Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

FC Krasnodar v CSKA Moscow

2026-11-07 16:30 UTC — Premier League - Russia

Head to Head

5 sportsbooks (3 in analysis )

48%

26%

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

FC Krasnodar (Local)

Prediction 47.59%2.10fair odd

EV -3.40%

Edge -1.67%

Kelly -3.30%

Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.03

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution

46.61%47.59%46.98%49.24%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Odds’ distribution

1.881.971.992.0353.19%50.76%50.25%49.26%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

CSKA Moscow (Visit)

Prediction 26.17%3.82fair odd

EV +1.53%

Edge +0.394%

Kelly +0.531%

Growth +0.008%

assuming max odds 3.88

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution

25.38%26.17%26.53%26.61%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Odds’ distribution

3.503.673.603.8828.57%27.26%27.78%25.77%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Draw

Prediction 26.25%3.81fair odd

EV +1.84%

Edge +0.473%

Kelly +0.637%

Growth +0.012%

assuming max odds 3.88

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution

25.38%26.25%26.49%26.89%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Odds’ distribution

3.453.663.603.8828.99%27.31%27.78%25.77%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

For Head to Head, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimates these probabilities: FC Krasnodar (Local): 47.59%; CSKA Moscow (Visit): 26.17%; Draw: 26.25%. For Draw, that estimate is equivalent to fair decimal odds of 3.81. 1 bookmaker offers odds above that level; the best available odds are 3.88, producing a positive expected value of +1.84%.

Sportsbook Odds (5 sportsbooks)

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Bookmaker	Local	Visit	Draw ▼	Margin	Updated
1xBet🎯	2.00I 50.00%NM 49.24%EV -4.83%E -2.41%K -4.83%G +0.000%	3.88I 25.77%NM 25.38%EV +1.53%E +0.394%K +0.531%G +0.008%	3.88I 25.77%NM 25.38%EV +1.84%E +0.473%K +0.637%G +0.012%	1.5%	2026-11-01 10:50
Marathon Bet🎯	1.95I 51.28%NM 49.22%EV -7.21%E -3.70%K -7.59%G +0.000%	3.78I 26.46%NM 25.39%EV -1.09%E -0.287%K -0.391%G +0.000%	3.78I 26.46%NM 25.39%EV -0.789%E -0.209%K -0.284%G +0.000%	4.2%	2026-11-01 10:44
Pinnacle🎯	2.03I 49.26%NM 46.93%EV -3.40%E -1.67%K -3.30%G +0.000%	3.58I 27.93%NM 26.61%EV -6.32%E -1.77%K -2.45%G +0.000%	3.60I 27.78%NM 26.46%EV -5.51%E -1.53%K -2.12%G +0.000%	5.0%	2026-11-01 12:35
Bovada🎯	1.88I 53.19%NM 48.91%EV -10.54%E -5.61%K -11.98%G +0.000%	3.60I 27.78%NM 25.54%EV -5.80%E -1.61%K -2.23%G +0.000%	3.60I 27.78%NM 25.54%EV -5.51%E -1.53%K -2.12%G +0.000%	8.7%	2026-11-01 10:48
BetOnline.ag🎯	1.99I 50.25%NM 46.61%EV -5.30%E -2.67%K -5.36%G +0.000%	3.50I 28.57%NM 26.50%EV -8.41%E -2.40%K -3.37%G +0.000%	3.45I 28.99%NM 26.89%EV -9.45%E -2.74%K -3.86%G +0.000%	7.8%	2026-11-01 12:20

Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.