The School of Odds
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Abha Club v Al-Khaleej

Kickoff: 2026-08-25 16:05 UTC

Final: Abha Club 1–1 Al-Khaleej

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

30 sportsbooks (7 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Abha Club (Local)

Prediction 35.27%2.84fair odd
EV +0.881%
Edge +0.308%
Kelly +0.474%
Growth +0.004%

assuming max odds 2.86

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
32.73%35.28%35.40%37.23%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.352.612.602.8642.55%38.31%38.46%34.97%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Al-Khaleej (Visit)

Prediction 35.76%2.80fair odd
EV -2.72%
Edge -1.000%
Kelly -1.58%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.72

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
34.19%35.74%35.82%38.84%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.202.442.452.7245.45%40.93%40.82%36.76%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Draw

Prediction 28.96%3.45fair odd
EV -2.98%
Edge -0.889%
Kelly -1.27%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 3.35

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
27.17%28.98%28.79%30.27%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.003.193.203.3533.33%31.39%31.25%29.85%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Abha Club (Local): 35.27%; Al-Khaleej (Visit): 35.76%; Draw: 28.96%. For Abha Club (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.84. 1 bookmaker offered closing odds above that level; the best were 2.86, corresponding to a positive expected value of +0.881%.

Sportsbook Odds (30 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitDrawMarginUpdated
1xBet🎯2.86I 34.97%NM 33.90%EV +0.881%E +0.308%K +0.474%G +0.004%2.64I 37.88%NM 36.72%EV -5.58%E -2.11%K -3.40%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 29.38%EV -4.43%E -1.34%K -1.92%G +0.000%3.1%2026-08-25 16:00
Pinnacle🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 34.67%EV -3.00%E -1.09%K -1.71%G +0.000%2.72I 36.76%NM 35.06%EV -2.72%E -1.000%K -1.58%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 30.27%EV -8.77%E -2.78%K -4.08%G +0.000%4.9%2026-08-25 15:54
Unibet🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 32.90%EV -3.00%E -1.09%K -1.71%G +0.000%2.33I 42.92%NM 38.83%EV -16.67%E -7.15%K -12.53%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.27%EV -7.32%E -2.29%K -3.33%G +0.000%10.5%2026-08-25 16:00
Unibet (NL)🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 32.90%EV -3.00%E -1.09%K -1.71%G +0.000%2.33I 42.92%NM 38.83%EV -16.67%E -7.15%K -12.53%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.27%EV -7.32%E -2.29%K -3.33%G +0.000%10.5%2026-08-25 16:00
Grosvenor🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 32.90%EV -3.00%E -1.09%K -1.71%G +0.000%2.33I 42.92%NM 38.83%EV -16.67%E -7.15%K -12.53%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.27%EV -7.32%E -2.29%K -3.33%G +0.000%10.5%2026-08-25 16:00
Unibet (SE)🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 32.90%EV -3.00%E -1.09%K -1.71%G +0.000%2.33I 42.92%NM 38.83%EV -16.67%E -7.15%K -12.53%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.27%EV -7.32%E -2.29%K -3.33%G +0.000%10.5%2026-08-25 16:00
ATG (SE)🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 32.90%EV -3.00%E -1.09%K -1.71%G +0.000%2.33I 42.92%NM 38.83%EV -16.67%E -7.15%K -12.53%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.27%EV -7.32%E -2.29%K -3.33%G +0.000%10.5%2026-08-25 15:59
Svenska Spel🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 32.90%EV -3.00%E -1.09%K -1.71%G +0.000%2.33I 42.92%NM 38.83%EV -16.67%E -7.15%K -12.53%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.27%EV -7.32%E -2.29%K -3.33%G +0.000%10.5%2026-08-25 16:00
LeoVegas (SE)🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 32.73%EV -4.76%E -1.76%K -2.80%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 38.76%EV -18.46%E -8.09%K -14.42%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.51%EV -10.22%E -3.30%K -4.87%G +0.000%13.2%2026-08-25 16:00
Tipico (DE)🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 34.62%EV -6.53%E -2.46%K -3.96%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.70%EV -10.59%E -4.24%K -7.06%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.67%EV -7.32%E -2.29%K -3.33%G +0.000%9.0%2026-08-25 15:45
Virgin Bet🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 32.97%EV -6.53%E -2.46%K -3.96%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 38.84%EV -19.53%E -8.68%K -15.62%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.19%EV -10.22%E -3.30%K -4.87%G +0.000%14.4%2026-08-25 16:00
LiveScore Bet🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 32.97%EV -6.53%E -2.46%K -3.96%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 38.84%EV -19.53%E -8.68%K -15.62%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.19%EV -10.22%E -3.30%K -4.87%G +0.000%14.4%2026-08-25 16:00
Coral🎯2.62I 38.17%NM 35.79%EV -7.58%E -2.89%K -4.68%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 35.79%EV -6.30%E -2.40%K -3.89%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.42%EV -4.43%E -1.34%K -1.92%G +0.000%6.6%2026-08-25 16:00
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯2.62I 38.17%NM 35.69%EV -7.58%E -2.89%K -4.68%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.97%EV -7.01%E -2.70%K -4.38%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.34%EV -4.43%E -1.34%K -1.92%G +0.000%6.9%2026-08-25 16:00
Unibet (UK)🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 35.71%EV -8.29%E -3.19%K -5.18%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.71%EV -7.01%E -2.70%K -4.38%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.57%EV -5.87%E -1.81%K -2.61%G +0.000%7.7%2026-08-25 16:00
betfred_uk🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 35.36%EV -8.29%E -3.19%K -5.18%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.78%EV -10.59%E -4.24%K -7.06%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.86%EV -4.43%E -1.34%K -1.92%G +0.000%8.8%2026-08-25 15:54
888sport🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 34.22%EV -8.29%E -3.19%K -5.18%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 37.07%EV -14.16%E -5.90%K -10.12%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.70%EV -10.22%E -3.30%K -4.87%G +0.000%12.4%2026-08-25 16:00
William Hill🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 34.22%EV -8.29%E -3.19%K -5.18%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 37.07%EV -14.16%E -5.90%K -10.12%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.70%EV -10.22%E -3.30%K -4.87%G +0.000%12.4%2026-08-25 16:00
888sport (SE)🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 34.22%EV -8.29%E -3.19%K -5.18%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 37.07%EV -14.16%E -5.90%K -10.12%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.70%EV -10.22%E -3.30%K -4.87%G +0.000%12.4%2026-08-25 16:00
PMU (FR)🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 32.80%EV -8.29%E -3.19%K -5.18%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 38.77%EV -21.32%E -9.69%K -17.76%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 28.43%EV -13.11%E -4.37%K -6.56%G +0.000%17.2%2026-08-25 16:00
SportsBet🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 36.41%EV -11.82%E -4.73%K -7.88%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.41%EV -10.59%E -4.24%K -7.06%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.17%EV -2.98%E -0.889%K -1.27%G +0.000%9.9%2026-08-25 15:59
Paddy Power🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 36.26%EV -11.82%E -4.73%K -7.88%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.26%EV -10.59%E -4.24%K -7.06%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.47%EV -4.43%E -1.34%K -1.92%G +0.000%10.3%2026-08-25 15:54
Winamax (DE)🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 36.26%EV -11.82%E -4.73%K -7.88%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.26%EV -10.59%E -4.24%K -7.06%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.47%EV -4.43%E -1.34%K -1.92%G +0.000%10.3%2026-08-25 16:00
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 36.26%EV -11.82%E -4.73%K -7.88%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.26%EV -10.59%E -4.24%K -7.06%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.47%EV -4.43%E -1.34%K -1.92%G +0.000%10.3%2026-08-25 15:54
Mr Green (SE)🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 35.37%EV -11.82%E -4.73%K -7.88%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 36.10%EV -12.38%E -5.05%K -8.54%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.53%EV -10.22%E -3.30%K -4.87%G +0.000%13.1%2026-08-25 13:24
BoyleSports🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 35.29%EV -11.82%E -4.73%K -7.88%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 35.29%EV -10.59%E -4.24%K -7.06%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.41%EV -13.11%E -4.37%K -6.56%G +0.000%13.3%2026-08-25 15:54
Sky Bet🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 36.31%EV -13.58%E -5.54%K -9.37%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 36.31%EV -12.38%E -5.05%K -8.54%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.37%EV -5.87%E -1.81%K -2.61%G +0.000%12.4%2026-08-25 15:29
Betclic (FR)🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 36.28%EV -13.58%E -5.54%K -9.37%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 34.19%EV -7.01%E -2.70%K -4.38%G +0.000%3.01I 33.22%NM 29.53%EV -12.82%E -4.26%K -6.38%G +0.000%12.5%2026-08-25 15:59
Winamax (FR)🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 36.16%EV -13.58%E -5.54%K -9.37%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 36.16%EV -12.38%E -5.05%K -8.54%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.68%EV -7.32%E -2.29%K -3.33%G +0.000%12.9%2026-08-25 16:00
Unibet (FR)🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 37.23%EV -17.11%E -7.28%K -12.67%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 35.00%EV -10.59%E -4.24%K -7.06%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 27.77%EV -8.77%E -2.78%K -4.08%G +0.000%14.3%2026-08-25 16:00
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (5)

BookmakerLocalVisitDrawMargin ▲Updated
Kalshi◎2.78I 35.97%NM 35.64%2.78I 35.97%NM 35.64%3.45I 28.99%NM 28.72%0.9%2026-08-25 16:00
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎2.82I 35.46%NM 35.01%2.78I 35.97%NM 35.52%3.35I 29.85%NM 29.47%1.3%2026-08-25 16:00
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎2.82I 35.46%NM 35.01%2.78I 35.97%NM 35.52%3.35I 29.85%NM 29.47%1.3%2026-08-25 16:00
Smarkets◎2.82I 35.46%NM 35.01%2.78I 35.97%NM 35.52%3.35I 29.85%NM 29.47%1.3%2026-08-25 16:00
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎2.82I 35.46%NM 35.01%2.78I 35.97%NM 35.52%3.35I 29.85%NM 29.47%1.3%2026-08-25 16:00