Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Rubin Kazan v FC Dynamo Makhachkala

Kickoff: 2026-08-30 17:00 UTC

Final: Rubin Kazan 3–1 FC Dynamo Makhachkala

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

7 sportsbooks (4 in analysis )

35%

32%

33%

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Rubin Kazan (Local)

Prediction 35.44%2.82fair odd

EV -3.24%

Edge -1.19%

Kelly -1.87%

Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.73

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution

34.94%35.50%35.44%36.25%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Odds’ distribution

2.552.662.702.7339.22%37.59%37.04%36.63%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

FC Dynamo Makhachkala (Visit)

Prediction 31.88%3.14fair odd

EV -2.76%

Edge -0.906%

Kelly -1.35%

Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 3.05

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution

31.73%31.97%31.88%32.25%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Odds’ distribution

2.852.962.953.0535.09%33.73%33.90%32.79%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Draw

Prediction 32.68%3.06fair odd

EV -0.667%

Edge -0.219%

Kelly -0.327%

Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 3.04

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution

31.70%32.54%32.68%32.98%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Odds’ distribution

2.862.932.903.0434.97%34.16%34.48%32.89%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Rubin Kazan (Local): 35.44%; FC Dynamo Makhachkala (Visit): 31.88%; Draw: 32.68%. For Draw, that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 3.06. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 3.04, with an expected value of -0.667%; they did not produce positive expected value.

Sportsbook Odds (7 sportsbooks)

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Bookmaker	Local ▼	Visit	Draw	Margin	Updated
Pinnacle🎯	2.73I 36.63%NM 35.45%EV -3.24%E -1.19%K -1.87%G +0.000%	3.05I 32.79%NM 31.73%EV -2.76%E -0.906%K -1.35%G +0.000%	2.95I 33.90%NM 32.81%EV -3.61%E -1.22%K -1.85%G +0.000%	3.3%	2026-08-30 16:50
Marathon Bet🎯	2.70I 37.04%NM 35.56%EV -4.30%E -1.59%K -2.53%G +0.000%	3.02I 33.11%NM 31.79%EV -3.72%E -1.23%K -1.84%G +0.000%	2.94I 34.01%NM 32.65%EV -3.93%E -1.34%K -2.03%G +0.000%	4.2%	2026-08-30 16:55
BetUS🎯	2.70I 37.04%NM 35.13%EV -4.30%E -1.59%K -2.53%G +0.000%	2.95I 33.90%NM 32.16%EV -5.95%E -2.02%K -3.05%G +0.000%	2.90I 34.48%NM 32.71%EV -5.24%E -1.81%K -2.76%G +0.000%	5.4%	2026-08-30 16:49
BetOnline.ag🎯	2.70I 37.04%NM 34.94%EV -4.30%E -1.59%K -2.53%G +0.000%	2.94I 34.01%NM 32.08%EV -6.27%E -2.13%K -3.23%G +0.000%	2.86I 34.97%NM 32.98%EV -6.55%E -2.29%K -3.52%G +0.000%	6.0%	2026-08-30 16:50
1xBet🎯	2.69I 37.17%NM 36.10%EV -4.66%E -1.73%K -2.76%G +0.000%	3.04I 32.89%NM 31.95%EV -3.08%E -1.01%K -1.51%G +0.000%	3.04I 32.89%NM 31.95%EV -0.667%E -0.219%K -0.327%G +0.000%	3.0%	2026-08-30 16:50
Bovada🎯	2.55I 39.22%NM 36.25%EV -9.62%E -3.77%K -6.21%G +0.000%	2.90I 34.48%NM 31.88%EV -7.55%E -2.60%K -3.97%G +0.000%	2.90I 34.48%NM 31.88%EV -5.24%E -1.81%K -2.76%G +0.000%	8.2%	2026-08-30 16:48
Codere (IT)🎯	2.55I 39.22%NM 36.05%EV -9.62%E -3.77%K -6.21%G +0.000%	2.85I 35.09%NM 32.25%EV -9.14%E -3.21%K -4.94%G +0.000%	2.90I 34.48%NM 31.70%EV -5.24%E -1.81%K -2.76%G +0.000%	8.8%	2026-08-30 16:45

Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.