Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Rodina Moscow v FK Rostov

2026-07-31 17:00 UTC — Premier League - Russia

Head to Head

6 sportsbooks (4 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Rodina Moscow (Local)

Prediction 29.66%3.37fair odd
EV -1.24%
Edge -0.372%
Kelly -0.532%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 3.33

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
29.39%30.14%29.66%32.17%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.803.143.173.3335.71%31.81%31.50%30.03%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

FK Rostov (Visit)

Prediction 40.96%2.44fair odd
EV -2.53%
Edge -1.06%
Kelly -1.83%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.38

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
39.68%40.62%40.96%41.53%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.202.302.292.3845.45%43.54%43.57%42.02%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Draw

Prediction 29.39%3.40fair odd
EV -0.672%
Edge -0.199%
Kelly -0.282%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 3.38

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
28.15%29.24%29.39%30.36%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.053.223.213.3832.79%31.06%31.15%29.59%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Sportsbook Odds (6 sportsbooks)

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BookmakerLocal ▼VisitDrawMarginUpdated
1xBet3.33I 30.03%NM 29.55%EV -1.24%E -0.372%K -0.532%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 41.34%EV -2.53%E -1.06%K -1.83%G +0.000%3.38I 29.59%NM 29.11%EV -0.672%E -0.199%K -0.282%G +0.000%1.6%2026-07-28 10:49
Marathon Bet3.28I 30.49%NM 29.50%EV -2.72%E -0.830%K -1.19%G +0.000%2.34I 42.74%NM 41.35%EV -4.17%E -1.78%K -3.11%G +0.000%3.32I 30.12%NM 29.15%EV -2.43%E -0.733%K -1.05%G +0.000%3.3%2026-07-28 10:49
Pinnacle3.20I 31.25%NM 29.49%EV -5.09%E -1.59%K -2.32%G +0.000%2.29I 43.67%NM 41.21%EV -6.21%E -2.71%K -4.82%G +0.000%3.22I 31.06%NM 29.31%EV -5.37%E -1.67%K -2.42%G +0.000%6.0%2026-07-28 10:49
BetOnline.ag3.15I 31.75%NM 29.39%EV -6.58%E -2.09%K -3.06%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.25%EV -5.80%E -2.52%K -4.46%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.36%EV -10.37%E -3.40%K -5.06%G +0.000%8.0%2026-07-28 10:49
Bovada3.10I 32.26%NM 29.47%EV -8.06%E -2.60%K -3.84%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 41.53%EV -9.90%E -4.50%K -8.25%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.00%EV -7.43%E -2.36%K -3.46%G +0.000%9.5%2026-07-28 10:49
Codere (IT)2.80I 35.71%NM 32.17%EV -16.96%E -6.06%K -9.42%G +0.000%2.27I 44.05%NM 39.68%EV -7.03%E -3.10%K -5.54%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.15%EV -5.96%E -1.86%K -2.71%G +0.000%11.0%2026-07-28 10:49
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.