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Kryliya Sovetov v FC Baltika Kaliningrad

2026-08-08 12:30 UTC — Premier League - Russia

Head to Head

5 sportsbooks (3 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Kryliya Sovetov (Local)

Prediction 30.10%3.32fair odd
EV -2.49%
Edge -0.768%
Kelly -1.11%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 3.24

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
29.89%30.10%30.04%30.41%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.003.133.163.2433.33%31.91%31.65%30.86%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

FC Baltika Kaliningrad (Visit)

Prediction 39.20%2.55fair odd
EV -2.79%
Edge -1.12%
Kelly -1.88%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.48

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
38.60%39.20%39.35%39.69%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.302.402.422.4843.48%41.60%41.32%40.32%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Draw

Prediction 30.70%3.26fair odd
EV +1.02%
Edge +0.310%
Kelly +0.445%
Growth +0.005%

assuming max odds 3.29

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
29.92%30.70%30.62%31.51%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.943.123.113.2934.01%32.07%32.15%30.40%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

For Head to Head, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimates these probabilities: Kryliya Sovetov (Local): 30.10%; FC Baltika Kaliningrad (Visit): 39.20%; Draw: 30.70%. For Draw, that estimate is equivalent to fair decimal odds of 3.26. 1 bookmaker offers odds above that level; the best available odds are 3.29, producing a positive expected value of +1.02%.

Sportsbook Odds (5 sportsbooks)

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BookmakerLocalVisitDraw ▼MarginUpdated
1xBet3.24I 30.86%NM 30.38%EV -2.49%E -0.768%K -1.11%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 39.69%EV -2.79%E -1.12%K -1.88%G +0.000%3.29I 30.40%NM 29.92%EV +1.02%E +0.310%K +0.445%G +0.005%1.6%2026-08-01 19:18
Marathon Bet3.16I 31.65%NM 30.36%EV -4.90%E -1.55%K -2.27%G +0.000%2.42I 41.32%NM 39.65%EV -5.14%E -2.12%K -3.62%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.99%EV -1.75%E -0.545%K -0.793%G +0.000%4.2%2026-08-01 19:14
Pinnacle3.17I 31.55%NM 30.04%EV -4.60%E -1.45%K -2.12%G +0.000%2.42I 41.32%NM 39.35%EV -5.14%E -2.12%K -3.62%G +0.000%3.11I 32.15%NM 30.62%EV -4.51%E -1.45%K -2.14%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-01 19:25
Bovada3.00I 33.33%NM 30.41%EV -9.71%E -3.24%K -4.86%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 39.67%EV -9.84%E -4.28%K -7.57%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.92%EV -6.35%E -2.08%K -3.10%G +0.000%9.6%2026-08-01 19:20
BetOnline.ag3.10I 32.26%NM 29.89%EV -6.70%E -2.16%K -3.19%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.60%EV -5.92%E -2.47%K -4.23%G +0.000%2.94I 34.01%NM 31.51%EV -9.73%E -3.31%K -5.01%G +0.000%7.9%2026-08-01 19:20
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.