Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

FK Rostov v Dinamo Moscow

2026-09-17 15:30 UTC — Premier League - Russia

Head to Head

7 sportsbooks (4 in analysis )

32%

39%

29%

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

FK Rostov (Local)

Prediction 31.88%3.14fair odd

EV -1.18%

Edge -0.380%

Kelly -0.561%

Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 3.10

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution

31.71%31.90%31.88%32.14%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Odds’ distribution

2.802.952.923.1035.71%33.91%34.25%32.26%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Dinamo Moscow (Visit)

Prediction 39.27%2.55fair odd

EV -1.82%

Edge -0.726%

Kelly -1.21%

Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.50

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution

38.90%39.41%39.27%40.17%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Odds’ distribution

2.242.392.382.5044.64%41.87%42.02%40.00%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Draw

Prediction 28.85%3.47fair odd

EV -1.92%

Edge -0.564%

Kelly -0.798%

Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 3.40

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution

27.69%28.69%28.85%29.39%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Odds’ distribution

3.153.253.253.4031.75%30.73%30.77%29.41%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

For Head to Head, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimates these probabilities: FK Rostov (Local): 31.88%; Dinamo Moscow (Visit): 39.27%; Draw: 28.85%. For FK Rostov (Local), that estimate is equivalent to fair decimal odds of 3.14. No eligible bookmaker offers odds above that level: the best available odds are 3.10, with an expected value of -1.18%; they do not produce positive expected value.

Sportsbook Odds (7 sportsbooks)

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Bookmaker	Local ▼	Visit	Draw	Margin	Updated
1xBet🎯	3.10I 32.26%NM 31.73%EV -1.18%E -0.380%K -0.561%G +0.000%	2.50I 40.00%NM 39.34%EV -1.82%E -0.726%K -1.21%G +0.000%	3.40I 29.41%NM 28.93%EV -1.92%E -0.564%K -0.798%G +0.000%	1.7%	2026-09-13 16:11
Marathon Bet🎯	3.02I 33.11%NM 31.77%EV -3.73%E -1.23%K -1.85%G +0.000%	2.44I 40.98%NM 39.33%EV -4.17%E -1.71%K -2.90%G +0.000%	3.32I 30.12%NM 28.90%EV -4.22%E -1.27%K -1.82%G +0.000%	4.2%	2026-09-13 16:04
Pinnacle🎯	2.98I 33.56%NM 31.98%EV -5.00%E -1.68%K -2.53%G +0.000%	2.43I 41.15%NM 39.22%EV -4.56%E -1.88%K -3.19%G +0.000%	3.31I 30.21%NM 28.79%EV -4.51%E -1.36%K -1.95%G +0.000%	4.9%	2026-09-13 16:15
BetOnline.ag🎯	2.92I 34.25%NM 31.71%EV -6.92%E -2.37%K -3.60%G +0.000%	2.38I 42.02%NM 38.90%EV -6.53%E -2.74%K -4.73%G +0.000%	3.15I 31.75%NM 29.39%EV -9.13%E -2.90%K -4.25%G +0.000%	8.0%	2026-09-13 19:15
BetUS🎯	2.92I 34.25%NM 31.71%EV -6.92%E -2.37%K -3.60%G +0.000%	2.38I 42.02%NM 38.90%EV -6.53%E -2.74%K -4.73%G +0.000%	3.15I 31.75%NM 29.39%EV -9.13%E -2.90%K -4.25%G +0.000%	8.0%	2026-09-13 19:15
Bovada🎯	2.90I 34.48%NM 31.84%EV -7.55%E -2.60%K -3.98%G +0.000%	2.35I 42.55%NM 39.30%EV -7.71%E -3.28%K -5.71%G +0.000%	3.20I 31.25%NM 28.86%EV -7.69%E -2.40%K -3.49%G +0.000%	8.3%	2026-09-13 16:11
Codere (IT)🎯	2.80I 35.71%NM 32.14%EV -10.74%E -3.84%K -5.97%G +0.000%	2.24I 44.64%NM 40.17%EV -12.03%E -5.37%K -9.70%G +0.000%	3.25I 30.77%NM 27.69%EV -6.24%E -1.92%K -2.77%G +0.000%	11.1%	2026-09-13 14:20

Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.