Lokomotiv Moscow v FC Akhmat Grozny

2026-07-26 14:00 UTC — Premier League - Russia

Head to Head

4 sportsbooks (2 in analysis )

59%

18%

23%

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: IQM

Lokomotiv Moscow (Local)

Prediction 59.33%1.69fair odd

EV -1.52%

Edge -0.915%

Kelly -2.30%

Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.66

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution

59.24%59.33%59.33%59.39%MINMEANMEDIANMAX

Odds’ distribution

1.551.611.611.6665%62%62%60%MINMEANMEDIANMAX

FC Akhmat Grozny (Visit)

Prediction 18.13%5.52fair odd

EV -1.38%

Edge -0.253%

Kelly -0.310%

Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 5.44

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution

18.09%18.13%18.13%18.36%MINMEANMEDIANMAX

Odds’ distribution

5.005.255.295.4420%19%19%18%MINMEANMEDIANMAX

Draw

Prediction 22.54%4.44fair odd

EV -1.26%

Edge -0.287%

Kelly -0.371%

Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 4.38

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution

22.40%22.54%22.54%22.58%MINMEANMEDIANMAX

Odds’ distribution

4.104.254.254.3824%24%24%23%MINMEANMEDIANMAX

Sportsbook Odds (4 sportsbooks)

Bookmaker	Local ▼	Visit	Draw	Margin	Updated
1xBet	1.66I 60.24%NM 59.38%EV -1.52%E -0.915%K -2.30%G +0.000%	5.44I 18.38%NM 18.12%EV -1.38%E -0.253%K -0.310%G +0.000%	4.38I 22.83%NM 22.50%EV -1.26%E -0.287%K -0.371%G +0.000%	1.5%	2026-07-10 18:05
Marathon Bet	1.63I 61.35%NM 59.39%EV -3.30%E -2.02%K -5.24%G +0.000%	5.35I 18.69%NM 18.09%EV -3.01%E -0.562%K -0.691%G +0.000%	4.30I 23.26%NM 22.51%EV -3.06%E -0.711%K -0.927%G +0.000%	3.3%	2026-07-10 17:59
Pinnacle	1.60I 62.50%NM 59.26%EV -5.08%E -3.17%K -8.46%G +0.000%	5.22I 19.16%NM 18.16%EV -5.36%E -1.03%K -1.27%G +0.000%	4.20I 23.81%NM 22.58%EV -5.31%E -1.27%K -1.66%G +0.000%	5.5%	2026-07-10 18:09
Bovada	1.55I 64.52%NM 59.24%EV -8.04%E -5.19%K -14.63%G +0.000%	5.00I 20.00%NM 18.36%EV -9.35%E -1.87%K -2.34%G +0.000%	4.10I 24.39%NM 22.40%EV -7.57%E -1.85%K -2.44%G +0.000%	8.9%	2026-07-10 18:04

Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is the most recent time we recorded each book's price — on the default model, when it last changed, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.