Language:English
Spartak Moscow v Dinamo Moscow
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Spartak Moscow (Local)
Prediction 72.11%1.39fair odd
EV -3.37%
Edge -2.51%
Kelly -9.91%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.34
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
72.11%72.11%72.11%73.31%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.261.301.311.3479.37%76.73%76.34%74.63%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Dinamo Moscow (Visit)
Prediction 11.31%8.84fair odd
EV +9.18%
Edge +0.951%
Kelly +1.06%
Growth +0.097%
assuming max odds 9.65
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
10.18%11.31%11.31%11.31%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
8.359.009.009.6511.98%11.11%11.11%10.36%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Draw
Prediction 16.57%6.03fair odd
EV -1.39%
Edge -0.233%
Kelly -0.281%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 5.95
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
16.51%16.57%16.57%16.99%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
5.405.685.705.9518.52%17.60%17.54%16.81%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Sportsbook Odds (3 sportsbooks)
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| Bookmaker | Local | Visit ▼ | Draw | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet | 1.34I 74.63%NM 73.31%EV -3.37%E -2.51%K -9.91%G +0.000% | 9.65I 10.36%NM 10.18%EV +9.18%E +0.951%K +1.06%G +0.097% | 5.95I 16.81%NM 16.51%EV -1.39%E -0.233%K -0.281%G +0.000% | 1.8% | 2026-07-16 00:15 |
| Bovada | 1.26I 79.37%NM 72.82%EV -9.14%E -7.25%K -35.14%G +0.000% | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.19%EV +1.82%E +0.202%K +0.228%G +0.004% | 5.40I 18.52%NM 16.99%EV -10.50%E -1.95%K -2.39%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-07-16 00:15 |
| Pinnacle | 1.31I 76.34%NM 72.11%EV -5.53%E -4.22%K -17.84%G +0.000% | 8.35I 11.98%NM 11.31%EV -5.53%E -0.662%K -0.753%G +0.000% | 5.70I 17.54%NM 16.57%EV -5.53%E -0.971%K -1.18%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-07-10 23:30 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.