16.81%EV -13.08%E -2.42%K -2.97%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.17%EV -13.06%E -2.90%K -3.73%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-05-04 17:55 |
| Unibet (UK) | 1.42I 70.42%NM 64.69%EV -8.29%E -5.84%K -19.74%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 15.97%EV -7.45%E -1.29%K -1.57%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.34%EV -8.23%E -1.73%K -2.19%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-05-04 17:49 |
| Tipico (DE) | 1.42I 70.42%NM 64.64%EV -8.29%E -5.84%K -19.74%G +0.000% | 5.80I 17.24%NM 15.83%EV -6.64%E -1.15%K -1.38%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 19.53%EV -9.19%E -1.96%K -2.48%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-05-04 17:49 |
| Virgin Bet | 1.42I 70.42%NM 62.87%EV -8.29%E -5.84%K -19.74%G +0.000% | 5.30I 18.87%NM 16.84%EV -14.69%E -2.77%K -3.42%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.29%EV -14.99%E -3.41%K -4.41%G +0.000% | 12.0% | 2026-05-04 17:55 |
| LiveScore Bet | 1.42I 70.42%NM 62.87%EV -8.29%E -5.84%K -19.74%G +0.000% | 5.30I 18.87%NM 16.84%EV -14.69%E -2.77%K -3.42%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.29%EV -14.99%E -3.41%K -4.41%G +0.000% | 12.0% | 2026-05-04 17:55 |
| Winamax (DE) | 1.41I 70.92%NM 64.76%EV -8.94%E -6.34%K -21.80%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.60%EV -11.47%E -2.09%K -2.55%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 18.64%EV -5.33%E -1.09%K -1.37%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-05-04 17:49 |
| SportsBet | 1.40I 71.43%NM 64.15%EV -9.58%E -6.85%K -23.96%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.33%EV -11.47%E -2.09%K -2.55%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.52%EV -11.13%E -2.42%K -3.09%G +0.000% | 11.3% | 2026-05-04 17:49 |
| Winamax (FR) | 1.40I 71.43%NM 64.02%EV -9.58%E -6.85%K -23.96%G +0.000% | 5.30I 18.87%NM 16.91%EV -14.69%E -2.77%K -3.42%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 19.07%EV -9.19%E -1.96%K -2.48%G +0.000% | 11.6% | 2026-05-04 17:49 |
| 888sport | 1.40I 71.43%NM 63.58%EV -9.58%E -6.85%K -23.96%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.18%EV -11.47%E -2.09%K -2.55%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.23%EV -14.99%E -3.41%K -4.41%G +0.000% | 12.3% | 2026-05-04 17:55 |
| William Hill | 1.40I 71.43%NM 63.58%EV -9.58%E -6.85%K -23.96%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.18%EV -11.47%E -2.09%K -2.55%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.23%EV -14.99%E -3.41%K -4.41%G +0.000% | 12.3% | 2026-05-04 17:55 |
| 888sport (SE) | 1.40I 71.43%NM 63.58%EV -9.58%E -6.85%K -23.96%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.18%EV -11.47%E -2.09%K -2.55%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.23%EV -14.99%E -3.41%K -4.41%G +0.000% | 12.3% | 2026-05-04 17:55 |
| Mr Green (SE) | 1.40I 71.43%NM 63.58%EV -9.58%E -6.85%K -23.96%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.18%EV -11.47%E -2.09%K -2.55%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.23%EV -14.99%E -3.41%K -4.41%G +0.000% | 12.3% | 2026-05-04 17:55 |
| Sky Bet | 1.40I 71.43%NM 63.38%EV -9.58%E -6.85%K -23.96%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.13%EV -11.47%E -2.09%K -2.55%G +0.000% | 4.33I 23.09%NM 20.49%EV -16.34%E -3.77%K -4.91%G +0.000% | 12.7% | 2026-05-04 17:49 |
| PMU (FR) | 1.40I 71.43%NM 62.95%EV -9.58%E -6.85%K -23.96%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 16.79%EV -15.49%E -2.95%K -3.65%G +0.000% | 4.35I 22.99%NM 20.26%EV -15.96%E -3.67%K -4.76%G +0.000% | 13.5% | 2026-05-04 17:55 |
| BoyleSports | 1.40I 71.43%NM 62.85%EV -9.58%E -6.85%K -23.96%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 17.60%EV -19.52%E -3.90%K -4.88%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 19.55%EV -13.06%E -2.90%K -3.73%G +0.000% | 13.7% | 2026-05-04 17:40 |
| Betclic (FR) | 1.39I 71.94%NM 65.57%EV -10.23%E -7.36%K -26.23%G +0.000% | 5.90I 16.95%NM 15.45%EV -5.03%E -0.853%K -1.03%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 18.99%EV -7.26%E -1.51%K -1.91%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-05-04 17:50 |
| Paddy Power | 1.36I 73.53%NM 64.54%EV -12.17%E -8.95%K -33.80%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 15.96%EV -11.47%E -2.09%K -2.55%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 19.50%EV -13.06%E -2.90%K -3.73%G +0.000% | 13.9% | 2026-05-04 17:49 |
| Unibet (FR) | 1.36I 73.53%NM 63.72%EV -12.17%E -8.95%K -33.80%G +0.000% | 5.30I 18.87%NM 16.35%EV -14.69%E -2.77%K -3.42%G +0.000% | 4.35I 22.99%NM 19.92%EV -15.96%E -3.67%K -4.76%G +0.000% | 15.4% | 2026-05-04 17:49 |
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu
Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.
Plateformes d’échange (5)
| Opérateur | Local | Visiteur | Match nul | Marge ▲ | Mise à jour |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 1.49I 67.11%NM 66.66% | 6.80I 14.71%NM 14.61% | 5.30I 18.87%NM 18.74% | 0.7% | 2026-05-04 17:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 1.49I 67.11%NM 66.66% | 6.80I 14.71%NM 14.61% | 5.30I 18.87%NM 18.74% | 0.7% | 2026-05-04 17:55 |
| Kalshi | 1.47I 68.03%NM 67.35% | 6.67I 14.99%NM 14.84% | 5.56I 17.99%NM 17.81% | 1.0% | 2026-05-04 17:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 1.49I 67.11%NM 66.42% | 6.80I 14.71%NM 14.55% | 5.20I 19.23%NM 19.03% | 1.1% | 2026-05-04 17:50 |
| Smarkets | 1.48I 67.57%NM 66.57% | 6.80I 14.71%NM 14.49% | 5.20I 19.23%NM 18.95% | 1.5% | 2026-05-04 17:55 |