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Rubin Kazan v Dinamo Moscow

2026-10-11 16:30 UTC — Premier League - Russia

Head to Head

4 sportsbooks (2 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Rubin Kazan (Local)

Prediction 24.22%4.13fair odd
EV +0.763%
Edge +0.183%
Kelly +0.242%
Growth +0.002%

assuming max odds 4.16

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
23.67%24.22%24.22%24.74%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.843.993.974.1626.04%25.08%25.16%24.04%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Dinamo Moscow (Visit)

Prediction 49.10%2.04fair odd
EV -2.29%
Edge -1.15%
Kelly -2.31%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.99

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
48.72%49.10%49.10%49.49%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.871.941.941.9953.48%51.61%51.41%50.25%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Draw

Prediction 26.68%3.75fair odd
EV -2.10%
Edge -0.572%
Kelly -0.786%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 3.67

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
26.54%26.68%26.68%26.84%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.453.573.583.6728.99%28.01%27.93%27.25%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

For Head to Head, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimates these probabilities: Rubin Kazan (Local): 24.22%; Dinamo Moscow (Visit): 49.10%; Draw: 26.68%. For Rubin Kazan (Local), that estimate is equivalent to fair decimal odds of 4.13. 1 bookmaker offers odds above that level; the best available odds are 4.16, producing a positive expected value of +0.763%.

Sportsbook Odds (4 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitDrawMarginUpdated
1xBet🎯4.16I 24.04%NM 23.67%EV +0.763%E +0.183%K +0.242%G +0.002%1.99I 50.25%NM 49.49%EV -2.29%E -1.15%K -2.31%G +0.000%3.67I 27.25%NM 26.84%EV -2.10%E -0.572%K -0.786%G +0.000%1.5%2026-09-29 16:15
Marathon Bet🎯4.05I 24.69%NM 23.70%EV -1.90%E -0.469%K -0.623%G +0.000%1.94I 51.55%NM 49.48%EV -4.74%E -2.44%K -5.05%G +0.000%3.58I 27.93%NM 26.81%EV -4.50%E -1.26%K -1.74%G +0.000%4.2%2026-09-29 16:10
Bovada🎯3.90I 25.64%NM 23.72%EV -5.53%E -1.42%K -1.91%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 49.47%EV -8.18%E -4.37%K -9.40%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.81%EV -7.97%E -2.31%K -3.25%G +0.000%8.1%2026-09-29 16:12
Pinnacle🎯3.84I 26.04%NM 24.74%EV -6.99%E -1.82%K -2.46%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.72%EV -4.25%E -2.18%K -4.48%G +0.000%3.58I 27.93%NM 26.54%EV -4.50%E -1.26%K -1.74%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-29 16:15
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.