Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

FC Krasnodar v FC Fakel Voronezh

2026-08-02 15:15 UTC — Premier League - Russia

Head to Head

5 sportsbooks (3 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

FC Krasnodar (Local)

Prediction 69.51%1.44fair odd
EV -2.69%
Edge -1.92%
Kelly -6.72%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.40

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
68.14%69.51%69.80%70.59%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.311.351.341.4076.34%73.96%74.63%71.43%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

FC Fakel Voronezh (Visit)

Prediction 10.95%9.14fair odd
EV +6.72%
Edge +0.690%
Kelly +0.768%
Growth +0.052%

assuming max odds 9.75

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
10.07%10.95%10.75%12.01%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
7.608.939.009.7513.16%11.20%11.11%10.26%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Draw

Prediction 19.55%5.12fair odd
EV -0.515%
Edge -0.101%
Kelly -0.126%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 5.09

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
19.34%19.55%19.45%19.85%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
4.604.844.815.0921.74%20.66%20.79%19.65%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Sportsbook Odds (5 sportsbooks)

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BookmakerLocalVisit ▼DrawMarginUpdated
1xBet1.40I 71.43%NM 70.49%EV -2.69%E -1.92%K -6.72%G +0.000%9.75I 10.26%NM 10.12%EV +6.72%E +0.690%K +0.768%G +0.052%5.09I 19.65%NM 19.39%EV -0.515%E -0.101%K -0.126%G +0.000%1.3%2026-07-28 10:49
Marathon Bet1.37I 72.99%NM 70.59%EV -4.77%E -3.48%K -12.90%G +0.000%9.60I 10.42%NM 10.07%EV +5.08%E +0.529%K +0.591%G +0.030%5.00I 20.00%NM 19.34%EV -2.27%E -0.455%K -0.569%G +0.000%3.4%2026-07-28 10:49
Bovada1.31I 76.34%NM 70.21%EV -8.94%E -6.83%K -28.85%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.22%EV -1.49%E -0.165%K -0.186%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.57%EV -8.14%E -1.73%K -2.20%G +0.000%8.7%2026-07-28 10:49
Pinnacle1.34I 74.63%NM 69.80%EV -6.86%E -5.12%K -20.17%G +0.000%8.70I 11.49%NM 10.75%EV -4.77%E -0.548%K -0.619%G +0.000%4.81I 20.79%NM 19.45%EV -5.99%E -1.24%K -1.57%G +0.000%6.9%2026-07-28 10:49
BetOnline.ag1.34I 74.63%NM 68.14%EV -6.86%E -5.12%K -20.17%G +0.000%7.60I 13.16%NM 12.01%EV -16.81%E -2.21%K -2.55%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.85%EV -10.09%E -2.19%K -2.80%G +0.000%9.5%2026-07-28 10:59
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.