The School of Odds

FC Fakel Voronezh v FC Dynamo Makhachkala

2026-07-25 15:30 UTC — Premier League - Russia

Head to Head

3 sportsbooks (1 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: IQM

FC Fakel Voronezh (Local)

Prediction 36.93%2.71fair odd
EV -3.98%
Edge -1.53%
Kelly -2.49%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.60

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
36.93%36.93%36.93%38.06%MINMEANMEDIANMAX
Odds’ distribution
2.402.532.582.6042%40%39%38%MINMEANMEDIANMAX

FC Dynamo Makhachkala (Visit)

Prediction 30.44%3.29fair odd
EV -4.11%
Edge -1.31%
Kelly -1.91%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 3.15

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
30.44%30.44%30.44%31.23%MINMEANMEDIANMAX
Odds’ distribution
2.953.083.133.1534%33%32%32%MINMEANMEDIANMAX

Draw

Prediction 32.63%3.06fair odd
EV +3.76%
Edge +1.18%
Kelly +1.73%
Growth +0.065%

assuming max odds 3.18

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
30.93%32.63%32.63%32.63%MINMEANMEDIANMAX
Odds’ distribution
2.923.022.953.1834%33%34%31%MINMEANMEDIANMAX

Sportsbook Odds (3 sportsbooks)

BookmakerLocalVisitDraw ▼MarginUpdated
1xBet2.60I 38.46%NM 37.84%EV -3.98%E -1.53%K -2.49%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 31.23%EV -4.11%E -1.31%K -1.91%G +0.000%3.18I 31.45%NM 30.93%EV +3.76%E +1.18%K +1.73%G +0.065%1.7%2026-07-16 08:20
Bovada2.40I 41.67%NM 38.06%EV -11.37%E -4.74%K -8.12%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 30.97%EV -10.20%E -3.46%K -5.23%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 30.97%EV -3.74%E -1.27%K -1.92%G +0.000%9.5%2026-07-16 08:19
Pinnacle2.58I 38.76%NM 36.93%EV -4.72%E -1.83%K -2.99%G +0.000%3.13I 31.95%NM 30.44%EV -4.72%E -1.51%K -2.22%G +0.000%2.92I 34.25%NM 32.63%EV -4.72%E -1.62%K -2.46%G +0.000%5.0%2026-07-16 08:20
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.