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FK Rostov v Kryliya Sovetov

2026-11-20 16:30 UTC — Premier League - Russia

Head to Head

4 sportsbooks (2 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

FK Rostov (Local)

Prediction 49.59%2.02fair odd
EV -1.82%
Edge -0.918%
Kelly -1.85%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.98

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
49.42%49.59%49.59%49.89%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.851.921.931.9854.05%52.02%51.81%50.51%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Kryliya Sovetov (Visit)

Prediction 23.26%4.30fair odd
EV -2.08%
Edge -0.495%
Kelly -0.649%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 4.21

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
23.09%23.26%23.26%23.42%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.954.104.124.2125.32%24.41%24.30%23.75%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Draw

Prediction 27.16%3.68fair odd
EV -0.341%
Edge -0.093%
Kelly -0.128%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 3.67

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
26.75%27.16%27.16%27.49%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.453.543.533.6728.99%28.23%28.37%27.25%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

For Head to Head, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimates these probabilities: FK Rostov (Local): 49.59%; Kryliya Sovetov (Visit): 23.26%; Draw: 27.16%. For Draw, that estimate is equivalent to fair decimal odds of 3.68. No eligible bookmaker offers odds above that level: the best available odds are 3.67, with an expected value of -0.341%; they do not produce positive expected value.

Sportsbook Odds (4 sportsbooks)

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BookmakerLocal ▼VisitDrawMarginUpdated
1xBet🎯1.98I 50.51%NM 49.76%EV -1.82%E -0.918%K -1.85%G +0.000%4.21I 23.75%NM 23.40%EV -2.08%E -0.495%K -0.649%G +0.000%3.67I 27.25%NM 26.84%EV -0.341%E -0.093%K -0.128%G +0.000%1.5%2026-11-09 11:05
Marathon Bet🎯1.93I 51.81%NM 49.76%EV -4.30%E -2.23%K -4.62%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.42%EV -4.64%E -1.13%K -1.50%G +0.000%3.58I 27.93%NM 26.82%EV -2.78%E -0.778%K -1.08%G +0.000%4.1%2026-11-09 11:05
Pinnacle🎯1.93I 51.81%NM 49.42%EV -4.30%E -2.23%K -4.62%G +0.000%4.13I 24.21%NM 23.09%EV -3.95%E -0.955%K -1.26%G +0.000%3.47I 28.82%NM 27.49%EV -5.77%E -1.66%K -2.34%G +0.000%4.8%2026-11-09 11:55
Bovada🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 49.89%EV -8.26%E -4.47%K -9.72%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.36%EV -8.13%E -2.06%K -2.76%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.75%EV -6.32%E -1.83%K -2.58%G +0.000%8.4%2026-11-09 11:02
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

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