Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Zenit St Petersburg v FC Akhmat Grozny

2026-10-18 11:00 UTC — Premier League - Russia

Head to Head

6 sportsbooks (3 in analysis )

70%

11%

19%

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Zenit St Petersburg (Local)

Prediction 69.63%1.44fair odd

EV -2.52%

Edge -1.80%

Kelly -6.31%

Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.40

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution

68.87%69.63%69.24%70.57%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Odds’ distribution

1.311.351.351.4076.34%74.17%74.35%71.43%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

FC Akhmat Grozny (Visit)

Prediction 11.44%8.74fair odd

EV +7.58%

Edge +0.806%

Kelly +0.902%

Growth +0.068%

assuming max odds 9.40

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution

10.43%11.44%11.81%12.05%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Odds’ distribution

7.608.428.369.4013.16%11.88%11.96%10.64%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Draw

Prediction 18.93%5.28fair odd

EV -1.95%

Edge -0.376%

Kelly -0.466%

Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 5.18

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution

18.70%18.93%18.95%19.18%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Odds’ distribution

4.804.954.925.1820.83%20.22%20.30%19.31%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

For Head to Head, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimates these probabilities: Zenit St Petersburg (Local): 69.63%; FC Akhmat Grozny (Visit): 11.44%; Draw: 18.93%. For FC Akhmat Grozny (Visit), that estimate is equivalent to fair decimal odds of 8.74. 3 bookmakers offer odds above that level; the best available odds are 9.40, producing a positive expected value of +7.58%.

Sportsbook Odds (6 sportsbooks)

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Bookmaker	Local	Visit ▼	Draw	Margin	Updated
1xBet🎯	1.40I 71.43%NM 70.46%EV -2.52%E -1.80%K -6.31%G +0.000%	9.40I 10.64%NM 10.49%EV +7.58%E +0.806%K +0.902%G +0.068%	5.18I 19.31%NM 19.04%EV -1.95%E -0.376%K -0.466%G +0.000%	1.4%	2026-10-15 10:44
Marathon Bet🎯	1.36I 73.53%NM 70.57%EV -5.31%E -3.90%K -14.75%G +0.000%	9.20I 10.87%NM 10.43%EV +5.29%E +0.575%K +0.645%G +0.034%	5.05I 19.80%NM 19.00%EV -4.41%E -0.873%K -1.09%G +0.000%	4.2%	2026-10-15 10:44
Bovada🎯	1.31I 76.34%NM 70.29%EV -8.79%E -6.71%K -28.35%G +0.000%	8.75I 11.43%NM 10.52%EV +0.139%E +0.016%K +0.018%G +0.000%	4.80I 20.83%NM 19.18%EV -9.14%E -1.90%K -2.41%G +0.000%	8.6%	2026-10-15 10:40
Pinnacle🎯	1.36I 73.53%NM 69.45%EV -5.31%E -3.90%K -14.75%G +0.000%	7.97I 12.55%NM 11.85%EV -8.79%E -1.10%K -1.26%G +0.000%	5.05I 19.80%NM 18.70%EV -4.41%E -0.873%K -1.09%G +0.000%	5.9%	2026-10-15 11:20
BetOnline.ag🎯	1.33I 75.19%NM 68.87%EV -7.40%E -5.56%K -22.42%G +0.000%	7.60I 13.16%NM 12.05%EV -13.02%E -1.71%K -1.97%G +0.000%	4.80I 20.83%NM 19.08%EV -9.14%E -1.90%K -2.41%G +0.000%	9.2%	2026-10-15 10:50
BetUS🎯	1.33I 75.19%NM 68.87%EV -7.40%E -5.56%K -22.42%G +0.000%	7.60I 13.16%NM 12.05%EV -13.02%E -1.71%K -1.97%G +0.000%	4.80I 20.83%NM 19.08%EV -9.14%E -1.90%K -2.41%G +0.000%	9.2%	2026-10-15 10:49

Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.