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Rubin Kazan v Zenit St Petersburg

2026-11-21 14:30 UTC — Premier League - Russia

Head to Head

4 sportsbooks (2 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Rubin Kazan (Local)

Prediction 15.45%6.47fair odd
EV -2.51%
Edge -0.398%
Kelly -0.473%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 6.31

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
15.29%15.45%15.45%15.95%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
5.756.106.186.3117.39%16.38%16.18%15.85%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Zenit St Petersburg (Visit)

Prediction 61.60%1.62fair odd
EV -1.44%
Edge -0.902%
Kelly -2.41%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.60

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
61.13%61.60%61.60%61.66%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.501.551.551.6066.67%64.52%64.52%62.50%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Draw

Prediction 22.95%4.36fair odd
EV -1.08%
Edge -0.250%
Kelly -0.325%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 4.31

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
22.85%22.95%22.95%23.05%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
4.004.164.164.3125.00%24.05%24.04%23.20%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

For Head to Head, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimates these probabilities: Rubin Kazan (Local): 15.45%; Zenit St Petersburg (Visit): 61.60%; Draw: 22.95%. For Draw, that estimate is equivalent to fair decimal odds of 4.36. No eligible bookmaker offers odds above that level: the best available odds are 4.31, with an expected value of -1.08%; they do not produce positive expected value.

Sportsbook Odds (4 sportsbooks)

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BookmakerLocal ▼VisitDrawMarginUpdated
1xBet🎯6.31I 15.85%NM 15.61%EV -2.51%E -0.398%K -0.473%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 61.55%EV -1.44%E -0.902%K -2.41%G +0.000%4.31I 23.20%NM 22.85%EV -1.08%E -0.250%K -0.325%G +0.000%1.5%2026-11-09 12:15
Pinnacle🎯6.21I 16.10%NM 15.29%EV -4.06%E -0.653%K -0.778%G +0.000%1.54I 64.94%NM 61.66%EV -5.14%E -3.34%K -9.52%G +0.000%4.12I 24.27%NM 23.05%EV -5.44%E -1.32%K -1.74%G +0.000%5.3%2026-11-09 12:15
Marathon Bet🎯6.15I 16.26%NM 15.61%EV -4.98%E -0.810%K -0.967%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 61.54%EV -3.91%E -2.50%K -6.98%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.86%EV -3.60%E -0.858%K -1.13%G +0.000%4.2%2026-11-09 12:05
Bovada🎯5.75I 17.39%NM 15.95%EV -11.16%E -1.94%K -2.35%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 61.13%EV -7.60%E -5.07%K -15.21%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.92%EV -8.19%E -2.05%K -2.73%G +0.000%9.1%2026-11-09 12:14
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

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