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Spartak Moscow v Rubin Kazan
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Spartak Moscow (Local)
assuming max odds 1.55
Rubin Kazan (Visit)
assuming max odds 6.62
Draw
assuming max odds 4.35
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Spartak Moscow (Local): 62.60%; Rubin Kazan (Visit): 14.87%; Draw: 22.53%. For Rubin Kazan (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 6.73. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 6.62, with an expected value of -1.58%; they did not produce positive expected value.
Sportsbook Odds (5 sportsbooks)
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| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Draw | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.55I 64.52%NM 62.65%EV -2.97%E -1.92%K -5.40%G +0.000% | 6.62I 15.11%NM 14.67%EV -1.58%E -0.239%K -0.281%G +0.000% | 4.28I 23.36%NM 22.69%EV -3.56%E -0.832%K -1.09%G +0.000% | 3.0% | 2026-05-11 14:24 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.54I 64.94%NM 62.78%EV -3.60%E -2.33%K -6.66%G +0.000% | 6.45I 15.50%NM 14.99%EV -4.11%E -0.637%K -0.754%G +0.000% | 4.35I 22.99%NM 22.23%EV -1.98%E -0.456%K -0.592%G +0.000% | 3.4% | 2026-05-11 14:24 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.82%EV -4.22%E -2.76%K -7.96%G +0.000% | 6.60I 15.15%NM 14.56%EV -1.88%E -0.285%K -0.335%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 22.62%EV -4.24%E -0.997%K -1.30%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-05-11 14:24 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.20%EV -6.10%E -4.07%K -12.20%G +0.000% | 6.20I 16.13%NM 15.05%EV -7.82%E -1.26%K -1.50%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.76%EV -7.62%E -1.86%K -2.46%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-05-11 14:24 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.47I 68.03%NM 62.02%EV -7.98%E -5.43%K -16.97%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.19%EV -10.80%E -1.80%K -2.16%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.79%EV -9.87%E -2.47%K -3.29%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-05-11 14:21 |
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.