L’École des cotesFrançais
Al-Ahli v Damac
Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →
Résultat du match
Al-Ahli (Local)
Prévision 79.75%1.25cote équitable
EV -4.30%
Avantage -3.59%
Kelly -21.52%
Croissance +0.000%
avec la cote maximale 1.20
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
78.28%79.87%79.70%82.41%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.111.151.151.2090.09%87.13%86.96%83.33%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Damac (Visiteur)
Prévision 7.29%13.72cote équitable
EV +10.03%
Avantage +0.664%
Kelly +0.711%
Croissance +0.071%
avec la cote maximale 15.10
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
6.28%7.31%7.13%8.50%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
10.5012.5813.0015.109.52%7.95%7.69%6.62%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Match nul
Prévision 12.97%7.71cote équitable
EV +13.97%
Avantage +1.59%
Kelly +1.79%
Croissance +0.250%
avec la cote maximale 8.79
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
11.04%12.81%13.17%14.84%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
6.006.976.838.7916.67%14.36%14.65%11.38%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Cotes des opérateurs (30 opérateurs)
Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.
| Opérateur | Local | Visiteur | Match nul ▼ | Marge | Mise à jour |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet | 1.18I 84.75%NM 82.26%EV -5.90%E -5.00%K -32.77%G +0.000% | 14.50I 6.90%NM 6.69%EV +5.66%E +0.390%K +0.419%G +0.024% | 8.79I 11.38%NM 11.04%EV +13.97%E +1.59%K +1.79%G +0.250% | 3.0% | 2026-04-04 16:14 |
| Pinnacle | 1.15I 86.96%NM 82.41%EV -8.29%E -7.21%K -55.27%G +0.000% | 15.10I 6.62%NM 6.28%EV +10.03%E +0.664%K +0.711%G +0.071% | 8.38I 11.93%NM 11.31%EV +8.65%E +1.03%K +1.17%G +0.101% | 5.5% | 2026-04-04 16:14 |
| Coral | 1.20I 83.33%NM 79.85%EV -4.30%E -3.59%K -21.52%G +0.000% | 13.00I 7.69%NM 7.37%EV -5.27%E -0.405%K -0.439%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.78%EV -2.76%E -0.368%K -0.424%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-04-04 16:14 |
| Ladbrokes (UK) | 1.18I 84.75%NM 79.64%EV -5.90%E -5.00%K -32.77%G +0.000% | 12.00I 8.33%NM 7.83%EV -12.56%E -1.05%K -1.14%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.53%EV -2.76%E -0.368%K -0.424%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-04-04 16:14 |
| Tipico (DE) | 1.13I 88.50%NM 81.21%EV -9.89%E -8.75%K -76.04%G +0.000% | 14.00I 7.14%NM 6.55%EV +2.02%E +0.144%K +0.155%G +0.003% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.24%EV -2.76%E -0.368%K -0.424%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-04-04 16:14 |
| SportsBet | 1.12I 89.29%NM 81.34%EV -10.68%E -9.54%K -89.02%G +0.000% | 14.00I 7.14%NM 6.51%EV +2.02%E +0.144%K +0.155%G +0.003% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.15%EV -2.76%E -0.368%K -0.424%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-04-04 16:14 |
| Paddy Power | 1.11I 90.09%NM 81.08%EV -11.48%E -10.34%K -104.37%G +0.000% | 13.00I 7.69%NM 6.92%EV -5.27%E -0.405%K -0.439%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.00%EV -2.76%E -0.368%K -0.424%G +0.000% | 11.1% | 2026-04-04 16:15 |
| Unibet (UK) | 1.16I 86.21%NM 79.68%EV -7.49%E -6.46%K -46.83%G +0.000% | 13.00I 7.69%NM 7.11%EV -5.27%E -0.405%K -0.439%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.20%EV -9.24%E -1.32%K -1.54%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-04-04 16:14 |
| Winamax (DE) | 1.16I 86.21%NM 78.67%EV -7.49%E -6.46%K -46.83%G +0.000% | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.30%EV -19.84%E -1.80%K -1.98%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.04%EV -9.24%E -1.32%K -1.54%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-04-04 16:14 |
| William Hill | 1.15I 86.96%NM 78.81%EV -8.29%E -7.21%K -55.27%G +0.000% | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.24%EV -19.84%E -1.80%K -1.98%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 12.95%EV -9.24%E -1.32%K -1.54%G +0.000% | 10.3% | 2026-04-04 16:13 |
| 888sport | 1.15I 86.96%NM 78.81%EV -8.29%E -7.21%K -55.27%G +0.000% | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.24%EV -19.84%E -1.80%K -1.98%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 12.95%EV -9.24%E -1.32%K -1.54%G +0.000% | 10.3% | 2026-04-04 16:14 |
| Mr Green (SE) | 1.15I 86.96%NM 78.81%EV -8.29%E -7.21%K -55.27%G +0.000% | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.24%EV -19.84%E -1.80%K -1.98%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 12.95%EV -9.24%E -1.32%K -1.54%G +0.000% | 10.3% | 2026-04-04 16:14 |
| 888sport (SE) | 1.15I 86.96%NM 78.81%EV -8.29%E -7.21%K -55.27%G +0.000% | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.24%EV -19.84%E -1.80%K -1.98%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 12.95%EV -9.24%E -1.32%K -1.54%G +0.000% | 10.3% | 2026-04-04 16:14 |
| Sky Bet | 1.13I 88.50%NM 79.10%EV -9.89%E -8.75%K -76.04%G +0.000% | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.13%EV -19.84%E -1.80%K -1.98%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 12.77%EV -9.24%E -1.32%K -1.54%G +0.000% | 11.9% | 2026-04-04 16:13 |
| Betclic (FR) | 1.14I 87.72%NM 79.70%EV -9.09%E -7.97%K -64.91%G +0.000% | 12.75I 7.84%NM 7.13%EV -7.09%E -0.556%K -0.604%G +0.000% | 6.90I 14.49%NM 13.17%EV -10.54%E -1.53%K -1.79%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-04-04 16:13 |
| Unibet | 1.16I 86.21%NM 79.30%EV -7.49%E -6.46%K -46.83%G +0.000% | 13.00I 7.69%NM 7.08%EV -5.27%E -0.405%K -0.439%G +0.000% | 6.75I 14.81%NM 13.63%EV -12.48%E -1.85%K -2.17%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-04-04 16:14 |
| Unibet (NL) | 1.16I 86.21%NM 79.30%EV -7.49%E -6.46%K -46.83%G +0.000% | 13.00I 7.69%NM 7.08%EV -5.27%E -0.405%K -0.439%G +0.000% | 6.75I 14.81%NM 13.63%EV -12.48%E -1.85%K -2.17%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-04-04 16:14 |
| Unibet (SE) | 1.16I 86.21%NM 79.30%EV -7.49%E -6.46%K -46.83%G +0.000% | 13.00I 7.69%NM 7.08%EV -5.27%E -0.405%K -0.439%G +0.000% | 6.75I 14.81%NM 13.63%EV -12.48%E -1.85%K -2.17%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-04-04 16:14 |
| Grosvenor | 1.16I 86.21%NM 79.30%EV -7.49%E -6.46%K -46.83%G +0.000% | 13.00I 7.69%NM 7.08%EV -5.27%E -0.405%K -0.439%G +0.000% | 6.75I 14.81%NM 13.63%EV -12.48%E -1.85%K -2.17%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-04-04 16:14 |
| ATG (SE) | 1.16I 86.21%NM 79.30%EV -7.49%E -6.46%K -46.83%G +0.000% | 13.00I 7.69%NM 7.08%EV -5.27%E -0.405%K -0.439%G +0.000% | 6.75I 14.81%NM 13.63%EV -12.48%E -1.85%K -2.17%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-04-04 16:15 |
| Svenska Spel | 1.16I 86.21%NM 79.30%EV -7.49%E -6.46%K -46.83%G +0.000% | 13.00I 7.69%NM 7.08%EV -5.27%E -0.405%K -0.439%G +0.000% | 6.75I 14.81%NM 13.63%EV -12.48%E -1.85%K -2.17%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-04-04 16:15 |
| Winamax (FR) | 1.14I 87.72%NM 78.28%EV -9.09%E -7.97%K -64.91%G +0.000% | 10.50I 9.52%NM 8.50%EV -23.49%E -2.24%K -2.47%G +0.000% | 6.75I 14.81%NM 13.22%EV -12.48%E -1.85%K -2.17%G +0.000% | 12.1% | 2026-04-04 16:14 |
| Unibet (FR) | 1.14I 87.72%NM 78.88%EV -9.09%E -7.97%K -64.91%G +0.000% | 12.00I 8.33%NM 7.49%EV -12.56%E -1.05%K -1.14%G +0.000% | 6.60I 15.15%NM 13.62%EV -14.43%E -2.19%K -2.58%G +0.000% | 11.2% | 2026-04-04 16:14 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 1.15I 86.96%NM 79.03%EV -8.29%E -7.21%K -55.27%G +0.000% | 13.00I 7.69%NM 6.99%EV -5.27%E -0.405%K -0.439%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 13.98%EV -15.72%E -2.42%K -2.86%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-04-04 16:14 |
| LeoVegas | 1.15I 86.96%NM 79.03%EV -8.29%E -7.21%K -55.27%G +0.000% | 13.00I 7.69%NM 6.99%EV -5.27%E -0.405%K -0.439%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 13.98%EV -15.72%E -2.42%K -2.86%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-04-04 16:14 |
| BoyleSports | 1.12I 89.29%NM 79.01%EV -10.68%E -9.54%K -89.02%G +0.000% | 12.00I 8.33%NM 7.37%EV -12.56%E -1.05%K -1.14%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 13.61%EV -15.72%E -2.42%K -2.86%G +0.000% | 13.0% | 2026-04-04 16:15 |
| Virgin Bet | 1.13I 88.50%NM 78.93%EV -9.89%E -8.75%K -76.04%G +0.000% | 12.50I 8.00%NM 7.14%EV -8.91%E -0.713%K -0.775%G +0.000% | 6.40I 15.63%NM 13.94%EV -17.02%E -2.66%K -3.15%G +0.000% | 12.1% | 2026-04-04 16:14 |
| LiveScore Bet | 1.13I 88.50%NM 78.93%EV -9.89%E -8.75%K -76.04%G +0.000% | 12.50I 8.00%NM 7.14%EV -8.91%E -0.713%K -0.775%G +0.000% | 6.40I 15.63%NM 13.94%EV -17.02%E -2.66%K -3.15%G +0.000% | 12.1% | 2026-04-04 16:14 |
| PMU (FR) | 1.12I 89.29%NM 78.81%EV -10.68%E -9.54%K -89.02%G +0.000% | 12.50I 8.00%NM 7.06%EV -8.91%E -0.713%K -0.775%G +0.000% | 6.25I 16.00%NM 14.12%EV -18.96%E -3.03%K -3.61%G +0.000% | 13.3% | 2026-04-04 16:14 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK) | 1.13I 88.50%NM 78.80%EV -9.89%E -8.75%K -76.04%G +0.000% | 14.00I 7.14%NM 6.36%EV +2.02%E +0.144%K +0.155%G +0.003% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 14.84%EV -22.21%E -3.70%K -4.44%G +0.000% | 12.3% | 2026-04-04 16:14 |
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu
Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.
Plateformes d’échange (4)
| Opérateur | Local | Visiteur | Match nul | Marge ▲ | Mise à jour |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 1.18I 84.75%NM 84.01% | 19.00I 5.26%NM 5.22% | 9.20I 10.87%NM 10.77% | 0.9% | 2026-04-04 16:15 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 1.18I 84.75%NM 83.15% | 19.00I 5.26%NM 5.16% | 8.40I 11.90%NM 11.68% | 1.9% | 2026-04-04 16:15 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 1.18I 84.75%NM 83.15% | 19.00I 5.26%NM 5.16% | 8.40I 11.90%NM 11.68% | 1.9% | 2026-04-04 16:15 |
| Smarkets | 1.17I 85.47%NM 82.40% | 16.50I 6.06%NM 5.84% | 8.20I 12.20%NM 11.76% | 3.7% | 2026-04-04 16:15 |