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Al-Ettifaq v Al-Hilal

2026-11-07 14:30 UTC — Saudi Pro League

Head to Head

20 sportsbooks (4 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Al-Ettifaq (Local)

Prediction 9.36%10.68fair odd
EV +15.17%
Edge +1.23%
Kelly +1.34%
Growth +0.204%

assuming max odds 12.30

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
7.62%9.39%9.36%10.17%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
8.1010.1510.2512.3012.35%9.85%9.76%8.13%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Al-Hilal (Visit)

Prediction 76.38%1.31fair odd
EV -9.10%
Edge -7.65%
Kelly -47.92%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.19

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
74.86%76.47%76.38%80.12%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.101.171.181.1990.91%85.32%84.75%84.03%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Draw

Prediction 14.25%7.02fair odd
EV +9.04%
Edge +1.18%
Kelly +1.36%
Growth +0.123%

assuming max odds 7.65

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
12.25%14.14%14.25%14.97%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
5.506.376.457.6518.18%15.70%15.50%13.07%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

For Head to Head, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimates these probabilities: Al-Ettifaq (Local): 9.36%; Al-Hilal (Visit): 76.38%; Draw: 14.25%. For Al-Ettifaq (Local), that estimate is equivalent to fair decimal odds of 10.68. 1 bookmaker offers odds above that level; the best available odds are 12.30, producing a positive expected value of +15.17%.

Sportsbook Odds (20 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitDrawMarginUpdated
1xBet🎯12.30I 8.13%NM 7.62%EV +15.17%E +1.23%K +1.34%G +0.204%1.17I 85.47%NM 80.12%EV -10.63%E -9.09%K -62.54%G +0.000%7.65I 13.07%NM 12.25%EV +9.04%E +1.18%K +1.36%G +0.123%6.7%2026-10-31 19:00
Unibet🎯10.50I 9.52%NM 8.74%EV -1.69%E -0.161%K -0.178%G +0.000%1.19I 84.03%NM 77.14%EV -9.10%E -7.65%K -47.92%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.12%EV -7.35%E -1.13%K -1.34%G +0.000%8.9%2026-10-31 14:50
Unibet (SE)🎯10.50I 9.52%NM 8.74%EV -1.69%E -0.161%K -0.178%G +0.000%1.19I 84.03%NM 77.14%EV -9.10%E -7.65%K -47.92%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.12%EV -7.35%E -1.13%K -1.34%G +0.000%8.9%2026-10-31 14:50
Unibet (NL)🎯10.50I 9.52%NM 8.74%EV -1.69%E -0.161%K -0.178%G +0.000%1.19I 84.03%NM 77.14%EV -9.10%E -7.65%K -47.92%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.12%EV -7.35%E -1.13%K -1.34%G +0.000%8.9%2026-10-31 14:50
Grosvenor🎯10.50I 9.52%NM 8.74%EV -1.69%E -0.161%K -0.178%G +0.000%1.19I 84.03%NM 77.14%EV -9.10%E -7.65%K -47.92%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.12%EV -7.35%E -1.13%K -1.34%G +0.000%8.9%2026-10-31 14:50
Svenska Spel🎯10.50I 9.52%NM 8.74%EV -1.69%E -0.161%K -0.178%G +0.000%1.19I 84.03%NM 77.14%EV -9.10%E -7.65%K -47.92%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.12%EV -7.35%E -1.13%K -1.34%G +0.000%8.9%2026-10-31 14:50
ATG (SE)🎯10.50I 9.52%NM 8.74%EV -1.69%E -0.161%K -0.178%G +0.000%1.19I 84.03%NM 77.14%EV -9.10%E -7.65%K -47.92%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.12%EV -7.35%E -1.13%K -1.34%G +0.000%8.9%2026-10-31 14:50
Unibet (UK)🎯10.50I 9.52%NM 8.74%EV -1.69%E -0.161%K -0.178%G +0.000%1.19I 84.03%NM 77.14%EV -9.10%E -7.65%K -47.92%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.12%EV -7.35%E -1.13%K -1.34%G +0.000%8.9%2026-10-31 18:30
LiveScore Bet🎯10.50I 9.52%NM 8.55%EV -1.69%E -0.161%K -0.178%G +0.000%1.16I 86.21%NM 77.42%EV -11.40%E -9.82%K -71.22%G +0.000%6.40I 15.63%NM 14.03%EV -8.78%E -1.37%K -1.63%G +0.000%11.4%2026-10-31 14:50
Virgin Bet🎯10.50I 9.52%NM 8.55%EV -1.69%E -0.161%K -0.178%G +0.000%1.16I 86.21%NM 77.42%EV -11.40%E -9.82%K -71.22%G +0.000%6.40I 15.63%NM 14.03%EV -8.78%E -1.37%K -1.63%G +0.000%11.4%2026-10-31 14:50
betfred_uk🎯10.00I 10.00%NM 9.08%EV -6.37%E -0.637%K -0.708%G +0.000%1.18I 84.75%NM 76.95%EV -9.87%E -8.36%K -54.82%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 13.97%EV -7.35%E -1.13%K -1.34%G +0.000%10.1%2026-10-31 18:40
888sport🎯10.00I 10.00%NM 8.98%EV -6.37%E -0.637%K -0.708%G +0.000%1.18I 84.75%NM 76.06%EV -9.87%E -8.36%K -54.82%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 14.96%EV -14.48%E -2.41%K -2.90%G +0.000%11.4%2026-10-31 19:15
William Hill🎯10.00I 10.00%NM 8.98%EV -6.37%E -0.637%K -0.708%G +0.000%1.18I 84.75%NM 76.06%EV -9.87%E -8.36%K -54.82%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 14.96%EV -14.48%E -2.41%K -2.90%G +0.000%11.4%2026-10-31 19:15
888sport (SE)🎯10.00I 10.00%NM 8.98%EV -6.37%E -0.637%K -0.708%G +0.000%1.18I 84.75%NM 76.06%EV -9.87%E -8.36%K -54.82%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 14.96%EV -14.48%E -2.41%K -2.90%G +0.000%11.4%2026-10-31 19:15
Mr Green (SE)🎯10.00I 10.00%NM 8.98%EV -6.37%E -0.637%K -0.708%G +0.000%1.18I 84.75%NM 76.06%EV -9.87%E -8.36%K -54.82%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 14.96%EV -14.48%E -2.41%K -2.90%G +0.000%11.4%2026-10-31 19:15
LeoVegas (SE)🎯10.00I 10.00%NM 8.85%EV -6.37%E -0.637%K -0.708%G +0.000%1.15I 86.96%NM 76.98%EV -12.16%E -10.57%K -81.06%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 14.16%EV -10.91%E -1.75%K -2.08%G +0.000%13.0%2026-10-31 14:50
PMU (FR)🎯10.00I 10.00%NM 8.64%EV -6.37%E -0.637%K -0.708%G +0.000%1.12I 89.29%NM 77.18%EV -14.45%E -12.90%K -120.42%G +0.000%6.10I 16.39%NM 14.17%EV -13.05%E -2.14%K -2.56%G +0.000%15.7%2026-10-31 14:50
Pinnacle🎯9.09I 11.00%NM 10.06%EV -14.89%E -1.64%K -1.84%G +0.000%1.19I 84.03%NM 76.87%EV -9.10%E -7.65%K -47.92%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.07%EV -0.225%E -0.032%K -0.037%G +0.000%9.3%2026-10-31 18:40
Betclic (FR)🎯9.00I 11.11%NM 9.77%EV -15.73%E -1.75%K -1.97%G +0.000%1.16I 86.21%NM 75.81%EV -11.40%E -9.82%K -71.22%G +0.000%6.10I 16.39%NM 14.42%EV -13.05%E -2.14%K -2.56%G +0.000%13.7%2026-10-31 18:45
Unibet (FR)🎯8.10I 12.35%NM 10.17%EV -24.16%E -2.98%K -3.40%G +0.000%1.10I 90.91%NM 74.86%EV -15.98%E -14.53%K -159.79%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 14.97%EV -21.61%E -3.93%K -4.80%G +0.000%21.4%2026-10-31 18:40
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (1)

BookmakerLocalVisitDrawMargin ▲Updated
Kalshi◎2.04I 49.02%NM 26.37%1.27I 78.74%NM 42.36%1.72I 58.14%NM 31.27%85.9%2026-10-31 19:15