Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Al-Ettifaq v Al-Khaleej

2026-10-10 14:55 UTC — Saudi Pro League

Head to Head

25 sportsbooks (4 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Al-Ettifaq (Local)

Prediction 46.38%2.16fair odd
EV -2.59%
Edge -1.24%
Kelly -2.36%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.10

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
42.71%46.55%46.38%47.76%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.831.991.992.1054.64%50.35%50.25%47.62%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Al-Khaleej (Visit)

Prediction 27.41%3.65fair odd
EV -3.52%
Edge -0.999%
Kelly -1.40%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 3.52

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
26.59%27.27%27.41%31.17%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.853.093.103.5235.09%32.35%32.26%28.41%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Draw

Prediction 26.21%3.82fair odd
EV -4.35%
Edge -1.19%
Kelly -1.64%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 3.65

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
24.95%26.18%26.21%26.83%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.303.443.453.6530.30%29.04%28.99%27.40%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

For Head to Head, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimates these probabilities: Al-Ettifaq (Local): 46.38%; Al-Khaleej (Visit): 27.41%; Draw: 26.21%. For Al-Ettifaq (Local), that estimate is equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.16. No eligible bookmaker offers odds above that level: the best available odds are 2.10, with an expected value of -2.59%; they do not produce positive expected value.

Sportsbook Odds (25 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitDrawMarginUpdated
Unibet🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 43.03%EV -2.59%E -1.24%K -2.36%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.16%EV -20.51%E -7.07%K -10.80%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.82%EV -8.28%E -2.36%K -3.31%G +0.000%10.7%2026-10-03 17:30
Unibet (NL)🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 43.03%EV -2.59%E -1.24%K -2.36%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.16%EV -20.51%E -7.07%K -10.80%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.82%EV -8.28%E -2.36%K -3.31%G +0.000%10.7%2026-10-03 17:30
Grosvenor🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 43.03%EV -2.59%E -1.24%K -2.36%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.16%EV -20.51%E -7.07%K -10.80%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.82%EV -8.28%E -2.36%K -3.31%G +0.000%10.7%2026-10-03 17:30
Unibet (SE)🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 43.03%EV -2.59%E -1.24%K -2.36%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.16%EV -20.51%E -7.07%K -10.80%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.82%EV -8.28%E -2.36%K -3.31%G +0.000%10.7%2026-10-03 17:30
Svenska Spel🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 43.03%EV -2.59%E -1.24%K -2.36%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.16%EV -20.51%E -7.07%K -10.80%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.82%EV -8.28%E -2.36%K -3.31%G +0.000%10.7%2026-10-03 17:30
ATG (SE)🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 43.03%EV -2.59%E -1.24%K -2.36%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.16%EV -20.51%E -7.07%K -10.80%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.82%EV -8.28%E -2.36%K -3.31%G +0.000%10.7%2026-10-03 17:30
Virgin Bet🎯2.08I 48.08%NM 42.71%EV -3.52%E -1.69%K -3.26%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 31.17%EV -21.88%E -7.68%K -11.83%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.13%EV -10.90%E -3.20%K -4.54%G +0.000%12.6%2026-10-03 17:30
LiveScore Bet🎯2.08I 48.08%NM 42.71%EV -3.52%E -1.69%K -3.26%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 31.17%EV -21.88%E -7.68%K -11.83%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.13%EV -10.90%E -3.20%K -4.54%G +0.000%12.6%2026-10-03 17:30
LeoVegas (SE)🎯2.06I 48.54%NM 42.94%EV -4.45%E -2.16%K -4.20%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 31.04%EV -21.88%E -7.68%K -11.83%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.02%EV -10.90%E -3.20%K -4.54%G +0.000%13.0%2026-10-03 17:30
Unibet (UK)🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 45.92%EV -7.23%E -3.62%K -7.23%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.83%EV -9.55%E -2.89%K -4.15%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.24%EV -8.28%E -2.36%K -3.31%G +0.000%8.9%2026-10-03 17:19
betfred_uk🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 45.86%EV -7.23%E -3.62%K -7.23%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.66%EV -12.29%E -3.84%K -5.59%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.48%EV -5.66%E -1.57%K -2.18%G +0.000%9.0%2026-10-03 17:15
SportsBet🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 45.86%EV -7.23%E -3.62%K -7.23%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.66%EV -12.29%E -3.84%K -5.59%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.48%EV -5.66%E -1.57%K -2.18%G +0.000%9.0%2026-10-03 17:15
1xBet🎯1.99I 50.25%NM 47.02%EV -7.70%E -3.87%K -7.77%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.12%EV -5.44%E -1.58%K -2.22%G +0.000%3.62I 27.62%NM 25.85%EV -5.13%E -1.42%K -1.96%G +0.000%6.9%2026-10-03 16:18
Pinnacle🎯1.96I 51.02%NM 47.76%EV -9.09%E -4.64%K -9.47%G +0.000%3.52I 28.41%NM 26.59%EV -3.52%E -0.999%K -1.40%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.65%EV -4.35%E -1.19%K -1.64%G +0.000%6.8%2026-10-03 16:50
Paddy Power🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 46.07%EV -9.55%E -4.90%K -10.05%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.98%EV -15.03%E -4.85%K -7.16%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.95%EV -5.66%E -1.57%K -2.18%G +0.000%11.3%2026-10-03 17:14
Sky Bet🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 44.62%EV -9.55%E -4.90%K -10.05%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.01%EV -17.77%E -5.92%K -8.89%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.37%EV -13.52%E -4.10%K -5.88%G +0.000%14.9%2026-10-03 17:30
Winamax (DE)🎯1.92I 52.08%NM 45.75%EV -10.94%E -5.70%K -11.90%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 28.80%EV -16.40%E -5.38%K -8.00%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 25.46%EV -9.59%E -2.78%K -3.91%G +0.000%13.9%2026-10-03 17:20
888sport🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 46.35%EV -11.41%E -5.97%K -12.54%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.83%EV -9.55%E -2.89%K -4.15%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.83%EV -13.52%E -4.10%K -5.88%G +0.000%13.0%2026-10-03 17:05
888sport (SE)🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 46.35%EV -11.41%E -5.97%K -12.54%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.83%EV -9.55%E -2.89%K -4.15%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.83%EV -13.52%E -4.10%K -5.88%G +0.000%13.0%2026-10-03 17:05
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 46.35%EV -11.41%E -5.97%K -12.54%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.83%EV -9.55%E -2.89%K -4.15%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.83%EV -13.52%E -4.10%K -5.88%G +0.000%13.0%2026-10-03 17:05
William Hill🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 46.35%EV -11.41%E -5.97%K -12.54%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.83%EV -9.55%E -2.89%K -4.15%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.83%EV -13.52%E -4.10%K -5.88%G +0.000%13.0%2026-10-03 17:10
Betclic (FR)🎯1.90I 52.63%NM 46.15%EV -11.87%E -6.25%K -13.19%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 27.83%EV -13.66%E -4.34%K -6.35%G +0.000%3.37I 29.67%NM 26.02%EV -11.68%E -3.47%K -4.93%G +0.000%14.1%2026-10-03 17:25
Winamax (FR)🎯1.86I 53.76%NM 45.58%EV -13.73%E -7.38%K -15.96%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 28.74%EV -19.14%E -6.49%K -9.82%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 25.69%EV -13.52%E -4.10%K -5.88%G +0.000%18.0%2026-10-03 17:20
BoyleSports🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 46.98%EV -15.12%E -8.26%K -18.21%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 27.73%EV -15.03%E -4.85%K -7.16%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 25.29%EV -10.90%E -3.20%K -4.54%G +0.000%16.3%2026-10-03 16:50
Unibet (FR)🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 46.62%EV -15.12%E -8.26%K -18.21%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 27.52%EV -15.03%E -4.85%K -7.16%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 25.85%EV -13.52%E -4.10%K -5.88%G +0.000%17.2%2026-10-03 17:20
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (2)

BookmakerLocalVisitDrawMargin ▲Updated
Kalshi◎2.00I 50.00%NM 46.70%3.33I 30.03%NM 28.05%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.25%7.1%2026-10-03 19:55
Smarkets◎1.90I 52.63%NM 44.90%3.00I 33.33%NM 28.44%3.20I 31.25%NM 26.66%17.2%2026-10-03 17:20