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Abha Club v Al-Hazem

Kickoff: 2026-08-13 16:15 UTC

Final: Abha Club 1–2 Al-Hazem

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

29 sportsbooks (7 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Abha Club (Local)

Prediction 35.51%2.82fair odd
EV +2.98%
Edge +1.03%
Kelly +1.57%
Growth +0.047%

assuming max odds 2.90

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
33.42%35.46%35.44%36.41%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.452.612.602.9040.82%38.38%38.46%34.48%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Al-Hazem (Visit)

Prediction 36.22%2.76fair odd
EV -4.74%
Edge -1.80%
Kelly -2.91%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.63

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
35.31%36.24%36.18%37.50%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.352.492.502.6342.55%40.17%40.00%38.02%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Draw

Prediction 28.27%3.54fair odd
EV -2.47%
Edge -0.716%
Kelly -1.01%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 3.45

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
27.17%28.30%28.38%30.22%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.853.143.103.4535.09%31.85%32.26%28.99%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Abha Club (Local): 35.51%; Al-Hazem (Visit): 36.22%; Draw: 28.27%. For Abha Club (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.82. 1 bookmaker offered closing odds above that level; the best were 2.90, corresponding to a positive expected value of +2.98%.

Sportsbook Odds (29 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitDrawMarginUpdated
1xBet🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 33.42%EV +2.98%E +1.03%K +1.57%G +0.047%2.63I 38.02%NM 36.85%EV -4.74%E -1.80%K -2.91%G +0.000%3.26I 30.67%NM 29.73%EV -7.84%E -2.41%K -3.47%G +0.000%3.2%2026-08-13 16:14
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 34.09%EV -2.35%E -0.854%K -1.34%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -9.45%E -3.78%K -6.30%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.41%EV -6.71%E -2.03%K -2.92%G +0.000%6.7%2026-08-13 16:14
Coral🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 35.01%EV -4.12%E -1.53%K -2.43%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.35%EV -5.83%E -2.24%K -3.64%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.64%EV -6.71%E -2.03%K -2.92%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-13 15:30
Unibet (UK)🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 34.45%EV -4.12%E -1.53%K -2.43%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.48%EV -7.64%E -2.99%K -4.93%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.07%EV -9.54%E -2.98%K -4.34%G +0.000%7.5%2026-08-13 15:54
Unibet🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 33.56%EV -4.12%E -1.53%K -2.43%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.24%EV -9.45%E -3.78%K -6.30%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.20%EV -15.19%E -5.06%K -7.60%G +0.000%10.4%2026-08-13 16:08
Unibet (SE)🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 33.56%EV -4.12%E -1.53%K -2.43%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.24%EV -9.45%E -3.78%K -6.30%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.20%EV -15.19%E -5.06%K -7.60%G +0.000%10.4%2026-08-13 16:09
Grosvenor🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 33.56%EV -4.12%E -1.53%K -2.43%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.24%EV -9.45%E -3.78%K -6.30%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.20%EV -15.19%E -5.06%K -7.60%G +0.000%10.4%2026-08-13 16:09
Unibet (NL)🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 33.56%EV -4.12%E -1.53%K -2.43%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.24%EV -9.45%E -3.78%K -6.30%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.20%EV -15.19%E -5.06%K -7.60%G +0.000%10.4%2026-08-13 16:10
ATG (SE)🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 33.56%EV -4.12%E -1.53%K -2.43%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.24%EV -9.45%E -3.78%K -6.30%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.20%EV -15.19%E -5.06%K -7.60%G +0.000%10.4%2026-08-13 16:10
Svenska Spel🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 33.56%EV -4.12%E -1.53%K -2.43%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.24%EV -9.45%E -3.78%K -6.30%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.20%EV -15.19%E -5.06%K -7.60%G +0.000%10.4%2026-08-13 16:09
Pinnacle🎯2.67I 37.45%NM 35.70%EV -5.19%E -1.94%K -3.11%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.66%EV -5.83%E -2.24%K -3.64%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.63%EV -2.47%E -0.716%K -1.01%G +0.000%4.9%2026-08-13 16:05
LeoVegas (SE)🎯2.63I 38.02%NM 33.73%EV -6.61%E -2.51%K -4.05%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 36.20%EV -11.26%E -4.60%K -7.76%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 30.07%EV -16.61%E -5.63%K -8.52%G +0.000%12.7%2026-08-13 15:55
Winamax (DE)🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 34.95%EV -7.67%E -2.95%K -4.80%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.09%EV -11.26%E -4.60%K -7.76%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.96%EV -8.13%E -2.50%K -3.61%G +0.000%10.0%2026-08-13 15:53
William Hill🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 34.22%EV -7.67%E -2.95%K -4.80%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 37.07%EV -13.07%E -5.45%K -9.34%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.70%EV -12.37%E -3.99%K -5.89%G +0.000%12.4%2026-08-13 16:14
LiveScore Bet🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 33.71%EV -7.67%E -2.95%K -4.80%G +0.000%2.43I 41.15%NM 36.07%EV -11.98%E -4.93%K -8.38%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.22%EV -18.02%E -6.21%K -9.48%G +0.000%14.1%2026-08-13 15:55
Virgin Bet🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 33.71%EV -7.67%E -2.95%K -4.80%G +0.000%2.43I 41.15%NM 36.07%EV -11.98%E -4.93%K -8.38%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.22%EV -18.02%E -6.21%K -9.48%G +0.000%14.1%2026-08-13 15:55
Tipico (DE)🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 36.00%EV -9.45%E -3.71%K -6.10%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.31%EV -5.83%E -2.24%K -3.64%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.69%EV -9.54%E -2.98%K -4.34%G +0.000%8.9%2026-08-13 15:25
Winamax (FR)🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 34.97%EV -9.45%E -3.71%K -6.10%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 37.16%EV -13.07%E -5.45%K -9.34%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.87%EV -9.54%E -2.98%K -4.34%G +0.000%12.1%2026-08-13 15:54
PMU (FR)🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 33.56%EV -9.45%E -3.71%K -6.10%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 36.41%EV -14.88%E -6.33%K -11.02%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 30.03%EV -19.43%E -6.82%K -10.50%G +0.000%16.9%2026-08-13 16:14
Betclic (FR)🎯2.52I 39.68%NM 36.08%EV -10.51%E -4.17%K -6.92%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.37%EV -9.45%E -3.78%K -6.30%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.55%EV -6.71%E -2.03%K -2.92%G +0.000%10.0%2026-08-13 15:58
SportsBet🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 36.41%EV -11.22%E -4.49%K -7.48%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.41%EV -9.45%E -3.78%K -6.30%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.17%EV -5.30%E -1.58%K -2.25%G +0.000%9.9%2026-08-13 15:30
Paddy Power🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 36.26%EV -11.22%E -4.49%K -7.48%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.26%EV -9.45%E -3.78%K -6.30%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.47%EV -6.71%E -2.03%K -2.92%G +0.000%10.3%2026-08-13 15:30
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 36.26%EV -11.22%E -4.49%K -7.48%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.26%EV -9.45%E -3.78%K -6.30%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.47%EV -6.71%E -2.03%K -2.92%G +0.000%10.3%2026-08-13 16:05
Unibet (FR)🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 36.26%EV -11.22%E -4.49%K -7.48%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.26%EV -9.45%E -3.78%K -6.30%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.47%EV -6.71%E -2.03%K -2.92%G +0.000%10.3%2026-08-13 16:00
BoyleSports🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 35.63%EV -11.22%E -4.49%K -7.48%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 35.63%EV -9.45%E -3.78%K -6.30%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.74%EV -12.37%E -3.99%K -5.89%G +0.000%12.3%2026-08-13 15:35
888sport🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 35.37%EV -11.22%E -4.49%K -7.48%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 36.10%EV -11.26%E -4.60%K -7.76%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.53%EV -12.37%E -3.99%K -5.89%G +0.000%13.1%2026-08-13 16:09
Mr Green (SE)🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 35.37%EV -11.22%E -4.49%K -7.48%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 36.10%EV -11.26%E -4.60%K -7.76%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.53%EV -12.37%E -3.99%K -5.89%G +0.000%13.1%2026-08-13 16:10
888sport (SE)🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 35.37%EV -11.22%E -4.49%K -7.48%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 36.10%EV -11.26%E -4.60%K -7.76%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.53%EV -12.37%E -3.99%K -5.89%G +0.000%13.1%2026-08-13 16:09
Sky Bet🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 36.31%EV -13.00%E -5.31%K -8.97%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 36.31%EV -11.26%E -4.60%K -7.76%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.37%EV -8.13%E -2.50%K -3.61%G +0.000%12.4%2026-08-13 15:30
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (5)

BookmakerLocalVisitDrawMargin ▲Updated
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎2.80I 35.71%NM 35.34%2.72I 36.76%NM 36.38%3.50I 28.57%NM 28.27%1.1%2026-08-13 16:05
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎2.80I 35.71%NM 35.34%2.72I 36.76%NM 36.38%3.50I 28.57%NM 28.27%1.1%2026-08-13 16:05
Smarkets◎2.80I 35.71%NM 35.25%2.70I 37.04%NM 36.55%3.50I 28.57%NM 28.20%1.3%2026-08-13 16:10
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎2.76I 36.23%NM 35.67%2.72I 36.76%NM 36.20%3.50I 28.57%NM 28.13%1.6%2026-08-13 16:14
Kalshi◎2.70I 37.04%NM 35.93%2.63I 38.02%NM 36.89%3.57I 28.01%NM 27.18%3.1%2026-08-13 15:55