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Abha Club v Al-Faisaly KSA FC
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Abha Club (Local)
Prediction 43.07%2.32fair odd
EV -3.09%
Edge -1.37%
Kelly -2.47%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 2.25
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
41.64%43.15%43.01%44.96%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.942.092.082.2551.55%47.89%48.08%44.44%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Al-Faisaly KSA FC (Visit)
Prediction 29.66%3.37fair odd
EV -2.12%
Edge -0.644%
Kelly -0.924%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 3.30
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
27.93%29.56%29.82%30.87%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.903.053.083.3034.48%32.77%32.52%30.30%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Draw
Prediction 27.27%3.67fair odd
EV -1.83%
Edge -0.508%
Kelly -0.703%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 3.60
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
26.09%27.29%27.16%28.59%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.103.323.333.6032.26%30.15%30.08%27.78%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Abha Club (Local): 43.07%; Al-Faisaly KSA FC (Visit): 29.66%; Draw: 27.27%. For Draw, that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 3.67. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 3.60, with an expected value of -1.83%; they did not produce positive expected value.
Sportsbook Odds (30 sportsbooks)
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| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Draw | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Coral🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.93%EV -3.09%E -1.37%K -2.47%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.48%EV -5.09%E -1.59%K -2.31%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.59%EV -10.01%E -3.03%K -4.35%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-10-11 06:10 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.48%EV -5.24%E -2.38%K -4.37%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.20%EV -5.09%E -1.59%K -2.31%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.32%EV -10.01%E -3.03%K -4.35%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-10-11 06:10 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.08%EV -5.24%E -2.38%K -4.37%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.86%EV -8.06%E -2.60%K -3.84%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.05%EV -10.01%E -3.03%K -4.35%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-10-11 07:55 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 2.17I 46.08%NM 42.98%EV -6.54%E -3.01%K -5.59%G +0.000% | 3.17I 31.55%NM 29.42%EV -5.98%E -1.89%K -2.76%G +0.000% | 3.38I 29.59%NM 27.59%EV -7.83%E -2.32%K -3.29%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-10-11 06:04 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.23%EV -7.40%E -3.44%K -6.43%G +0.000% | 3.24I 30.86%NM 29.35%EV -3.90%E -1.20%K -1.74%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.42%EV -1.83%E -0.508%K -0.703%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-10-11 11:40 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 42.64%EV -7.40%E -3.44%K -6.43%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.57%EV -8.06%E -2.60%K -3.84%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.78%EV -10.01%E -3.03%K -4.35%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-10-11 06:30 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 42.35%EV -7.40%E -3.44%K -6.43%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 30.87%EV -12.51%E -4.24%K -6.41%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.78%EV -7.28%E -2.14%K -3.03%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-10-11 07:50 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 43.48%EV -9.55%E -4.55%K -8.68%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.43%EV -11.02%E -3.67%K -5.51%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.09%EV -4.56%E -1.30%K -1.82%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-10-11 09:50 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 43.15%EV -9.55%E -4.55%K -8.68%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.20%EV -11.02%E -3.67%K -5.51%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.65%EV -7.28%E -2.14%K -3.03%G +0.000% | 10.4% | 2026-10-11 09:50 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 42.36%EV -9.55%E -4.55%K -8.68%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 30.68%EV -13.99%E -4.82%K -7.36%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 26.96%EV -10.01%E -3.03%K -4.35%G +0.000% | 12.4% | 2026-10-11 07:50 |
| 888sport🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 41.64%EV -9.55%E -4.55%K -8.68%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 30.15%EV -13.99%E -4.82%K -7.36%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.21%EV -15.46%E -4.99%K -7.36%G +0.000% | 14.4% | 2026-10-11 07:45 |
| William Hill🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 41.64%EV -9.55%E -4.55%K -8.68%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 30.15%EV -13.99%E -4.82%K -7.36%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.21%EV -15.46%E -4.99%K -7.36%G +0.000% | 14.4% | 2026-10-11 07:45 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 41.64%EV -9.55%E -4.55%K -8.68%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 30.15%EV -13.99%E -4.82%K -7.36%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.21%EV -15.46%E -4.99%K -7.36%G +0.000% | 14.4% | 2026-10-11 07:45 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 41.64%EV -9.55%E -4.55%K -8.68%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 30.15%EV -13.99%E -4.82%K -7.36%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.21%EV -15.46%E -4.99%K -7.36%G +0.000% | 14.4% | 2026-10-11 07:45 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 2.08I 48.08%NM 44.21%EV -10.41%E -5.01%K -9.64%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.74%EV -5.09%E -1.59%K -2.31%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.05%EV -7.28%E -2.14%K -3.03%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-10-10 14:00 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 2.08I 48.08%NM 42.93%EV -10.41%E -5.01%K -9.64%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.76%EV -11.02%E -3.67%K -5.51%G +0.000% | 3.27I 30.58%NM 27.31%EV -10.83%E -3.31%K -4.77%G +0.000% | 12.0% | 2026-10-11 07:55 |
| Unibet🎯 | 2.07I 48.31%NM 43.93%EV -10.84%E -5.24%K -10.13%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.33%EV -8.06%E -2.60%K -3.84%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.74%EV -7.28%E -2.14%K -3.03%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-10-10 14:00 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 2.07I 48.31%NM 43.93%EV -10.84%E -5.24%K -10.13%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.33%EV -8.06%E -2.60%K -3.84%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.74%EV -7.28%E -2.14%K -3.03%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-10-10 14:01 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 2.07I 48.31%NM 43.93%EV -10.84%E -5.24%K -10.13%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.33%EV -8.06%E -2.60%K -3.84%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.74%EV -7.28%E -2.14%K -3.03%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-10-10 14:00 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 2.07I 48.31%NM 43.93%EV -10.84%E -5.24%K -10.13%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.33%EV -8.06%E -2.60%K -3.84%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.74%EV -7.28%E -2.14%K -3.03%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-10-10 14:00 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 2.07I 48.31%NM 43.93%EV -10.84%E -5.24%K -10.13%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.33%EV -8.06%E -2.60%K -3.84%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.74%EV -7.28%E -2.14%K -3.03%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-10-10 14:00 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 2.07I 48.31%NM 43.93%EV -10.84%E -5.24%K -10.13%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.33%EV -8.06%E -2.60%K -3.84%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.74%EV -7.28%E -2.14%K -3.03%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-10-10 14:00 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 44.96%EV -11.70%E -5.71%K -11.15%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.93%EV -2.12%E -0.644%K -0.924%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.11%EV -7.28%E -2.14%K -3.03%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-10-11 06:05 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 43.63%EV -11.70%E -5.71%K -11.15%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.85%EV -8.06%E -2.60%K -3.84%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.52%EV -11.37%E -3.50%K -5.05%G +0.000% | 11.8% | 2026-10-10 14:01 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 2.04I 49.02%NM 43.90%EV -12.14%E -5.95%K -11.67%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 29.36%EV -9.54%E -3.13%K -4.65%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 26.73%EV -8.65%E -2.58%K -3.68%G +0.000% | 11.7% | 2026-10-10 14:00 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 2.04I 49.02%NM 43.90%EV -12.14%E -5.95%K -11.67%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 29.36%EV -9.54%E -3.13%K -4.65%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 26.73%EV -8.65%E -2.58%K -3.68%G +0.000% | 11.7% | 2026-10-10 14:01 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 2.02I 49.50%NM 43.75%EV -13.00%E -6.43%K -12.74%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.46%EV -11.02%E -3.67%K -5.51%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 26.78%EV -10.01%E -3.03%K -4.35%G +0.000% | 13.1% | 2026-10-10 14:01 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 43.82%EV -13.86%E -6.93%K -13.86%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.21%EV -11.02%E -3.67%K -5.51%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 26.97%EV -11.37%E -3.50%K -5.05%G +0.000% | 14.1% | 2026-10-11 12:09 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 1.96I 51.02%NM 43.51%EV -15.58%E -7.95%K -16.23%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 29.41%EV -13.99%E -4.82%K -7.36%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 27.08%EV -14.10%E -4.48%K -6.56%G +0.000% | 17.2% | 2026-10-11 07:50 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 1.94I 51.55%NM 43.95%EV -16.44%E -8.48%K -17.49%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 29.40%EV -13.99%E -4.82%K -7.36%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 26.65%EV -12.74%E -3.98%K -5.79%G +0.000% | 17.3% | 2026-10-11 09:59 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (5)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Draw | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kalshi◎ | 2.22I 45.05%NM 44.57% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 28.68% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 26.74% | 1.1% | 2026-10-11 14:20 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 2.28I 43.86%NM 43.05% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 29.30% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 27.65% | 1.9% | 2026-10-11 09:10 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 2.28I 43.86%NM 43.05% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 29.30% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 27.65% | 1.9% | 2026-10-11 09:44 |
| Smarkets◎ | 2.26I 44.25%NM 43.10% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 29.07% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.83% | 2.7% | 2026-10-11 06:35 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 2.28I 43.86%NM 42.53% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.95% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 28.52% | 3.1% | 2026-10-11 09:25 |