The School of Odds
Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)
+ New modelAll models

Rubin Kazan v FC Fakel Voronezh

Kickoff: 2026-10-31 12:15 UTC

Final: Rubin Kazan 1–0 FC Fakel Voronezh

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

7 sportsbooks (4 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Rubin Kazan (Local)

Prediction 48.64%2.06fair odd
EV -4.18%
Edge -2.12%
Kelly -4.31%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.97

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
46.77%48.29%48.64%49.28%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.911.951.961.9752.36%51.17%51.02%50.76%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

FC Fakel Voronezh (Visit)

Prediction 22.01%4.54fair odd
EV +0.145%
Edge +0.032%
Kelly +0.041%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 4.55

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
21.31%22.34%22.01%24.12%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.804.224.204.5526.32%23.70%23.81%21.98%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Draw

Prediction 29.35%3.41fair odd
EV -2.55%
Edge -0.768%
Kelly -1.10%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 3.32

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
28.77%29.37%29.35%29.79%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.153.223.203.3231.75%31.03%31.25%30.12%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Rubin Kazan (Local): 48.64%; FC Fakel Voronezh (Visit): 22.01%; Draw: 29.35%. For FC Fakel Voronezh (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 4.54. 1 bookmaker offered closing odds above that level; the best were 4.55, corresponding to a positive expected value of +0.145%.

Sportsbook Odds (7 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocalVisit ▼DrawMarginUpdated
Pinnacle🎯1.97I 50.76%NM 49.22%EV -4.18%E -2.12%K -4.31%G +0.000%4.55I 21.98%NM 21.31%EV +0.145%E +0.032%K +0.041%G +0.000%3.29I 30.40%NM 29.47%EV -3.43%E -1.04%K -1.50%G +0.000%3.1%2026-10-31 11:50
Marathon Bet🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 49.28%EV -5.16%E -2.64%K -5.43%G +0.000%4.45I 22.47%NM 21.60%EV -2.06%E -0.462%K -0.596%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 29.12%EV -3.14%E -0.951%K -1.36%G +0.000%4.1%2026-10-31 11:49
1xBet🎯1.97I 50.76%NM 48.82%EV -4.18%E -2.12%K -4.31%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 22.21%EV -4.70%E -1.08%K -1.41%G +0.000%3.32I 30.12%NM 28.97%EV -2.55%E -0.768%K -1.10%G +0.000%4.0%2026-10-31 12:10
BetOnline.ag🎯1.96I 51.02%NM 47.87%EV -4.67%E -2.38%K -4.86%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.34%EV -7.56%E -1.80%K -2.36%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.79%EV -7.54%E -2.39%K -3.51%G +0.000%6.6%2026-10-31 11:50
BetUS🎯1.96I 51.02%NM 47.87%EV -4.67%E -2.38%K -4.86%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.34%EV -7.56%E -1.80%K -2.36%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.79%EV -7.54%E -2.39%K -3.51%G +0.000%6.6%2026-10-31 11:50
Bovada🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 48.21%EV -7.10%E -3.72%K -7.80%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.02%EV -11.96%E -2.99%K -3.99%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.77%EV -6.07%E -1.90%K -2.76%G +0.000%8.6%2026-10-31 12:04
Codere (IT)🎯1.96I 51.02%NM 46.77%EV -4.67%E -2.38%K -4.86%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.12%EV -16.36%E -4.31%K -5.84%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.10%EV -7.54%E -2.39%K -3.51%G +0.000%9.1%2026-10-31 11:55
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Discuss this game on odds.forum

No published comments yet.