Language:English
Al-Ettifaq v Al-Faisaly KSA FC
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Al-Ettifaq (Local)
Prediction 50.50%1.98fair odd
EV -3.55%
Edge -1.86%
Kelly -3.90%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.91
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
47.57%50.46%50.38%52.70%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.731.841.851.9157.80%54.43%54.20%52.36%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Al-Faisaly KSA FC (Visit)
Prediction 25.46%3.93fair odd
EV +7.43%
Edge +1.76%
Kelly +2.31%
Growth +0.171%
assuming max odds 4.22
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
23.00%25.29%25.57%26.98%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.203.533.454.2231.25%28.34%28.99%23.70%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Draw
Prediction 24.04%4.16fair odd
EV -2.38%
Edge -0.587%
Kelly -0.778%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 4.06
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
23.41%24.25%24.05%26.09%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.403.623.554.0629.41%27.66%28.17%24.63%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Al-Ettifaq (Local): 50.50%; Al-Faisaly KSA FC (Visit): 25.46%; Draw: 24.04%. For Al-Faisaly KSA FC (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 3.93. 1 bookmaker offered closing odds above that level; the best were 4.22, corresponding to a positive expected value of +7.43%.
Sportsbook Odds (30 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit ▼ | Draw | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.86I 53.76%NM 52.18%EV -6.07%E -3.26%K -7.06%G +0.000% | 4.22I 23.70%NM 23.00%EV +7.43%E +1.76%K +2.31%G +0.171% | 3.91I 25.58%NM 24.82%EV -5.99%E -1.53%K -2.06%G +0.000% | 3.0% | 2026-09-08 15:25 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 52.70%EV -11.63%E -6.64%K -15.50%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.65%EV -0.715%E -0.183%K -0.247%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.65%EV -6.23%E -1.60%K -2.15%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-09-08 15:25 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.81I 55.25%NM 50.88%EV -8.60%E -4.75%K -10.61%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.23%EV -3.26%E -0.858%K -1.16%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.89%EV -11.04%E -2.98%K -4.09%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-09-08 15:20 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 50.51%EV -9.10%E -5.06%K -11.38%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.24%EV -4.53%E -1.21%K -1.65%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.25%EV -13.44%E -3.73%K -5.17%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-09-08 15:20 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 50.51%EV -9.10%E -5.06%K -11.38%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.24%EV -4.53%E -1.21%K -1.65%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.25%EV -13.44%E -3.73%K -5.17%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-09-08 15:20 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 49.37%EV -3.55%E -1.86%K -3.90%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.49%EV -5.81%E -1.57%K -2.15%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.15%EV -9.84%E -2.62%K -3.58%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-09-08 15:10 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 49.37%EV -3.55%E -1.86%K -3.90%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.49%EV -5.81%E -1.57%K -2.15%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.15%EV -9.84%E -2.62%K -3.58%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-09-08 15:10 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 50.17%EV -6.58%E -3.56%K -7.74%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.08%EV -5.81%E -1.57%K -2.15%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.75%EV -9.84%E -2.62%K -3.58%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-09-08 15:14 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.87I 53.48%NM 50.83%EV -5.57%E -2.98%K -6.40%G +0.000% | 3.69I 27.10%NM 25.76%EV -6.06%E -1.64%K -2.25%G +0.000% | 4.06I 24.63%NM 23.41%EV -2.38%E -0.587%K -0.778%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-09-08 15:15 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 1.78I 56.18%NM 51.06%EV -10.11%E -5.68%K -12.96%G +0.000% | 3.68I 27.17%NM 24.70%EV -6.32%E -1.72%K -2.36%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.24%EV -9.84%E -2.62%K -3.58%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-09-08 15:19 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 50.09%EV -7.59%E -4.15%K -9.14%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.46%EV -8.35%E -2.32%K -3.21%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.44%EV -9.84%E -2.62%K -3.58%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-09-08 15:20 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 49.65%EV -9.10%E -5.06%K -11.38%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 24.82%EV -8.35%E -2.32%K -3.21%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.53%EV -15.85%E -4.53%K -6.34%G +0.000% | 11.9% | 2026-09-08 15:20 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 49.28%EV -9.10%E -5.06%K -11.38%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 24.64%EV -8.35%E -2.32%K -3.21%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.09%EV -18.25%E -5.37%K -7.60%G +0.000% | 12.7% | 2026-09-08 15:25 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 1.82I 54.95%NM 50.21%EV -8.09%E -4.45%K -9.87%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.74%EV -9.63%E -2.71%K -3.77%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.05%EV -8.63%E -2.27%K -3.08%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-09-08 15:15 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 49.80%EV -9.10%E -5.06%K -11.38%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 25.98%EV -12.17%E -3.53%K -4.97%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.22%EV -11.04%E -2.98%K -4.09%G +0.000% | 11.6% | 2026-09-08 15:15 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 1.77I 56.50%NM 49.54%EV -10.62%E -6.00%K -13.79%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 25.41%EV -12.17%E -3.53%K -4.97%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.05%EV -15.85%E -4.53%K -6.34%G +0.000% | 14.1% | 2026-09-08 15:15 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 47.89%EV -6.58%E -3.56%K -7.74%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.06%EV -13.44%E -3.95%K -5.60%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.06%EV -18.25%E -5.37%K -7.60%G +0.000% | 12.9% | 2026-09-08 15:25 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 47.89%EV -6.58%E -3.56%K -7.74%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.06%EV -13.44%E -3.95%K -5.60%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.06%EV -18.25%E -5.37%K -7.60%G +0.000% | 12.9% | 2026-09-08 15:25 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 47.89%EV -6.58%E -3.56%K -7.74%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.06%EV -13.44%E -3.95%K -5.60%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.06%EV -18.25%E -5.37%K -7.60%G +0.000% | 12.9% | 2026-09-08 15:25 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.73I 57.80%NM 50.76%EV -12.64%E -7.30%K -17.31%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 25.83%EV -13.44%E -3.95%K -5.60%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 23.42%EV -9.84%E -2.62%K -3.58%G +0.000% | 13.9% | 2026-09-08 15:25 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.90I 52.63%NM 47.57%EV -4.05%E -2.13%K -4.50%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 26.98%EV -14.72%E -4.39%K -6.26%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.46%EV -14.64%E -4.13%K -5.74%G +0.000% | 10.7% | 2026-09-08 15:20 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.89I 52.91%NM 47.70%EV -4.56%E -2.41%K -5.12%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 26.91%EV -14.72%E -4.39%K -6.26%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.39%EV -14.64%E -4.13%K -5.74%G +0.000% | 10.9% | 2026-09-08 15:20 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.89I 52.91%NM 47.70%EV -4.56%E -2.41%K -5.12%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 26.91%EV -14.72%E -4.39%K -6.26%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.39%EV -14.64%E -4.13%K -5.74%G +0.000% | 10.9% | 2026-09-08 15:20 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.89I 52.91%NM 47.70%EV -4.56%E -2.41%K -5.12%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 26.91%EV -14.72%E -4.39%K -6.26%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.39%EV -14.64%E -4.13%K -5.74%G +0.000% | 10.9% | 2026-09-08 15:20 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.89I 52.91%NM 47.70%EV -4.56%E -2.41%K -5.12%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 26.91%EV -14.72%E -4.39%K -6.26%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.39%EV -14.64%E -4.13%K -5.74%G +0.000% | 10.9% | 2026-09-08 15:20 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.89I 52.91%NM 47.70%EV -4.56%E -2.41%K -5.12%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 26.91%EV -14.72%E -4.39%K -6.26%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.39%EV -14.64%E -4.13%K -5.74%G +0.000% | 10.9% | 2026-09-08 15:20 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 47.87%EV -6.58%E -3.56%K -7.74%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 26.83%EV -15.99%E -4.85%K -6.95%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.30%EV -15.85%E -4.53%K -6.34%G +0.000% | 12.9% | 2026-09-08 14:55 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.84I 54.35%NM 47.63%EV -7.08%E -3.85%K -8.43%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 26.97%EV -17.26%E -5.31%K -7.67%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 25.40%EV -17.05%E -4.94%K -6.96%G +0.000% | 14.1% | 2026-09-08 15:20 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.84I 54.35%NM 47.63%EV -7.08%E -3.85%K -8.43%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 26.97%EV -17.26%E -5.31%K -7.67%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 25.40%EV -17.05%E -4.94%K -6.96%G +0.000% | 14.1% | 2026-09-08 15:20 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 47.80%EV -9.10%E -5.06%K -11.38%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 26.89%EV -18.54%E -5.79%K -8.43%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 25.31%EV -18.25%E -5.37%K -7.60%G +0.000% | 16.2% | 2026-09-08 15:20 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (5)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Draw | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.92I 52.08%NM 51.33% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 24.04% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 24.64% | 1.5% | 2026-09-08 15:20 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.92I 52.08%NM 51.33% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 24.04% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 24.64% | 1.5% | 2026-09-08 15:25 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.92I 52.08%NM 51.33% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 24.04% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 24.64% | 1.5% | 2026-09-08 15:20 |
| Smarkets◎ | 1.91I 52.36%NM 50.99% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 24.35% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 24.66% | 2.7% | 2026-09-08 15:25 |
| Kalshi◎ | 1.92I 52.08%NM 50.54% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 25.20% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 24.26% | 3.1% | 2026-09-08 15:25 |