Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Zenit St Petersburg v FC Dynamo Makhachkala

2026-10-25 15:30 UTC — Premier League - Russia

Head to Head

4 sportsbooks (2 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Zenit St Petersburg (Local)

Prediction 73.88%1.35fair odd
EV -1.74%
Edge -1.31%
Kelly -5.29%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.33

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
73.24%73.88%73.88%74.04%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.251.291.291.3380.00%77.52%77.52%75.19%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

FC Dynamo Makhachkala (Visit)

Prediction 9.09%11.00fair odd
EV +2.70%
Edge +0.239%
Kelly +0.262%
Growth +0.007%

assuming max odds 11.30

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
8.71%9.09%9.09%9.44%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
10.0010.5810.5011.3010.00%9.45%9.52%8.85%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Draw

Prediction 17.04%5.87fair odd
EV -2.73%
Edge -0.478%
Kelly -0.579%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 5.71

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
16.75%17.04%17.04%17.61%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
5.205.525.595.7119.23%18.10%17.87%17.51%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

For Head to Head, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimates these probabilities: Zenit St Petersburg (Local): 73.88%; FC Dynamo Makhachkala (Visit): 9.09%; Draw: 17.04%. For FC Dynamo Makhachkala (Visit), that estimate is equivalent to fair decimal odds of 11.00. 1 bookmaker offers odds above that level; the best available odds are 11.30, producing a positive expected value of +2.70%.

Sportsbook Odds (4 sportsbooks)

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BookmakerLocalVisit ▼DrawMarginUpdated
1xBet🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 74.04%EV -1.74%E -1.31%K -5.29%G +0.000%11.30I 8.85%NM 8.71%EV +2.70%E +0.239%K +0.262%G +0.007%5.71I 17.51%NM 17.25%EV -2.73%E -0.478%K -0.579%G +0.000%1.6%2026-10-18 15:59
Marathon Bet🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 73.94%EV -3.96%E -3.05%K -13.20%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.74%EV -0.027%E -0.002%K -0.003%G +0.000%5.55I 18.02%NM 17.32%EV -5.45%E -0.983%K -1.20%G +0.000%4.0%2026-10-18 16:00
Pinnacle🎯1.28I 78.13%NM 73.81%EV -5.44%E -4.25%K -19.42%G +0.000%10.01I 9.99%NM 9.44%EV -9.02%E -0.902%K -1.00%G +0.000%5.64I 17.73%NM 16.75%EV -3.92%E -0.695%K -0.845%G +0.000%5.8%2026-10-18 17:00
Bovada🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 73.24%EV -7.65%E -6.12%K -30.62%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.15%EV -9.12%E -0.912%K -1.01%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 17.61%EV -11.42%E -2.20%K -2.72%G +0.000%9.2%2026-10-18 15:58
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.