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預設模型四分位數間平均值 (精選名單)
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Al-Ahli v Al-Hazem

開賽時間： 2026-09-11 18:00 UTC

最終賽果： Al-Ahli 3–1 Al-Hazem

收盤賠率 — 在所選模型下，根據開賽前最後記錄的價格計算所得的機率與期望值。賽事已經開始，因此這些並非即時數據。 以所有已結算賽事的實際結果評估各模型機率預測的可靠度 →

獨贏

30 家博彩公司 (7 家納入分析 )

模型估計的各結果發生機率：四分位數間平均值 (精選名單)

Al-Ahli (主隊)

預測 71.13%1.41公平賠率
EV -5.40%
優勢 -4.06%
Kelly -16.36%
成長率 +0.000%

假設最高賠率為 1.33

博彩公司預測分布
69.68%71.36%70.94%73.99%最小值平均值中位數最大值
賠率分布
1.231.281.281.3381.30%78.37%78.13%75.19%最小值平均值中位數最大值

Al-Hazem (客隊)

預測 11.50%8.70公平賠率
EV +9.25%
優勢 +0.974%
Kelly +1.09%
成長率 +0.101%

假設最高賠率為 9.50

博彩公司預測分布
9.68%11.45%11.53%12.90%最小值平均值中位數最大值
賠率分布
6.757.957.509.5014.81%12.59%13.33%10.53%最小值平均值中位數最大值

和局

預測 17.37%5.76公平賠率
EV +5.96%
優勢 +0.977%
Kelly +1.17%
成長率 +0.070%

假設最高賠率為 6.10

博彩公司預測分布
15.28%17.19%17.53%18.38%最小值平均值中位數最大值
賠率分布
4.755.145.006.1021.05%19.44%20.00%16.39%最小值平均值中位數最大值

依開賽前最後一組賠率，四分位數間平均值 (精選名單)對獨贏的機率估計為：Al-Ahli (主隊)：71.13%；Al-Hazem (客隊)：11.50%；和局：17.37%。 對於「Al-Hazem (客隊)」，該估計相當於8.70的公平十進位賠率。 當時有6家博彩公司提供高於該水準的收盤賠率；最佳賠率為9.50，對應+9.25%的正期望值。

博彩公司賠率 (30 家博彩公司)

本站與任何博彩公司均無關聯，也不會從使用者與其進行的任何操作中獲利。

博彩公司主隊客隊 ▼和局利潤率更新時間
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯1.29I 77.52%NM 72.97%EV -8.24%E -6.39%K -28.43%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 9.91%EV +9.25%E +0.974%K +1.09%G +0.101%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.12%EV -4.46%E -0.811%K -0.991%G +0.000%6.2%2026-09-09 13:20
Tipico (DE)🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 73.59%EV -11.09%E -8.87%K -44.36%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 9.68%EV +9.25%E +0.974%K +1.09%G +0.101%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.73%EV -4.46%E -0.811%K -0.991%G +0.000%8.7%2026-09-09 12:40
Coral🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 71.96%EV -5.40%E -4.06%K -16.36%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.63%EV +3.50%E +0.389%K +0.438%G +0.015%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.40%EV -4.46%E -0.811%K -0.991%G +0.000%4.5%2026-09-09 12:45
SportsBet🎯1.27I 78.74%NM 72.43%EV -9.67%E -7.61%K -35.80%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.22%EV +3.50%E +0.389%K +0.438%G +0.015%5.30I 18.87%NM 17.35%EV -7.93%E -1.50%K -1.85%G +0.000%8.7%2026-09-09 13:25
Paddy Power🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 72.00%EV -11.09%E -8.87%K -44.36%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.00%EV +3.50%E +0.389%K +0.438%G +0.015%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.00%EV -13.15%E -2.63%K -3.29%G +0.000%11.1%2026-09-09 13:21
1xBet🎯1.26I 79.37%NM 73.99%EV -10.38%E -8.24%K -39.91%G +0.000%8.90I 11.24%NM 10.47%EV +2.35%E +0.264%K +0.298%G +0.007%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.54%EV +4.23%E +0.704%K +0.845%G +0.036%7.3%2026-09-09 15:55
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 71.98%EV -7.53%E -5.79%K -25.11%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 11.01%EV -2.25%E -0.264%K -0.300%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.01%EV -4.46%E -0.811%K -0.991%G +0.000%6.9%2026-09-09 12:45
Unibet (UK)🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 71.40%EV -7.53%E -5.79%K -25.11%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 10.92%EV -2.25%E -0.264%K -0.300%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.68%EV -8.80%E -1.68%K -2.07%G +0.000%7.7%2026-09-09 12:16
betfred_uk🎯1.29I 77.52%NM 70.93%EV -8.24%E -6.39%K -28.43%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 10.77%EV -2.25%E -0.264%K -0.300%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.30%EV -13.15%E -2.63%K -3.29%G +0.000%9.3%2026-09-09 17:10
Pinnacle🎯1.27I 78.74%NM 73.37%EV -9.67%E -7.61%K -35.80%G +0.000%8.21I 12.18%NM 11.35%EV -5.58%E -0.680%K -0.774%G +0.000%6.10I 16.39%NM 15.28%EV +5.96%E +0.977%K +1.17%G +0.070%7.3%2026-09-08 19:35
Sky Bet🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 70.59%EV -11.09%E -8.87%K -44.36%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.03%EV -8.00%E -1.000%K -1.14%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 18.38%EV -16.62%E -3.46%K -4.37%G +0.000%13.3%2026-09-09 13:25
Betclic (FR)🎯1.26I 79.37%NM 70.94%EV -10.38%E -8.24%K -39.91%G +0.000%7.75I 12.90%NM 11.53%EV -10.87%E -1.40%K -1.61%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 17.53%EV -11.41%E -2.24%K -2.78%G +0.000%11.9%2026-09-09 12:13
Unibet🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 69.77%EV -7.53%E -5.79%K -25.11%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.09%EV -13.75%E -1.83%K -2.12%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.14%EV -13.15%E -2.63%K -3.29%G +0.000%10.3%2026-09-08 20:55
Unibet (SE)🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 69.77%EV -7.53%E -5.79%K -25.11%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.09%EV -13.75%E -1.83%K -2.12%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.14%EV -13.15%E -2.63%K -3.29%G +0.000%10.3%2026-09-08 20:55
Grosvenor🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 69.77%EV -7.53%E -5.79%K -25.11%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.09%EV -13.75%E -1.83%K -2.12%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.14%EV -13.15%E -2.63%K -3.29%G +0.000%10.3%2026-09-08 20:55
Unibet (NL)🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 69.77%EV -7.53%E -5.79%K -25.11%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.09%EV -13.75%E -1.83%K -2.12%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.14%EV -13.15%E -2.63%K -3.29%G +0.000%10.3%2026-09-08 20:55
ATG (SE)🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 69.77%EV -7.53%E -5.79%K -25.11%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.09%EV -13.75%E -1.83%K -2.12%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.14%EV -13.15%E -2.63%K -3.29%G +0.000%10.3%2026-09-08 20:55
Svenska Spel🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 69.77%EV -7.53%E -5.79%K -25.11%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.09%EV -13.75%E -1.83%K -2.12%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.14%EV -13.15%E -2.63%K -3.29%G +0.000%10.3%2026-09-08 20:54
888sport🎯1.29I 77.52%NM 69.93%EV -8.24%E -6.39%K -28.43%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.03%EV -13.75%E -1.83%K -2.12%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.04%EV -13.15%E -2.63%K -3.29%G +0.000%10.9%2026-09-09 12:45
William Hill🎯1.29I 77.52%NM 69.93%EV -8.24%E -6.39%K -28.43%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.03%EV -13.75%E -1.83%K -2.12%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.04%EV -13.15%E -2.63%K -3.29%G +0.000%10.9%2026-09-09 12:45
888sport (SE)🎯1.29I 77.52%NM 69.93%EV -8.24%E -6.39%K -28.43%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.03%EV -13.75%E -1.83%K -2.12%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.04%EV -13.15%E -2.63%K -3.29%G +0.000%10.9%2026-09-09 12:45
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.29I 77.52%NM 69.93%EV -8.24%E -6.39%K -28.43%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.03%EV -13.75%E -1.83%K -2.12%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.04%EV -13.15%E -2.63%K -3.29%G +0.000%10.9%2026-09-09 12:45
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.27I 78.74%NM 70.00%EV -9.67%E -7.61%K -35.80%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 11.85%EV -13.75%E -1.83%K -2.12%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 18.14%EV -14.88%E -3.04%K -3.82%G +0.000%12.5%2026-09-08 20:55
BoyleSports🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 70.59%EV -11.09%E -8.87%K -44.36%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 11.76%EV -13.75%E -1.83%K -2.12%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 17.65%EV -13.15%E -2.63%K -3.29%G +0.000%13.3%2026-09-09 02:19
Virgin Bet🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 70.33%EV -11.09%E -8.87%K -44.36%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 11.72%EV -13.75%E -1.83%K -2.12%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 17.94%EV -14.88%E -3.04%K -3.82%G +0.000%13.7%2026-09-09 15:15
LiveScore Bet🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 70.33%EV -11.09%E -8.87%K -44.36%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 11.72%EV -13.75%E -1.83%K -2.12%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 17.94%EV -14.88%E -3.04%K -3.82%G +0.000%13.7%2026-09-09 15:15
Unibet (FR)🎯1.23I 81.30%NM 70.80%EV -12.51%E -10.17%K -54.40%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 11.61%EV -13.75%E -1.83%K -2.12%G +0.000%4.95I 20.20%NM 17.59%EV -14.01%E -2.83%K -3.55%G +0.000%14.8%2026-09-09 12:15
PMU (FR)🎯1.23I 81.30%NM 70.28%EV -12.51%E -10.17%K -54.40%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 11.53%EV -13.75%E -1.83%K -2.12%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 18.20%EV -17.49%E -3.68%K -4.66%G +0.000%15.7%2026-09-09 15:16
Winamax (DE)🎯1.27I 78.74%NM 70.90%EV -9.67%E -7.61%K -35.80%G +0.000%7.25I 13.79%NM 12.42%EV -16.62%E -2.29%K -2.66%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 16.68%EV -6.20%E -1.15%K -1.41%G +0.000%11.1%2026-09-09 12:15
Winamax (FR)🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 69.68%EV -11.09%E -8.87%K -44.36%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 12.90%EV -22.37%E -3.31%K -3.89%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 17.42%EV -13.15%E -2.63%K -3.29%G +0.000%14.8%2026-09-09 12:16
利潤率 = 利潤率（超額機率） · I = 隱含機率 · NM = 無利潤率機率 · EV = 期望值 · E = 優勢 · K = Kelly 準則 · G = 投注資金成長率

更新時間 表示各家公司最後一次調整賠率的時間，因此較早的時間只代表賠率未再變動，不表示價格已失效。通常會排除約 15 分鐘內未收到資料的博彩公司；只有當整個市場的資料來源均停止更新時，才改為顯示最新記錄的價格。

博彩交易所 (5)

博彩公司主隊客隊和局利潤率 ▲更新時間
Kalshi◎1.30I 76.92%NM 74.74%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.72%6.25I 16.00%NM 15.55%2.9%2026-09-09 17:15
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎1.30I 76.92%NM 73.75%10.50I 9.52%NM 9.13%5.60I 17.86%NM 17.12%4.3%2026-09-09 07:20
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎1.30I 76.92%NM 73.75%10.50I 9.52%NM 9.13%5.60I 17.86%NM 17.12%4.3%2026-09-09 07:15
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎1.30I 76.92%NM 73.75%10.50I 9.52%NM 9.13%5.60I 17.86%NM 17.12%4.3%2026-09-09 07:15
Smarkets◎1.24I 80.65%NM 73.59%9.60I 10.42%NM 9.51%5.40I 18.52%NM 16.90%9.6%2026-09-09 12:16