Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Rubin Kazan v FC Akhmat Grozny

2026-09-07 16:30 UTC — Premier League - Russia

Head to Head

5 sportsbooks (3 in analysis )

35%

34%

31%

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Rubin Kazan (Local)

Prediction 34.72%2.88fair odd

EV -1.75%

Edge -0.619%

Kelly -0.957%

Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.83

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution

34.58%34.72%34.77%34.79%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Odds’ distribution

2.652.732.742.8337.74%36.60%36.50%35.34%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

FC Akhmat Grozny (Visit)

Prediction 34.18%2.93fair odd

EV -1.23%

Edge -0.425%

Kelly -0.650%

Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.89

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution

34.04%34.18%34.15%34.32%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Odds’ distribution

2.702.782.792.8937.04%35.97%35.84%34.60%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Draw

Prediction 31.11%3.21fair odd

EV -1.71%

Edge -0.540%

Kelly -0.790%

Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 3.16

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution

31.05%31.11%31.08%31.19%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Odds’ distribution

2.953.053.073.1633.90%32.81%32.57%31.65%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

For Head to Head, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimates these probabilities: Rubin Kazan (Local): 34.72%; FC Akhmat Grozny (Visit): 34.18%; Draw: 31.11%. For FC Akhmat Grozny (Visit), that estimate is equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.93. No eligible bookmaker offers odds above that level: the best available odds are 2.89, with an expected value of -1.23%; they do not produce positive expected value.

Sportsbook Odds (5 sportsbooks)

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Bookmaker	Local ▼	Visit	Draw	Margin	Updated
1xBet🎯	2.83I 35.34%NM 34.78%EV -1.75%E -0.619%K -0.957%G +0.000%	2.89I 34.60%NM 34.06%EV -1.23%E -0.425%K -0.650%G +0.000%	3.16I 31.65%NM 31.15%EV -1.71%E -0.540%K -0.790%G +0.000%	1.6%	2026-08-31 17:25
Marathon Bet🎯	2.76I 36.23%NM 34.78%EV -4.18%E -1.51%K -2.38%G +0.000%	2.82I 35.46%NM 34.04%EV -3.62%E -1.28%K -1.99%G +0.000%	3.08I 32.47%NM 31.17%EV -4.19%E -1.36%K -2.02%G +0.000%	4.2%	2026-08-31 17:19
Pinnacle🎯	2.74I 36.50%NM 34.79%EV -4.88%E -1.78%K -2.80%G +0.000%	2.79I 35.84%NM 34.16%EV -4.65%E -1.67%K -2.60%G +0.000%	3.07I 32.57%NM 31.05%EV -4.51%E -1.47%K -2.18%G +0.000%	4.9%	2026-08-31 17:45
BetOnline.ag🎯	2.68I 37.31%NM 34.58%EV -6.96%E -2.60%K -4.14%G +0.000%	2.70I 37.04%NM 34.32%EV -7.72%E -2.86%K -4.54%G +0.000%	2.98I 33.56%NM 31.10%EV -7.31%E -2.45%K -3.69%G +0.000%	7.9%	2026-09-01 01:05
Bovada🎯	2.65I 37.74%NM 34.72%EV -8.00%E -3.02%K -4.85%G +0.000%	2.70I 37.04%NM 34.08%EV -7.72%E -2.86%K -4.54%G +0.000%	2.95I 33.90%NM 31.19%EV -8.24%E -2.79%K -4.22%G +0.000%	8.7%	2026-08-31 17:22

Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.