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FC Fakel Voronezh v FC Akhmat Grozny

2026-08-10 16:30 UTC — Premier League - Russia

Head to Head

6 sportsbooks (4 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

FC Fakel Voronezh (Local)

Prediction 29.94%3.34fair odd
EV -0.891%
Edge -0.269%
Kelly -0.386%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 3.31

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
29.08%29.88%29.94%30.40%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.053.153.123.3132.79%31.73%32.10%30.21%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

FC Akhmat Grozny (Visit)

Prediction 40.58%2.46fair odd
EV -1.80%
Edge -0.744%
Kelly -1.27%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.42

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
40.06%40.69%40.58%41.36%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.182.312.322.4245.87%43.32%43.10%41.32%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Draw

Prediction 29.48%3.39fair odd
EV -1.83%
Edge -0.550%
Kelly -0.786%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 3.33

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
28.93%29.44%29.48%29.72%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.053.193.173.3332.79%31.38%31.50%30.03%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

For Head to Head, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimates these probabilities: FC Fakel Voronezh (Local): 29.94%; FC Akhmat Grozny (Visit): 40.58%; Draw: 29.48%. For FC Fakel Voronezh (Local), that estimate is equivalent to fair decimal odds of 3.34. No eligible bookmaker offers odds above that level: the best available odds are 3.31, with an expected value of -0.891%; they do not produce positive expected value.

Sportsbook Odds (6 sportsbooks)

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BookmakerLocal ▼VisitDrawMarginUpdated
1xBet🎯3.31I 30.21%NM 29.75%EV -0.891%E -0.269%K -0.386%G +0.000%2.42I 41.32%NM 40.69%EV -1.80%E -0.744%K -1.27%G +0.000%3.33I 30.03%NM 29.57%EV -1.83%E -0.550%K -0.786%G +0.000%1.6%2026-08-08 15:24
Marathon Bet🎯3.22I 31.06%NM 29.80%EV -3.59%E -1.11%K -1.62%G +0.000%2.36I 42.37%NM 40.67%EV -4.24%E -1.79%K -3.11%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.53%EV -4.19%E -1.29%K -1.86%G +0.000%4.2%2026-08-08 15:19
Pinnacle🎯3.13I 31.95%NM 30.40%EV -6.28%E -2.01%K -2.95%G +0.000%2.34I 42.74%NM 40.67%EV -5.05%E -2.16%K -3.77%G +0.000%3.29I 30.40%NM 28.93%EV -3.01%E -0.915%K -1.32%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-08 14:45
Bovada🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 29.61%EV -7.18%E -2.32%K -3.42%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 40.79%EV -8.70%E -3.87%K -6.96%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.61%EV -8.61%E -2.78%K -4.10%G +0.000%9.0%2026-08-08 15:28
Codere (IT)🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 29.08%EV -7.18%E -2.32%K -3.42%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 41.36%EV -11.54%E -5.29%K -9.78%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.56%EV -10.09%E -3.31%K -4.92%G +0.000%10.9%2026-08-08 13:49
BetOnline.ag🎯3.05I 32.79%NM 30.21%EV -8.68%E -2.84%K -4.23%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.06%EV -6.67%E -2.90%K -5.13%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.72%EV -8.61%E -2.78%K -4.10%G +0.000%8.5%2026-08-08 13:50
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.