La escuela de los momiosEspañol
Al-Ahli v Damac
Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →
Resultado del partido
Al-Ahli (Local)
Predicción 79.75%1.25momio equitativo
EV -4.30%
Ventaja -3.59%
Kelly -21.52%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.20
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
78.28%79.87%79.70%82.41%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.111.151.151.2090.09%87.13%86.96%83.33%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Damac (Visitante)
Predicción 7.29%13.72momio equitativo
EV +10.03%
Ventaja +0.664%
Kelly +0.711%
Crecimiento +0.071%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 15.10
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
6.28%7.31%7.13%8.50%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
10.5012.5813.0015.109.52%7.95%7.69%6.62%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Empate
Predicción 12.97%7.71momio equitativo
EV +13.97%
Ventaja +1.59%
Kelly +1.79%
Crecimiento +0.250%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 8.79
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
11.04%12.81%13.17%14.84%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
6.006.976.838.7916.67%14.36%14.65%11.38%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Momios de las casas de apuestas (30 corredores)
No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.
| Corredor | Local | Visitante | Empate ▼ | Margen | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet | 1.18I 84.75%NM 82.26%EV -5.90%E -5.00%K -32.77%G +0.000% | 14.50I 6.90%NM 6.69%EV +5.66%E +0.390%K +0.419%G +0.024% | 8.79I 11.38%NM 11.04%EV +13.97%E +1.59%K +1.79%G +0.250% | 3.0% | 2026-04-04 16:14 |
| Pinnacle | 1.15I 86.96%NM 82.41%EV -8.29%E -7.21%K -55.27%G +0.000% | 15.10I 6.62%NM 6.28%EV +10.03%E +0.664%K +0.711%G +0.071% | 8.38I 11.93%NM 11.31%EV +8.65%E +1.03%K +1.17%G +0.101% | 5.5% | 2026-04-04 16:14 |
| Coral | 1.20I 83.33%NM 79.85%EV -4.30%E -3.59%K -21.52%G +0.000% | 13.00I 7.69%NM 7.37%EV -5.27%E -0.405%K -0.439%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.78%EV -2.76%E -0.368%K -0.424%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-04-04 16:14 |
| Ladbrokes (UK) | 1.18I 84.75%NM 79.64%EV -5.90%E -5.00%K -32.77%G +0.000% | 12.00I 8.33%NM 7.83%EV -12.56%E -1.05%K -1.14%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.53%EV -2.76%E -0.368%K -0.424%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-04-04 16:14 |
| Tipico (DE) | 1.13I 88.50%NM 81.21%EV -9.89%E -8.75%K -76.04%G +0.000% | 14.00I 7.14%NM 6.55%EV +2.02%E +0.144%K +0.155%G +0.003% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.24%EV -2.76%E -0.368%K -0.424%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-04-04 16:14 |
| SportsBet | 1.12I 89.29%NM 81.34%EV -10.68%E -9.54%K -89.02%G +0.000% | 14.00I 7.14%NM 6.51%EV +2.02%E +0.144%K +0.155%G +0.003% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.15%EV -2.76%E -0.368%K -0.424%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-04-04 16:14 |
| Paddy Power | 1.11I 90.09%NM 81.08%EV -11.48%E -10.34%K -104.37%G +0.000% | 13.00I 7.69%NM 6.92%EV -5.27%E -0.405%K -0.439%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.00%EV -2.76%E -0.368%K -0.424%G +0.000% | 11.1% | 2026-04-04 16:15 |
| Unibet (UK) | 1.16I 86.21%NM 79.68%EV -7.49%E -6.46%K -46.83%G +0.000% | 13.00I 7.69%NM 7.11%EV -5.27%E -0.405%K -0.439%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.20%EV -9.24%E -1.32%K -1.54%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-04-04 16:14 |
| Winamax (DE) | 1.16I 86.21%NM 78.67%EV -7.49%E -6.46%K -46.83%G +0.000% | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.30%EV -19.84%E -1.80%K -1.98%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.04%EV -9.24%E -1.32%K -1.54%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-04-04 16:14 |
| William Hill | 1.15I 86.96%NM 78.81%EV -8.29%E -7.21%K -55.27%G +0.000% | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.24%EV -19.84%E -1.80%K -1.98%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 12.95%EV -9.24%E -1.32%K -1.54%G +0.000% | 10.3% | 2026-04-04 16:13 |
| 888sport | 1.15I 86.96%NM 78.81%EV -8.29%E -7.21%K -55.27%G +0.000% | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.24%EV -19.84%E -1.80%K -1.98%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 12.95%EV -9.24%E -1.32%K -1.54%G +0.000% | 10.3% | 2026-04-04 16:14 |
| Mr Green (SE) | 1.15I 86.96%NM 78.81%EV -8.29%E -7.21%K -55.27%G +0.000% | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.24%EV -19.84%E -1.80%K -1.98%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 12.95%EV -9.24%E -1.32%K -1.54%G +0.000% | 10.3% | 2026-04-04 16:14 |
| 888sport (SE) | 1.15I 86.96%NM 78.81%EV -8.29%E -7.21%K -55.27%G +0.000% | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.24%EV -19.84%E -1.80%K -1.98%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 12.95%EV -9.24%E -1.32%K -1.54%G +0.000% | 10.3% | 2026-04-04 16:14 |
| Sky Bet | 1.13I 88.50%NM 79.10%EV -9.89%E -8.75%K -76.04%G +0.000% | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.13%EV -19.84%E -1.80%K -1.98%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 12.77%EV -9.24%E -1.32%K -1.54%G +0.000% | 11.9% | 2026-04-04 16:13 |
| Betclic (FR) | 1.14I 87.72%NM 79.70%EV -9.09%E -7.97%K -64.91%G +0.000% | 12.75I 7.84%NM 7.13%EV -7.09%E -0.556%K -0.604%G +0.000% | 6.90I 14.49%NM 13.17%EV -10.54%E -1.53%K -1.79%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-04-04 16:13 |
| Unibet | 1.16I 86.21%NM 79.30%EV -7.49%E -6.46%K -46.83%G +0.000% | 13.00I 7.69%NM 7.08%EV -5.27%E -0.405%K -0.439%G +0.000% | 6.75I 14.81%NM 13.63%EV -12.48%E -1.85%K -2.17%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-04-04 16:14 |
| Unibet (NL) | 1.16I 86.21%NM 79.30%EV -7.49%E -6.46%K -46.83%G +0.000% | 13.00I 7.69%NM 7.08%EV -5.27%E -0.405%K -0.439%G +0.000% | 6.75I 14.81%NM 13.63%EV -12.48%E -1.85%K -2.17%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-04-04 16:14 |
| Unibet (SE) | 1.16I 86.21%NM 79.30%EV -7.49%E -6.46%K -46.83%G +0.000% | 13.00I 7.69%NM 7.08%EV -5.27%E -0.405%K -0.439%G +0.000% | 6.75I 14.81%NM 13.63%EV -12.48%E -1.85%K -2.17%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-04-04 16:14 |
| Grosvenor | 1.16I 86.21%NM 79.30%EV -7.49%E -6.46%K -46.83%G +0.000% | 13.00I 7.69%NM 7.08%EV -5.27%E -0.405%K -0.439%G +0.000% | 6.75I 14.81%NM 13.63%EV -12.48%E -1.85%K -2.17%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-04-04 16:14 |
| ATG (SE) | 1.16I 86.21%NM 79.30%EV -7.49%E -6.46%K -46.83%G +0.000% | 13.00I 7.69%NM 7.08%EV -5.27%E -0.405%K -0.439%G +0.000% | 6.75I 14.81%NM 13.63%EV -12.48%E -1.85%K -2.17%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-04-04 16:15 |
| Svenska Spel | 1.16I 86.21%NM 79.30%EV -7.49%E -6.46%K -46.83%G +0.000% | 13.00I 7.69%NM 7.08%EV -5.27%E -0.405%K -0.439%G +0.000% | 6.75I 14.81%NM 13.63%EV -12.48%E -1.85%K -2.17%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-04-04 16:15 |
| Winamax (FR) | 1.14I 87.72%NM 78.28%EV -9.09%E -7.97%K -64.91%G +0.000% | 10.50I 9.52%NM 8.50%EV -23.49%E -2.24%K -2.47%G +0.000% | 6.75I 14.81%NM 13.22%EV -12.48%E -1.85%K -2.17%G +0.000% | 12.1% | 2026-04-04 16:14 |
| Unibet (FR) | 1.14I 87.72%NM 78.88%EV -9.09%E -7.97%K -64.91%G +0.000% | 12.00I 8.33%NM 7.49%EV -12.56%E -1.05%K -1.14%G +0.000% | 6.60I 15.15%NM 13.62%EV -14.43%E -2.19%K -2.58%G +0.000% | 11.2% | 2026-04-04 16:14 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 1.15I 86.96%NM 79.03%EV -8.29%E -7.21%K -55.27%G +0.000% | 13.00I 7.69%NM 6.99%EV -5.27%E -0.405%K -0.439%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 13.98%EV -15.72%E -2.42%K -2.86%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-04-04 16:14 |
| LeoVegas | 1.15I 86.96%NM 79.03%EV -8.29%E -7.21%K -55.27%G +0.000% | 13.00I 7.69%NM 6.99%EV -5.27%E -0.405%K -0.439%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 13.98%EV -15.72%E -2.42%K -2.86%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-04-04 16:14 |
| BoyleSports | 1.12I 89.29%NM 79.01%EV -10.68%E -9.54%K -89.02%G +0.000% | 12.00I 8.33%NM 7.37%EV -12.56%E -1.05%K -1.14%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 13.61%EV -15.72%E -2.42%K -2.86%G +0.000% | 13.0% | 2026-04-04 16:15 |
| Virgin Bet | 1.13I 88.50%NM 78.93%EV -9.89%E -8.75%K -76.04%G +0.000% | 12.50I 8.00%NM 7.14%EV -8.91%E -0.713%K -0.775%G +0.000% | 6.40I 15.63%NM 13.94%EV -17.02%E -2.66%K -3.15%G +0.000% | 12.1% | 2026-04-04 16:14 |
| LiveScore Bet | 1.13I 88.50%NM 78.93%EV -9.89%E -8.75%K -76.04%G +0.000% | 12.50I 8.00%NM 7.14%EV -8.91%E -0.713%K -0.775%G +0.000% | 6.40I 15.63%NM 13.94%EV -17.02%E -2.66%K -3.15%G +0.000% | 12.1% | 2026-04-04 16:14 |
| PMU (FR) | 1.12I 89.29%NM 78.81%EV -10.68%E -9.54%K -89.02%G +0.000% | 12.50I 8.00%NM 7.06%EV -8.91%E -0.713%K -0.775%G +0.000% | 6.25I 16.00%NM 14.12%EV -18.96%E -3.03%K -3.61%G +0.000% | 13.3% | 2026-04-04 16:14 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK) | 1.13I 88.50%NM 78.80%EV -9.89%E -8.75%K -76.04%G +0.000% | 14.00I 7.14%NM 6.36%EV +2.02%E +0.144%K +0.155%G +0.003% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 14.84%EV -22.21%E -3.70%K -4.44%G +0.000% | 12.3% | 2026-04-04 16:14 |
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas
Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.
Bolsas de apuestas (4)
| Corredor | Local | Visitante | Empate | Margen ▲ | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 1.18I 84.75%NM 84.01% | 19.00I 5.26%NM 5.22% | 9.20I 10.87%NM 10.77% | 0.9% | 2026-04-04 16:15 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 1.18I 84.75%NM 83.15% | 19.00I 5.26%NM 5.16% | 8.40I 11.90%NM 11.68% | 1.9% | 2026-04-04 16:15 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 1.18I 84.75%NM 83.15% | 19.00I 5.26%NM 5.16% | 8.40I 11.90%NM 11.68% | 1.9% | 2026-04-04 16:15 |
| Smarkets | 1.17I 85.47%NM 82.40% | 16.50I 6.06%NM 5.84% | 8.20I 12.20%NM 11.76% | 3.7% | 2026-04-04 16:15 |