The School of Odds

Gazovik Orenburg v Zenit St Petersburg

2026-08-02 13:00 UTC — Premier League - Russia

Head to Head

4 sportsbooks (2 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: IQM

Gazovik Orenburg (Local)

Prediction 11.54%8.67fair odd
EV -1.33%
Edge -0.155%
Kelly -0.176%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 8.55

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
11.51%11.54%11.54%11.57%MINMEANMEDIANMAX
Odds’ distribution
8.008.288.298.5512.50%12.07%12.06%11.70%MINMEANMEDIANMAX

Zenit St Petersburg (Visit)

Prediction 69.32%1.44fair odd
EV -1.56%
Edge -1.10%
Kelly -3.72%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.42

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
69.10%69.32%69.32%69.54%MINMEANMEDIANMAX
Odds’ distribution
1.331.381.381.4275.19%72.60%72.46%70.42%MINMEANMEDIANMAX

Draw

Prediction 19.14%5.23fair odd
EV -0.678%
Edge -0.131%
Kelly -0.162%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 5.19

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
18.95%19.14%19.14%19.32%MINMEANMEDIANMAX
Odds’ distribution
4.805.005.005.1920.83%20.01%20.00%19.27%MINMEANMEDIANMAX

Sportsbook Odds (4 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitDrawMarginUpdated
1xBet8.55I 11.70%NM 11.54%EV -1.33%E -0.155%K -0.176%G +0.000%1.42I 70.42%NM 69.46%EV -1.56%E -1.10%K -3.72%G +0.000%5.19I 19.27%NM 19.00%EV -0.678%E -0.131%K -0.162%G +0.000%1.4%2026-07-26 17:54
Marathon Bet8.40I 11.90%NM 11.51%EV -3.06%E -0.364%K -0.413%G +0.000%1.39I 71.94%NM 69.54%EV -3.64%E -2.62%K -9.34%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 18.95%EV -2.40%E -0.471%K -0.586%G +0.000%3.5%2026-07-26 17:50
Pinnacle8.18I 12.22%NM 11.57%EV -5.60%E -0.684%K -0.780%G +0.000%1.37I 72.99%NM 69.10%EV -5.03%E -3.67%K -13.59%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 19.32%EV -6.23%E -1.27%K -1.60%G +0.000%5.6%2026-07-26 18:00
Bovada8.00I 12.50%NM 11.52%EV -7.68%E -0.959%K -1.10%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 69.28%EV -7.80%E -5.87%K -23.64%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.20%EV -8.14%E -1.70%K -2.14%G +0.000%8.5%2026-07-26 17:55
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.