The School of Odds
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Zenit St Petersburg v CSKA Moscow

2026-09-05 13:30 UTC — Premier League - Russia

Head to Head

4 sportsbooks (2 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Zenit St Petersburg (Local)

Prediction 60.01%1.67fair odd
EV -1.59%
Edge -0.970%
Kelly -2.49%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.64

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
59.48%60.01%60.01%60.01%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.541.591.591.6464.94%62.89%62.89%60.98%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

CSKA Moscow (Visit)

Prediction 16.80%5.95fair odd
EV -3.22%
Edge -0.559%
Kelly -0.676%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 5.76

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
16.46%16.80%16.80%17.62%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
5.205.585.675.7619.23%17.94%17.64%17.36%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Draw

Prediction 23.19%4.31fair odd
EV -0.272%
Edge -0.063%
Kelly -0.083%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 4.30

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
22.86%23.19%23.19%23.53%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
4.004.134.124.3025.00%24.20%24.30%23.26%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

For Head to Head, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimates these probabilities: Zenit St Petersburg (Local): 60.01%; CSKA Moscow (Visit): 16.80%; Draw: 23.19%. For Draw, that estimate is equivalent to fair decimal odds of 4.31. No eligible bookmaker offers odds above that level: the best available odds are 4.30, with an expected value of -0.272%; they do not produce positive expected value.

Sportsbook Odds (4 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitDrawMarginUpdated
1xBet🎯1.64I 60.98%NM 59.98%EV -1.59%E -0.970%K -2.49%G +0.000%5.74I 17.42%NM 17.14%EV -3.56%E -0.620%K -0.750%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.88%EV -0.272%E -0.063%K -0.083%G +0.000%1.7%2026-08-29 18:19
Marathon Bet🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 60.00%EV -3.99%E -2.49%K -6.65%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 17.14%EV -5.91%E -1.06%K -1.28%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.86%EV -2.59%E -0.617%K -0.810%G +0.000%4.2%2026-08-29 18:14
Pinnacle🎯1.58I 63.29%NM 60.01%EV -5.19%E -3.29%K -8.95%G +0.000%5.76I 17.36%NM 16.46%EV -3.22%E -0.559%K -0.676%G +0.000%4.03I 24.81%NM 23.53%EV -6.53%E -1.62%K -2.16%G +0.000%5.5%2026-08-29 18:25
Bovada🎯1.54I 64.94%NM 59.48%EV -7.59%E -4.93%K -14.06%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 17.62%EV -12.63%E -2.43%K -3.01%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.90%EV -7.23%E -1.81%K -2.41%G +0.000%9.2%2026-08-29 18:25
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.