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FC Fakel Voronezh v Rodina Moscow

2026-10-24 12:00 UTC — Premier League - Russia

Head to Head

5 sportsbooks (3 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

FC Fakel Voronezh (Local)

Prediction 44.92%2.23fair odd
EV -2.98%
Edge -1.38%
Kelly -2.57%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.16

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
44.52%44.92%44.70%45.75%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.002.102.112.1650.00%47.71%47.39%46.30%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Rodina Moscow (Visit)

Prediction 26.36%3.79fair odd
EV -2.21%
Edge -0.597%
Kelly -0.817%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 3.71

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
26.08%26.36%26.45%26.54%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.453.593.603.7128.99%27.89%27.78%26.95%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Draw

Prediction 28.73%3.48fair odd
EV +1.11%
Edge +0.317%
Kelly +0.442%
Growth +0.005%

assuming max odds 3.52

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
27.73%28.73%28.85%29.40%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.153.343.303.5231.75%29.92%30.30%28.41%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

For Head to Head, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimates these probabilities: FC Fakel Voronezh (Local): 44.92%; Rodina Moscow (Visit): 26.36%; Draw: 28.73%. For Draw, that estimate is equivalent to fair decimal odds of 3.48. 1 bookmaker offers odds above that level; the best available odds are 3.52, producing a positive expected value of +1.11%.

Sportsbook Odds (5 sportsbooks)

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BookmakerLocalVisitDraw ▼MarginUpdated
1xBet🎯2.16I 46.30%NM 45.54%EV -2.98%E -1.38%K -2.57%G +0.000%3.71I 26.95%NM 26.51%EV -2.21%E -0.597%K -0.817%G +0.000%3.52I 28.41%NM 27.95%EV +1.11%E +0.317%K +0.442%G +0.005%1.7%2026-10-19 16:55
Marathon Bet🎯2.11I 47.39%NM 45.53%EV -5.22%E -2.48%K -4.71%G +0.000%3.62I 27.62%NM 26.54%EV -4.59%E -1.27%K -1.75%G +0.000%3.44I 29.07%NM 27.93%EV -1.18%E -0.344%K -0.485%G +0.000%4.1%2026-10-19 17:00
Pinnacle🎯2.13I 46.95%NM 44.70%EV -4.33%E -2.03%K -3.83%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.45%EV -5.11%E -1.42%K -1.97%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.85%EV -5.21%E -1.58%K -2.26%G +0.000%5.0%2026-10-19 17:55
Bovada🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 45.75%EV -10.17%E -5.08%K -10.17%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.52%EV -9.07%E -2.63%K -3.70%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.73%EV -5.21%E -1.58%K -2.26%G +0.000%9.3%2026-10-19 16:55
BetOnline.ag🎯2.08I 48.08%NM 44.52%EV -6.57%E -3.16%K -6.09%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.08%EV -6.43%E -1.81%K -2.52%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.40%EV -9.51%E -3.02%K -4.43%G +0.000%8.0%2026-10-19 19:20
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.