Spartak Moscow v Rodina Moscow

2026-07-25 17:45 UTC — Premier League - Russia

Head to Head

3 sportsbooks (1 in analysis )

72%

11%

17%

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: IQM

Spartak Moscow (Local)

Prediction 72.11%1.39fair odd

EV -3.37%

Edge -2.51%

Kelly -9.91%

Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.34

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution

72.11%72.11%72.11%73.31%MINMEANMEDIANMAX

Odds’ distribution

1.261.301.311.3479%77%76%75%MINMEANMEDIANMAX

Rodina Moscow (Visit)

Prediction 11.31%8.84fair odd

EV +9.18%

Edge +0.951%

Kelly +1.06%

Growth +0.097%

assuming max odds 9.65

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution

10.18%11.31%11.31%11.31%MINMEANMEDIANMAX

Odds’ distribution

8.359.009.009.6512%11%11%10%MINMEANMEDIANMAX

Draw

Prediction 16.57%6.03fair odd

EV -1.39%

Edge -0.233%

Kelly -0.281%

Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 5.95

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution

16.51%16.57%16.57%16.99%MINMEANMEDIANMAX

Odds’ distribution

5.405.685.705.9519%18%18%17%MINMEANMEDIANMAX

Sportsbook Odds (3 sportsbooks)

Bookmaker	Local	Visit ▼	Draw	Margin	Updated
1xBet	1.34I 74.63%NM 73.31%EV -3.37%E -2.51%K -9.91%G +0.000%	9.65I 10.36%NM 10.18%EV +9.18%E +0.951%K +1.06%G +0.097%	5.95I 16.81%NM 16.51%EV -1.39%E -0.233%K -0.281%G +0.000%	1.8%	2026-07-18 09:35
Bovada	1.26I 79.37%NM 72.82%EV -9.14%E -7.25%K -35.14%G +0.000%	9.00I 11.11%NM 10.19%EV +1.82%E +0.202%K +0.228%G +0.004%	5.40I 18.52%NM 16.99%EV -10.50%E -1.95%K -2.39%G +0.000%	9.0%	2026-07-18 09:35
Pinnacle	1.31I 76.34%NM 72.11%EV -5.53%E -4.22%K -17.84%G +0.000%	8.35I 11.98%NM 11.31%EV -5.53%E -0.662%K -0.753%G +0.000%	5.70I 17.54%NM 16.57%EV -5.53%E -0.971%K -1.18%G +0.000%	5.9%	2026-07-18 09:35

Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.