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Kryliya Sovetov v FC Fakel Voronezh

2026-10-17 11:00 UTC — Premier League - Russia

Head to Head

6 sportsbooks (3 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Kryliya Sovetov (Local)

Prediction 46.91%2.13fair odd
EV -2.43%
Edge -1.17%
Kelly -2.25%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.08

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
46.29%46.91%47.13%47.60%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.912.012.012.0852.36%49.83%49.75%48.08%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

FC Fakel Voronezh (Visit)

Prediction 25.67%3.90fair odd
EV -0.406%
Edge -0.105%
Kelly -0.141%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 3.88

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
25.26%25.67%25.52%26.08%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.553.683.673.8828.17%27.16%27.29%25.77%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Draw

Prediction 27.42%3.65fair odd
EV -0.999%
Edge -0.277%
Kelly -0.383%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 3.61

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
27.14%27.42%27.35%27.63%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.353.443.423.6129.85%29.04%29.28%27.70%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

For Head to Head, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimates these probabilities: Kryliya Sovetov (Local): 46.91%; FC Fakel Voronezh (Visit): 25.67%; Draw: 27.42%. For FC Fakel Voronezh (Visit), that estimate is equivalent to fair decimal odds of 3.90. No eligible bookmaker offers odds above that level: the best available odds are 3.88, with an expected value of -0.406%; they do not produce positive expected value.

Sportsbook Odds (6 sportsbooks)

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BookmakerLocal ▼VisitDrawMarginUpdated
1xBet🎯2.08I 48.08%NM 47.34%EV -2.43%E -1.17%K -2.25%G +0.000%3.88I 25.77%NM 25.38%EV -0.406%E -0.105%K -0.141%G +0.000%3.61I 27.70%NM 27.28%EV -0.999%E -0.277%K -0.383%G +0.000%1.6%2026-10-15 10:44
Marathon Bet🎯2.03I 49.26%NM 47.31%EV -4.78%E -2.35%K -4.64%G +0.000%3.78I 26.46%NM 25.41%EV -2.97%E -0.787%K -1.07%G +0.000%3.52I 28.41%NM 27.28%EV -3.47%E -0.985%K -1.38%G +0.000%4.1%2026-10-15 10:44
Pinnacle🎯2.02I 49.50%NM 47.13%EV -5.25%E -2.60%K -5.14%G +0.000%3.73I 26.81%NM 25.52%EV -4.26%E -1.14%K -1.56%G +0.000%3.48I 28.74%NM 27.35%EV -4.56%E -1.31%K -1.84%G +0.000%5.1%2026-10-15 11:20
BetOnline.ag🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 46.29%EV -6.19%E -3.09%K -6.19%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.08%EV -8.88%E -2.50%K -3.48%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.63%EV -8.13%E -2.43%K -3.46%G +0.000%8.0%2026-10-15 10:50
BetUS🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 46.29%EV -6.19%E -3.09%K -6.19%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.08%EV -8.88%E -2.50%K -3.48%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.63%EV -8.13%E -2.43%K -3.46%G +0.000%8.0%2026-10-15 10:49
Bovada🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 47.60%EV -10.41%E -5.45%K -11.44%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.26%EV -7.59%E -2.11%K -2.92%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.14%EV -8.13%E -2.43%K -3.46%G +0.000%10.0%2026-10-15 10:40
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.